Ligue 1 26/27 · Round 7 ·
Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille preview: Angers host Marseille with both sides needing points
Angers welcome Marseille to Stade Raymond Kopa with the two clubs separated by a single point in the table. The clearest signal is Marseille's away defence, which concedes 1.0 goals per match on the road against a league average of 1.67 for away sides.
By 10xSharp · Published
This preview was published before kickoff. The match has finished: see the result and full stats. Read the match report.
Marseille lose a scorer
Marseille are without midfielder Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg through injury, and his absence removes a real contributor: he has scored 1 goal, 11% of the side's goals in this competition. Defender Derek Cornelius is also out with an injury. Angers report no unavailable players, so their squad is unchanged for this match.
Gouiri leads the scoring chart
Marseille's Amine Gouiri is the standout attacking figure, leading the scoring chart with 4 goals from 6 matches, including 1 penalty. He has also provided 1 assist, and his 44% share of Marseille's goals in this competition is the highest single-player contribution on either side. For Angers, Peter Prosper is the main threat with 2 goals from 6 matches, a 29% share of their total, though he sits 14th in the scoring chart.
Angers hold a narrow form edge
Angers arrive in better recent form, taking 7 points from their last six league matches compared with 6 for Marseille. Angers' latest result was a defeat, while Marseille won their most recent match. Both sides have won twice in that window, but Angers have also drawn once and lost three times, whereas Marseille have lost four and drawn none.
One point separates the sides
Angers sit 12th with 7 points, while Marseille are 13th with 6 points. At home, Angers have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their 3 matches, with a goal difference of -1. Marseille's away record is 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses from 3 matches, with a goal difference of -1.
Marseille dominate recent meetings
Across the last 10 meetings, Marseille have won 6 times, Angers once, with 3 draws. The goal difference is 25-12 in Marseille's favour. In the 5 meetings at this ground, Marseille have won 3, Angers 1, with 1 draw, and Marseille have scored 11 goals to Angers' 4.
Both attacks below league average
Angers score 1.0 goals per home match across 3 home matches, clearly worse than the league average of 1.67 for a home side. Marseille score 0.7 goals per away match across 3 away matches, also clearly worse than the league average of 1.24 for an away side. The attack edge is level, with both sides standing the same distance from their own league baseline.
Marseille's away defence is the edge
Marseille concede 1.0 goals per away match across 3 away matches, clearly better than the league average of 1.67 conceded by an away side. Angers concede 1.3 goals per home match across 3 home matches, level with the league average of 1.24 conceded by a home side. The defence edge clearly favours Marseille.
Marseille test the keeper more
Marseille average 4.33 shots on goal per match, compared with 3.67 for Angers. Marseille also see fewer of their shots blocked, averaging 2.33 blocked shots per match against 3.0 for Angers. Marseille's possession share is 57.5%, well above Angers' 50.5%.
Angers leak early, Marseille strike late
Angers score 29% of their goals in the 46-60 minute window and 29% in the 31-45 window, with no single peak band. They concede 30% of their goals in each of the 31-45, 0-15 and 16-30 windows. Marseille score 33% of their goals in the 76-90 window and 33% in the 46-60 window, while conceding 25% in each of the 61-75, 0-15 and 46-60 windows.
Different goal environments
Across all venues, 50% of Angers' matches have gone over 2.5 goals, and 50% of Marseille's matches have done the same. Angers' home matches are lower-scoring: 33% of their home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, against 67% of their away matches. Marseille's away matches are even lower-scoring, with 0% of their away matches going over 2.5 goals.
Marseille's defence should decide it
Marseille's away defence is the clearest signal in this match, conceding 1.0 goals per match on the road against a league average of 1.67. Angers' home attack is also below the league average, scoring 1.0 goals per home match. The market prices Marseille as favourites, and their defensive edge supports that read. Expect a tight match with Marseille's late scoring threat against Angers' early vulnerability.