LaLiga 26/27 · Round 9 ·
Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC preview: Real Madrid host Sevilla at the Bernabeu
Real Madrid welcome Sevilla to the Santiago Bernabeu with the home side's attack and defence both carrying large edges over the league average. The head-to-head record is even more one-sided, with Real Madrid winning nine of the last ten meetings.
By 10xSharp · Published
This preview was published before kickoff. The match has finished: see the result and full stats. Read the match report.
Who is unavailable
Real Madrid are missing three players through injury: defender Eder Militao, forward Rodrygo, and defender Raul Asencio. Sevilla have one absence, defender Marcao, also out with an injury. Neither side loses a leading scorer or assister to these absences, so both attacks enter at full strength.
Players to watch
Kylian Mbappe leads Real Madrid with 7 goals in 8 matches, a 37% share of the team's total, and sits second in the scoring chart. Jude Bellingham has added 3 goals, while Vinicius Junior leads with 3 assists. For Sevilla, Isaac Romero and Miguel Angel Sierra share the scoring lead with 2 goals each, and Romero also has an assist. Robbie Ure leads Sevilla with 2 assists.
Form guide
Real Madrid arrive in better form, taking 12 points from their last six league matches compared to 8 for Sevilla. Real Madrid's record is four wins and two losses, while Sevilla have two wins, two draws and two losses. Real Madrid have won their last two matches, while Sevilla are winless in their last three. Real Madrid have won their last five home matches.
Where they stand
Real Madrid sit 4th with 18 points from 8 matches, while Sevilla are 5th with 14 points. Real Madrid have a perfect home record with four wins from four, scoring 13 and conceding 2. Sevilla have two wins and two draws from four away matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5.
Head to head
Real Madrid have dominated this fixture, winning 9 of the last 10 meetings with one draw and no Sevilla wins. The goal difference across those matches is 21-8 in Real Madrid's favour. At the Bernabeu, Real Madrid have won all 5 meetings, scoring 12 and conceding 4. The most recent meeting was a 1-0 Real Madrid win in May 2026.
Attacking threat
Real Madrid hold a clear attacking edge. At home they average 3.2 goals per match, well above the league's home-side average of 1.76. Sevilla average 2.0 goals away, also better than the league's away-side average of 1.33. Both attacks are strong, but Real Madrid's home output is the more dangerous.
Defensive solidity
Real Madrid hold a clear defensive edge. At home they concede just 0.5 goals per match, far better than the league's home-side average of 1.33. Sevilla concede 1.2 goals away, better than the league's away-side average of 1.76. Both defences are above average, but Real Madrid's home record is the standout.
Shot efficiency
Real Madrid work the opposing goalkeeper harder, averaging 7.0 shots on target per match compared to Sevilla's 4.38. Real Madrid also see more of their shots blocked, 3.75 per match against 1.63 for Sevilla. Real Madrid's higher shot volume reflects their greater attacking output.
When goals arrive
Real Madrid are most dangerous late, scoring 32% of their goals between minutes 76-90. Sevilla's peak scoring window is 46-60, with 38% of their goals. Real Madrid concede 38% of their goals in the 46-60 window, while Sevilla concede 25% in 76-90. Both teams tend to score more in the second half.
Goal environment
Real Madrid's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 75% of cases this season, while Sevilla's have done so in 62.5%. Real Madrid's home matches average 3.75 combined goals, and Sevilla's away matches average 3.25. Both teams produce high-scoring matches, with Real Madrid's home games the more goal-heavy.
The verdict
Real Madrid's home attack and defence both carry large edges, and their head-to-head dominance is overwhelming. Sevilla are a solid away side but face a Real Madrid team that has won all four home matches this season. The market prices Real Madrid as heavy favourites, and the stats support that. Expect Real Madrid to control the match and create the better chances.