10xSharp

Malaga vs Real Sociedad — LaLiga 26/27

SUN, OCT 18La Rosaleda
2 – 5Half-time 0 – 2Full time
Malaga: A. Nino
54'
Malaga: P. Martinez
66'
3'
Real Sociedad: T. Kubo
26'
Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson
59', 67'
Real Sociedad: M. Oyarzabal
73'
Real Sociedad: G. Guedes

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:24 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the LaLiga page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · LaLiga 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Real Sociedad sit 6th with 13 points, a comfortable margin over 20th-placed Malaga on 4 points, and that gap is reflected in their venue records. Malaga have yet to win at home this season, drawing 3 and losing 1 of their 4 home matches, while Real Sociedad have won 2 and lost 2 of their 4 away matches, leaving the visitors with a clear edge in both table position and away form.

Malaga
Last 6 · all comps
Real Sociedad
Last 6 · all comps
MCF0%Win Rate50%RSO
MCF50%Loss Rate38%RSO

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

3
RSO wins
3
draws
4
MCF wins

Across 10 meetings from 2014 to 2024, Malaga have won 4, Real Sociedad 3, with 3 draws, so the overall history is close. At Malaga's ground, the 6 meetings have produced 2 Malaga wins, 3 Real Sociedad wins and 1 draw, with both teams scoring 6 goals each, and the most recent meeting, outside this competition, was a 1-0 Real Sociedad win in 2024.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Attack

Real Sociedad hold a large attacking edge, scoring 1.8 goals per away match across 4 away matches against Malaga's 0.8 per home match across 4 home matches. Real Sociedad's away output is clearly better than the league average for an away side on the road, while Malaga's home scoring is far worse than the league average for a home side at home.

All venues
Home/AwayMCF home · RSO away

Goals Scored · Season

MCF0.51.5RSO
MCF0.81.8RSO

Failed to Score · Season

MCF50%38%RSO
MCF25%25%RSO

Attacking Share · Season

MCF24%44%RSO
MCF38%44%RSO

Goals Scored · Last 5

MCF0.61.4RSO
MCF1.01.6RSO

Failed to Score · Last 5

MCF40%40%RSO
MCF20%20%RSO

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Malaga are most dangerous late, scoring 50% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Real Sociedad's peak scoring window is 31-45 minutes with 25% of their goals.

MalagaReal Sociedad
25%
0%
25%
0%
0%
50%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
17%
17%
25%
8%
17%
17%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
MCF0%1st Half Lead %38%RSO
MCF38%2nd Half Lead %13%RSO

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

MCF ■RSO ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

The two teams produce very different goal environments, with 75% of Real Sociedad's matches going over 2.5 goals compared with just 25% for Malaga. Real Sociedad's matches are also more front-loaded, with 50% producing over 1.5 first-half goals against 37.5% for Malaga, and the visitors' matches see far more second-half goals at 62.5% over 1.5 compared with 12.5% for Malaga.

MCF88%Over 0.588%RSO
MCF75%Over 1.575%RSO
MCF25%Over 2.575%RSO
MCF25%Over 3.550%RSO
MCF0%Over 4.550%RSO
MCF0%Over 5.50%RSO
2.12Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.38

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Malaga have received an average of 1.8 cards in the first half per match, while Real Sociedad have averaged 0.6 cards.

  2. Draw seems to be a common result for Malaga lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 LaLiga matches.

  3. In their last 8 LaLiga matches, Malaga have been awarded an average of 5.7 corners per match, while Real Sociedad have averaged 7.2 corners.

  4. In the last 3 matches of the LaLiga, Malaga conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while Real Sociedad conceded on average 2.3 goals per match.

  5. Malaga have been one of the least effective teams in the LaLiga this season, averaging just 0.5 goals per match, which is below the league average of 1.5 goals per match.

  6. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Malaga have received an average of 3.2 cards per match, while Real Sociedad have averaged 2.4 cards.

  7. Malaga struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 LaLiga matches.

  8. In the last 3 matches of the LaLiga, Malaga scored 2 goals (average 0.6) while Real Sociedad scored 6 (average 2).

  9. The chances of seeing a goal from Malaga in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the LaLiga matches this season.

  10. Chances are good to see a goal from Real Sociedad within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the LaLiga this season.

About The Match

Real Sociedad arrive as the market's away favourite and the sharper side on recent form, but the numbers that matter most here are the two attacks' output at their relevant venues. Malaga have scored just 0.8 goals per home match across 4 home matches, while Real Sociedad have managed 1.8 away from home across 4 away matches, a gap that underpins the visitors' edge. The key uncertainty is whether Malaga's solid home defence, conceding only 1.2 per home match, can hold a Real Sociedad side that has leaked 2.2 goals per away match and shown a clear second-half vulnerability.