10xSharp

LA Galaxy vs Colorado — MLS 2026

SUN, SEP 27Dignity Health Sports Park
3 – 2Half-time 0 – 2Full time
LA Galaxy: R. Cannon
54' (OG)
LA Galaxy: J. Klauss
66'
LA Galaxy: J. Haak
74'
4'
Colorado: D. Phillip
39'
Colorado: P. Aaronson

LA Galaxy: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards

Colorado: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 25, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.

Standings & Form · MLS 2026

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

Colorado sit higher in the table at 12th with 36 points, but their away record is poor: just 2 wins and 9 losses in 13 away matches. LA Galaxy are 17th with 33 points and a modest home record of 4 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, so the gap is smaller than the positions suggest.

LA Galaxy
Colorado
Last 6 · all comps
LA30%Win Rate42%COL
LA37%Loss Rate46%COL

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

Attack

LA Galaxy average 1.2 goals per home match, while Colorado manage just 0.8 goals per away match. That gap of 0.4 goals per match is a real edge for the home side, though neither attack is prolific.

All venues
Home/AwayLA home · COL away

Goals Scored · Season

LA1.31.4COL
LA1.20.8COL

Failed to Score · Season

LA15%27%COL
LA15%46%COL

Attacking Share · Season

LA45%51%COL
LA48%32%COL

Goals Scored · Last 5

LA1.41.0COL
LA1.00.4COL

Failed to Score · Last 5

LA20%40%COL
LA20%60%COL

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

Both teams are most dangerous late, with LA Galaxy scoring 32% of their goals in the 76-90 minute band and Colorado 22% in the same period. Colorado are also most vulnerable late, conceding 34% of their goals in that final stretch.

LA GalaxyColorado
24%
12%
15%
15%
3%
32%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
14%
17%
11%
19%
17%
22%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
LA26%1st Half Lead %35%COL
LA37%2nd Half Lead %39%COL

Goal Lines · Season 2026

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

LA ■COL ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

LA Galaxy's matches trend toward goals, with 63% of their games going over 2.5 goals this season, while Colorado's sit at 46%. At this venue, LA Galaxy's over-2.5 rate drops to 54% and Colorado's away rate is 54%, suggesting a moderate goal environment.

LA96%Over 0.596%COL
LA89%Over 1.562%COL
LA63%Over 2.546%COL
LA26%Over 3.531%COL
LA7%Over 4.523%COL
LA0%Over 5.58%COL
2.81Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.73

Betting Angles

Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0

Where we differ from the bookmaker
under 3.0 goals+23.1
Model 73% · bookmaker 50%Pts of edge
Chance of over 3.0 goals
Our model, over 3.0 goals
27%
Bookmaker, over 3.0 goals
50%

The total goals market prices over 3 goals at 50%, but our model puts the probability at just 27%. That leaves our read about 23 percentage points below the market's, a substantial gap that points toward fewer goals than the line implies.

Statistical insight only · not advice

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Draw seems to be a common result for Colorado lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.

  2. In their last 5 MLS matches, LA Galaxy have received an average of 1.2 cards per match, while Colorado have averaged 1.8 cards.

  3. In their last 3 MLS matches, LA Galaxy have been awarded an average of 6.3 corners per match, while Colorado have averaged 4.3 corners.

  4. In their last 5 MLS matches, LA Galaxy have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Colorado have averaged 0.4 cards.

  5. In the last 3 matches of the MLS, LA Galaxy conceded on average 2 goals per match while Colorado conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.

  6. Chances are good to see a goal from Colorado within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.

About The Match

LA Galaxy's home form and Colorado's away struggles shape this fixture, but the market sees it as close. LA Galaxy are unbeaten in their last 4 home matches while Colorado have lost 2 of their last 3 away and failed to score in 2 of those. The key uncertainty is whether Colorado's strong home form can travel, given they average just 0.8 goals per away match this season.