Pre-match
Match previews
Team news, top scorers, form and head-to-head for upcoming fixtures, written from our match data.
TUE, OCT 20
- UEFA Champions League ·
Fenerbahcevs
Slavia PragueFenerbahce host Slavia Prague with both sides seeking a first winFenerbahce welcome Slavia Prague to Istanbul with both clubs still looking for their first win of the season and sitting in the bottom third of the table. The market prices the home side at 58% to win, but the underlying numbers point to a tight, low-scoring match between two attacks that have struggled to score. - UEFA Champions League ·
Sabah Masazirvs
DortmundSabah Masazir host Dortmund with the visitors heavily favouredSabah Masazir welcome Dortmund to the Baku Olympic Stadium with the market pricing the away side as a strong favourite at 75%. The home team's recent form and defensive record at this venue offer a counterpoint, but the sample is only two matches old. - UEFA Champions League ·
Romavs
Slovan BratislavaRoma host Slovan Bratislava with a clear attacking edgeRoma welcome Slovan Bratislava to the Stadio Olimpico with the market pricing the home side as overwhelming favourites. The clearest signal is Roma's large attacking edge, built on a home scoring rate three times that of the visitors on the road. - UEFA Champions League ·
Liverpoolvs
VillarrealLiverpool host Villarreal with both sides chasing early momentumLiverpool welcome Villarreal to Anfield with the market pricing the home side as strong favourites. The clearest early signal is the defensive split: Liverpool have conceded just once at home this season while Villarreal have shipped three goals in their single away match. - UEFA Champions League ·
Portovs
EindhovenPorto host Eindhoven with both sides chasing a first winPorto welcome Eindhoven to the Estadio do Dragao with both clubs still looking for their first win of the season after two league matches. The clearest signal in the data is Eindhoven's defensive edge, which is large against the league baseline while Porto's home attack has yet to score. - UEFA Champions League ·
Stuttgartvs
AtleticoStuttgart host Atletico in a meeting of contrasting early-season startsStuttgart arrive at the MHP Arena with a perfect start to the season, while Atletico carry the market's favour despite a mixed opening. The clearest early signal is Stuttgart's attacking edge at home, where they have scored three goals across one home match. - UEFA Champions League ·
Napolivs
Bodoe/GlimtNapoli host Bodoe/Glimt with both sides needing a sparkNapoli welcome Bodoe/Glimt to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona with both clubs still searching for their first away result of the season. The market prices the home side at 61% to win, but the underlying numbers point to a match short on attacking quality and long on defensive uncertainty. - UEFA Champions League ·
PSGvs
BarcelonaPSG host Barcelona in a heavyweight early-season meetingPSG welcome Barcelona to the Parc des Princes with both sides carrying perfect starts and near-identical goal differences. The market sees the hosts as the narrowest of favourites, but the away side's defence has been the more convincing of the two. - UEFA Champions League ·
Manchester Cityvs
AEK AthensManchester City host AEK Athens in a lopsided European meetingManchester City welcome AEK Athens to the Etihad Stadium with the market pricing the home side as a 90% favourite to win. The clearest statistical signal is defensive: AEK Athens hold a large edge on the road, while City's one home match this season produced four goals against.
Recent previews
- LaLiga ·
Getafevs
VallecanoGetafe host Vallecano in a tight local derbyGetafe and Vallecano meet at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez with both sides level on eight points and separated by one place in the table. The clearest signal is the contrast in defensive solidity, with Getafe conceding just 0.5 goals per home match while Vallecano ship 3.0 per away match. - Premier League ·
Tottenhamvs
CoventryTottenham host Coventry with both attacks misfiringTottenham welcome Coventry to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with both sides struggling to score this season. The market prices the home side as a strong favourite, but the underlying numbers point to a low-scoring match between two of the league's least productive attacks. - Serie A ·
Parma Calciovs
TorinoParma Calcio host Torino with both sides needing a resultParma Calcio welcome Torino to the Ennio Tardini with the hosts sitting 18th and the visitors 12th after six rounds. The clearest signal is Torino's sharper attack, which the market prices as a 40% chance to win the match. - Serie A ·
Monzavs
CagliariMonza host Cagliari with contrasting defensive records on showMonza welcome Cagliari to the Stadio Brianteo with the two sides separated by nine points after six rounds. The visitors arrive with the league's stingiest defence, while the hosts have conceded at least twice in every home match this season. - MLS ·
Cincinnativs
ColumbusCincinnati host Columbus with both attacks carrying real threatCincinnati welcome Columbus to TQL Stadium with the home side's scoring edge the clearest signal in the data. The market prices the home team as the match-winner favourite, but the total-goals line is the more interesting read. - LaLiga ·
Real Madridvs
SevillaReal Madrid host Sevilla at the BernabeuReal Madrid welcome Sevilla to the Santiago Bernabeu with the home side's attack and defence both carrying large edges over the league average. The head-to-head record is even more one-sided, with Real Madrid winning nine of the last ten meetings. - Ligue 1 ·
Lyonvs
NiceLyon host Nice with a clear home edgeLyon welcome Nice to Parc Olympique Lyonnais with the sharper attack and the tighter defence, and the market prices the home side as a clear favourite. The away side's record on the road is the weakest part of this match, with no goals scored across two away fixtures. - Serie A ·
Juventusvs
LazioJuventus host Lazio in a meeting of unbeaten away formJuventus welcome Lazio to the Allianz Stadium with both sides among the league's tightest defences at their respective venues. Lazio arrive unbeaten and second in the table, but Juventus have not lost at home to Lazio in their last five meetings. - LaLiga ·
Malagavs
Real SociedadMalaga host Real Sociedad in LaLigaMalaga welcome Real Sociedad to La Rosaleda with the two sides separated by 16 places and nine points in the table. The clearest signal is the away side's large attacking edge, built on a home attack that has managed just 0.8 goals per match across 4 home matches. - Serie A ·
Milanvs
AtalantaMilan host Atalanta in a Lombardy derby with contrasting home and away recordsMilan arrive at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza unbeaten in Serie A this season and with a perfect home record, while Atalanta have lost both of their away matches. The single most important finding is Milan's defence at home, where they have conceded no goals across 2 home matches, against an Atalanta attack that has scored just once on the road. - Premier League ·
Nottinghamvs
ArsenalNottingham host Arsenal with the visitors carrying the sharper attackArsenal arrive at the City Ground second in the table and with the market pricing them as clear favourites, while Nottingham are winless at home this season. The home side have not scored a single goal in their three matches at this ground, which is the sharpest edge in the whole preview. - Bundesliga ·
M´gladbachvs
HoffenheimM´gladbach host Hoffenheim with both sides desperate for pointsTwo of the Bundesliga's bottom three meet at Borussia-Park with M´gladbach still on zero points after five matches. The market makes Hoffenheim the away favourite, but the home side's attacking output at this ground is the one clear positive either team brings. - Ligue 1 ·
Parisvs
Stade RennaisParis host Stade Rennais with home form on their sideParis welcome Stade Rennais to Stade Jean Bouin with the visitors sitting higher in the table but carrying a weak away record. The clearest signal is defensive: Paris concede just 0.3 goals per home match, while Stade Rennais ship 2.5 per away match. - Ligue 1 ·
Lorientvs
MonacoLorient host Monaco with the visitors carrying the sharper edgeLorient welcome Monaco to the Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir with the visitors top of the table and unbeaten in their last six league matches. Monaco's away defence has conceded just 0.7 goals per match on the road, a large edge over the league average that shapes this fixture. - Ligue 1 ·
Le Havrevs
AuxerreLe Havre host Auxerre with both sides chasing a first away pointLe Havre welcome Auxerre to Stade Oceane with both clubs sitting in the bottom three and neither yet to win away from home. The single most important finding is the contrast in defensive solidity: Le Havre concede just 1.0 goals per home match while Auxerre concede 4.0 per away match, a gap that shapes everything else about this fixture. - LaLiga ·
Celta Vigovs
AlavesCelta Vigo host Alaves with both mid-table sides needing a winCelta Vigo and Alaves meet at Estadio Balaidos with only a point separating them in the table. The clearest signal is Alaves's clear defensive edge on the road, conceding 1.0 goals per away match against Celta Vigo's 1.2 at home. - Bundesliga ·
Leverkusenvs
FreiburgLeverkusen host Freiburg with top spot on the lineLeverkusen welcome Freiburg to the BayArena with the visitors top of the table and unbeaten in their last five league matches. The home side's perfect defensive record at this ground, with no goals conceded across two home matches, is the sharpest signal in a fixture between two of the league's most productive attacks. - Premier League ·
Leeds Unitedvs
Manchester UnitedLeeds United host Manchester United with the sharper home edgeLeeds United welcome Manchester United to Elland Road with a clear defensive advantage at home and a midfield that has been harder to break down than the visitors' away record suggests. The market prices the hosts as the match-winner favourite at 40%, and the season numbers point to a Leeds side that concedes far less at home than Manchester United do on the road. - Premier League ·
Brightonvs
Crystal PalaceBrighton host Crystal Palace with home form the clear divideBrighton arrive at the American Express Community Stadium third in the table and unbeaten at home this season, while Crystal Palace have struggled on the road. The single most important finding is the gap in home and away scoring: Brighton average 2.7 goals per home match against Palace's 1.0 away. - Serie A ·
Fiorentinavs
ComoFiorentina host Como at the Stadio Artemio FranchiFiorentina welcome Como to the Stadio Artemio Franchi with the visitors holding a clear edge in both form and the market. Como's away attack has been the sharper of the two, averaging 1.8 goals on the road against a Fiorentina defence conceding 2.0 per home match. - Premier League ·
Bournemouthvs
SunderlandBournemouth host Sunderland with both sides chasing a first away winBournemouth welcome Sunderland to Vitality Stadium with both clubs sitting just above the relegation zone and still searching for a first away victory. The most important finding is that Sunderland's away attack has been far more productive than Bournemouth's home attack, scoring 1.7 goals per match on the road against Bournemouth's 1.0 at home. - Ligue 1 ·
Angersvs
MarseilleAngers host Marseille with both sides needing pointsAngers welcome Marseille to Stade Raymond Kopa with the two clubs separated by a single point in the table. The clearest signal is Marseille's away defence, which concedes 1.0 goals per match on the road against a league average of 1.67 for away sides. - LaLiga ·
Osasunavs
SantanderOsasuna host Santander with both sides desperate for pointsOsasuna welcome Santander to Estadio El Sadar with both clubs level on eight points and separated by a single league position. The clearest signal is Santander's away defence, which concedes four goals per match on the road and gives Osasuna a rare chance to attack a vulnerable opponent. - Serie A ·
Udinesevs
LecceUdinese host Lecce with both sides needing a turnaroundUdinese welcome Lecce to the Bluenergy Stadium with both clubs sitting in the bottom half after six matches. The clearest signal is that neither attack has fired at its relevant venue, with each side averaging 0.7 goals per match there.