Serie A 26/27 · Round 7 ·
Parma Calcio vs Torino FC preview: Parma Calcio host Torino with both sides needing a result
Parma Calcio welcome Torino to the Ennio Tardini with the hosts sitting 18th and the visitors 12th after six rounds. The clearest signal is Torino's sharper attack, which the market prices as a 40% chance to win the match.
By 10xSharp · Published
This preview was published before kickoff. The match has finished: see the result and full stats. Read the match report.
Who is missing for each side
Parma Calcio are without three forwards, including two of their most productive attackers. Pontus Almqvist, who is unavailable, has scored 1 goal, 25% of the side's goals in this competition, and Nesta Elphege has also contributed an assist. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia is the third forward out with an injury. Torino's absences are less damaging to their attack, with midfielder Emirhan Ilkhan and defender Niccolo Fortini both ruled out through injury.
The players carrying each attack
Jose David Romero leads Parma Calcio with 2 goals in 5 matches, half of the team's total in this competition. Torino's threat is more evenly spread, with Sandro Kulenovic and Che Adams both on 2 goals from 4 matches each, a 29% share apiece. Romero is the home side's clear focal point, while Torino can call on two forwards in form rather than one.
Who arrives in better shape
Torino arrive in better form, taking 7 points from their last six league matches to Parma Calcio's 4. The visitors won their most recent match, while Parma Calcio lost theirs, and Torino's away record over that span includes two wins and two draws from five matches. Parma Calcio have lost four of their last six, with three of those defeats coming without scoring.
The table and the venue records
Parma Calcio sit 18th with 4 points, while Torino are 12th with 7 points after six matches. At home, Parma Calcio have won one, drawn one and lost one of their three matches, with a goal difference of zero. Torino's away record is identical in shape: one win, one draw and one loss from three matches, also with a level goal difference.
What history says about this fixture
Across the last 10 meetings, Parma Calcio have won 3 times, there have been 4 draws and Torino have won 3 times, with the goal difference 15-11 in Torino's favour. In the 5 meetings at this ground, Parma Calcio have won 2, Torino 1, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting was a 4-1 Torino win in March 2026.
How dangerous each side looks
Torino hold a clear attacking edge, scoring 1.3 goals per away match against Parma Calcio's 1.0 at home. Parma Calcio's home scoring rate is worse than the league average for a home side, while Torino's away rate is level with the league average for an away side. Parma Calcio's overall season figure of 0.7 goals per match is a large gap below the league norm.
Who is more likely to keep it tight
The defensive edge is level, with both sides standing the same distance from their own league baseline. Parma Calcio concede 1.0 goals per home match, marginally better than the league average for a home side. Torino concede 1.3 goals per away match, also marginally better than the league average for an away side.
Who works the goalkeeper harder
Torino average 3.17 shots on target per match, more than Parma Calcio's 2.67. The home side see fewer of their shots blocked, at 0.5 per match against Torino's 2.33, but Torino's higher on-target rate is the more meaningful number for creating chances.
When the goals tend to arrive
Torino score 43% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, their clear peak scoring band. Parma Calcio are most vulnerable late, conceding 30% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, against 50% of the goals they score in that same period. Torino also concede 33% of their goals in the 31-45 minute window, against 29% of the goals they score there.
The season goal environment
Torino's matches have been the higher-scoring ones, with 67% going over 2.5 goals this season against Parma Calcio's 50%. Parma Calcio's matches are back-loaded: 17% produce 2+ goals before half time versus 50% after it. Torino's half split is even, with no lean toward either half.
How this match is likely to be shaped
Torino's sharper attack and better recent form point toward the visitors having the clearer path to a result. Parma Calcio's home defence has been solid, but their scoring output is the weakest part of their game. The market prices Torino as the favourite, with a 40% chance to win the match, and the total goals line leans under at 2.25.