Vancouver vs DC United — MLS 2026
Vancouver: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards
DC United: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 25, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
The table gap flatters Vancouver, but their home record is genuinely strong: 9 wins from 14 home matches against DC United's 2 wins from 11 away. DC United's 6 away draws keep them competitive on the road, yet Vancouver's 21 home goal difference dwarfs DC United's -1 away.
Vancouver
DC UnitedScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Attack
Vancouver's home attack is the stronger of the two, averaging 2.3 goals per home match against DC United's 1.2 away. Vancouver also score 2.2 per match overall, while DC United manage 1.2 on the road, so the hosts hold a clear edge in this area.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Vancouver are far more solid at home, conceding 0.8 goals per home match against DC United's 1.3 away. Vancouver's 50% clean-sheet rate at home dwarfs DC United's 27% on the road, making the hosts the likelier side to keep it tight.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous late, with Vancouver scoring 21% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window and DC United 32% there. DC United's vulnerability in that same window, conceding 28% of their goals, could make the closing stages the most decisive period.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Vancouver's home matches trend higher, with 64% going over 2.5 goals at this venue against DC United's 36% on the road. Vancouver also fail to score in just 14% of home matches, while DC United fail in 36% of away matches, pointing to a home-leaning goal environment.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.5
We give the under 69%; the bookmaker gives it 52%.
The market prices the over 3.5 goals line at 48%, while our model puts it at 31%, a difference of about 16 percentage points. Our read, built from Vancouver's home and DC United's away goal records, sits clearly below the market's expectation for this total.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for DC United lately. They have drawn 8 out of their last 15 MLS matches.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Vancouver have been awarded an average of 6.6 corners per match, while DC United have averaged 3.6 corners.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Vancouver conceded on average 0.7 goals per match while DC United conceded on average 1.4 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from Vancouver within the first half. They have averaged 1.2 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
The chances of seeing a goal from DC United in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Vancouver have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while DC United have averaged 0.8 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Vancouver have received an average of 2 cards per match, while DC United have averaged 2.2 cards.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
The table gap flatters Vancouver, but their home record is genuinely strong: 9 wins from 14 home matches against DC United's 2 wins from 11 away. DC United's 6 away draws keep them competitive on the road, yet Vancouver's 21 home goal difference dwarfs DC United's -1 away.
VancouverDC UnitedHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
History leans DC United's way, with 4 wins to Vancouver's 2 across the last 10 meetings, though 4 draws and a 2.0 average total goals suggest tight, low-scoring contests. At this venue, the record is 1 Vancouver win, 2 DC United wins and 4 draws in 7 meetings.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Attack
Vancouver's home attack is the stronger of the two, averaging 2.3 goals per home match against DC United's 1.2 away. Vancouver also score 2.2 per match overall, while DC United manage 1.2 on the road, so the hosts hold a clear edge in this area.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Vancouver are far more solid at home, conceding 0.8 goals per home match against DC United's 1.3 away. Vancouver's 50% clean-sheet rate at home dwarfs DC United's 27% on the road, making the hosts the likelier side to keep it tight.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous late, with Vancouver scoring 21% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window and DC United 32% there. DC United's vulnerability in that same window, conceding 28% of their goals, could make the closing stages the most decisive period.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Vancouver's home matches trend higher, with 64% going over 2.5 goals at this venue against DC United's 36% on the road. Vancouver also fail to score in just 14% of home matches, while DC United fail in 36% of away matches, pointing to a home-leaning goal environment.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.5
We give the under 69%; the bookmaker gives it 52%.
The market prices the over 3.5 goals line at 48%, while our model puts it at 31%, a difference of about 16 percentage points. Our read, built from Vancouver's home and DC United's away goal records, sits clearly below the market's expectation for this total.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for DC United lately. They have drawn 8 out of their last 15 MLS matches.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Vancouver have been awarded an average of 6.6 corners per match, while DC United have averaged 3.6 corners.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Vancouver conceded on average 0.7 goals per match while DC United conceded on average 1.4 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from Vancouver within the first half. They have averaged 1.2 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
The chances of seeing a goal from DC United in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Vancouver have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while DC United have averaged 0.8 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Vancouver have received an average of 2 cards per match, while DC United have averaged 2.2 cards.
About The Match
Vancouver arrive as heavy market favourites and the table gap is stark, but the home/away splits narrow it more than the raw positions suggest. Vancouver have taken 12 points from their last six league matches while DC United have managed just 5, and the hosts score 2.3 goals per home match against DC United's 1.2 on the road. The key uncertainty is whether DC United's second-half scoring habit, 32% of their goals after the 76th minute, can punish a Vancouver side that has been leaky before half-time.