Real Madrid vs Sevilla — LaLiga 26/27
Real Madrid: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
CARDSSevilla: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:46 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the LaLiga page · Read the match report.
Standings & Form · LaLiga 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Real Madrid sit 4th with 18 points, four clear of 5th-placed Sevilla on 14, and the gap is built almost entirely at home: Real Madrid have won all four home matches with a goal difference of 11, while Sevilla have taken 8 points from four away matches, with two wins and two draws and a goal difference of 3. Sevilla's away record is genuinely solid, but Real Madrid's home perfection is the sharper edge here.
Real Madrid
SevillaScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Real Madrid's home attack is clearly the stronger of the two, scoring 3.2 goals per match across 4 home matches against Sevilla's 2.0 away, and both sit well above their league baselines, with Real Madrid's gap the larger. Sevilla's away scoring is still better than the league average for an away side, but Real Madrid's home output is the clearest attacking edge in this fixture.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Real Madrid's home defence is the standout here, conceding just 0.5 goals per match across 4 home matches against Sevilla's 1.2 away, and both are better than their league baselines, with Real Madrid's gap the larger. Sevilla's away defence is solid, but Real Madrid's home record is the sharper edge, and it underpins the market's confidence in the home side.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Real Madrid are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 32% of their goals between minutes 76-90, while Sevilla peak just after half-time, with 38% of their goals coming between minutes 46-60. Sevilla are also vulnerable late, conceding 25% of their goals in the 76-90 window, against 31% of their own goals scored in that same period.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Real Madrid's matches have been the more reliably high-scoring, with 75% of their matches going over 2.5 goals against Sevilla's 62.5%, and the halves split differently: Real Madrid's matches are front-loaded, with 62.5% producing over 1.5 first-half goals, while Sevilla's are back-loaded, with 62.5% producing over 1.5 second-half goals. The combined picture points to a match that could open up after the break.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 8 LaLiga matches, Real Madrid have been awarded an average of 7.1 corners per match, while Sevilla have averaged 3.1 corners.
In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Real Madrid have received an average of 3 cards per match, while Sevilla have averaged 3.4 cards.
Real Madrid seem to be in a good form. They won 6 out of the last 8 matches of the LaLiga.
Chances are good to see a goal from Real Madrid within the first half. They have averaged 1.2 goals before halftime in the LaLiga this season.
In the last 8 matches of the LaLiga, Real Madrid scored 19 goals (average 2.3) while Sevilla scored 13 (average 1.6).
Real Madrid have conceded a total of only 2 goals when playing at home, which is the least in the LaLiga this season.
In the last 3 matches of the LaLiga, Real Madrid conceded on average 1.3 goals per match while Sevilla conceded on average 2 goals per match.
The chances of seeing a goal from Sevilla in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.3 goals before halftime in the LaLiga matches this season.
In the last 22 months, Real Madrid and Sevilla have faced each other 4 times, with Real Madrid winning 4 times.
In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Real Madrid have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Sevilla have averaged 0.6 cards.
Sevilla scored at least one goal per match in the LaLiga this season.
Standings & Form · LaLiga 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Real Madrid sit 4th with 18 points, four clear of 5th-placed Sevilla on 14, and the gap is built almost entirely at home: Real Madrid have won all four home matches with a goal difference of 11, while Sevilla have taken 8 points from four away matches, with two wins and two draws and a goal difference of 3. Sevilla's away record is genuinely solid, but Real Madrid's home perfection is the sharper edge here.
Real MadridSevillaHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Real Madrid have dominated this fixture, winning 9 of the last 10 meetings with 1 draw and no Sevilla wins, and the goals are one-sided too: 21 for Real Madrid against 8 for Sevilla. At this ground the pattern is starker, with 5 wins from 5 meetings and a 12-4 goal margin, though the most recent meeting was only in May 2026, so the history is current.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Real Madrid's home attack is clearly the stronger of the two, scoring 3.2 goals per match across 4 home matches against Sevilla's 2.0 away, and both sit well above their league baselines, with Real Madrid's gap the larger. Sevilla's away scoring is still better than the league average for an away side, but Real Madrid's home output is the clearest attacking edge in this fixture.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Real Madrid's home defence is the standout here, conceding just 0.5 goals per match across 4 home matches against Sevilla's 1.2 away, and both are better than their league baselines, with Real Madrid's gap the larger. Sevilla's away defence is solid, but Real Madrid's home record is the sharper edge, and it underpins the market's confidence in the home side.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Real Madrid are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 32% of their goals between minutes 76-90, while Sevilla peak just after half-time, with 38% of their goals coming between minutes 46-60. Sevilla are also vulnerable late, conceding 25% of their goals in the 76-90 window, against 31% of their own goals scored in that same period.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Real Madrid's matches have been the more reliably high-scoring, with 75% of their matches going over 2.5 goals against Sevilla's 62.5%, and the halves split differently: Real Madrid's matches are front-loaded, with 62.5% producing over 1.5 first-half goals, while Sevilla's are back-loaded, with 62.5% producing over 1.5 second-half goals. The combined picture points to a match that could open up after the break.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 8 LaLiga matches, Real Madrid have been awarded an average of 7.1 corners per match, while Sevilla have averaged 3.1 corners.
In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Real Madrid have received an average of 3 cards per match, while Sevilla have averaged 3.4 cards.
Real Madrid seem to be in a good form. They won 6 out of the last 8 matches of the LaLiga.
Chances are good to see a goal from Real Madrid within the first half. They have averaged 1.2 goals before halftime in the LaLiga this season.
In the last 8 matches of the LaLiga, Real Madrid scored 19 goals (average 2.3) while Sevilla scored 13 (average 1.6).
Real Madrid have conceded a total of only 2 goals when playing at home, which is the least in the LaLiga this season.
In the last 3 matches of the LaLiga, Real Madrid conceded on average 1.3 goals per match while Sevilla conceded on average 2 goals per match.
The chances of seeing a goal from Sevilla in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.3 goals before halftime in the LaLiga matches this season.
In the last 22 months, Real Madrid and Sevilla have faced each other 4 times, with Real Madrid winning 4 times.
In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Real Madrid have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Sevilla have averaged 0.6 cards.
Sevilla scored at least one goal per match in the LaLiga this season.
About The Match
Real Madrid's home record is the strongest single signal in this fixture, but Sevilla's away form is quietly solid, and the market's heavy home lean rests on a thin four-match venue sample for both sides. Real Madrid have won all four home matches this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match across those four, while Sevilla are unbeaten in four away matches and have scored in every one of them. The key uncertainty is whether Sevilla's second-half scoring pattern can trouble a Real Madrid defence that has conceded just twice at home all season.