10xSharp

Salt Lake vs New England — MLS 2026

SUN, SEP 27America First Field
Salt Lake: A. Hezarkhani
2'
Salt Lake: S. Solans
62', 80'

Salt Lake: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards

New England: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 25, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.

Standings & Form · MLS 2026

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

New England's away record is the more impressive of the two, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded on the road, while Salt Lake have managed just 13 goals and conceded 24 at home. The table gap is stark, but Salt Lake's home form is the one place they have been competitive, with 7 wins and a +4 goal difference at home against New England's -1 away.

Salt Lake
Last 6 · all comps
New England
Last 6 · all comps
RSL31%Win Rate54%NE
RSL50%Loss Rate31%NE

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

2
NE wins
3
draws
5
RSL wins

Salt Lake have dominated this fixture at home, winning 4 of the 5 meetings at this ground with no defeats, and they have not lost to New England at home in their last 9 encounters. Across all venues, Salt Lake lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to New England's 2, and the average total goals is 3.0.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

Attack

New England's away attack is the sharper of the two, scoring 1.5 goals per away match against Salt Lake's 1.8 at home, but New England have been far more consistent, scoring in every one of their last five away matches. Salt Lake's home scoring is decent but they have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 home matches.

All venues
Home/AwayRSL home · NE away

Goals Scored · Season

RSL1.41.7NE
RSL1.81.5NE

Failed to Score · Season

RSL23%19%NE
RSL23%15%NE

Attacking Share · Season

RSL46%58%NE
RSL55%49%NE

Goals Scored · Last 5

RSL0.62.4NE
RSL1.22.2NE

Failed to Score · Last 5

RSL60%0%NE
RSL40%0%NE

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

New England are most dangerous late, scoring 31% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Salt Lake's peak scoring band is earlier, with 24% of their goals coming between minutes 16-30. Salt Lake are equally vulnerable late, conceding 20% of their goals in both the 61-75 and 76-90 windows, which could make the closing stages decisive.

Salt LakeNew England
11%
24%
19%
16%
11%
19%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
11%
9%
22%
18%
9%
31%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
RSL31%1st Half Lead %39%NE
RSL31%2nd Half Lead %46%NE

Goal Lines · Season 2026

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

RSL ■NE ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Both teams' matches trend over 2.5 goals, with 69.23% of New England's away matches and 65.38% of Salt Lake's home matches clearing that line. New England's away matches have been slightly higher scoring at 3.0 combined goals per match versus Salt Lake's 3.38 at home, and both sides have failed to score in under a quarter of their matches.

RSL100%Over 0.596%NE
RSL92%Over 1.581%NE
RSL65%Over 2.569%NE
RSL31%Over 3.527%NE
RSL12%Over 4.515%NE
RSL8%Over 5.58%NE
3.12Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.00

Betting Angles

Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0

Where we differ from the bookmaker
over 3.0 goals+3.0
Model 54% · bookmaker 51%Pts of edge
Chance of over 3.0 goals
Our model, over 3.0 goals
54%
Bookmaker, over 3.0 goals
51%

Our model prices the over 3 goals line at 53.6%, while the market's implied probability is 50.6%. The edge of about 3 percentage points is a marginal difference, suggesting our season record points to slightly more goals than the market is pricing, but not enough to be a strong signal.

Statistical insight only · not advice

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. New England seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.

  2. In their last 3 MLS matches, Salt Lake have been awarded an average of 7.3 corners per match, while New England have averaged 4.6 corners.

  3. In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Salt Lake conceded on average 2.3 goals per match while New England conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.

  4. In their last 5 MLS matches, Salt Lake have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while New England have averaged 1 card.

  5. In their last 5 MLS matches, Salt Lake have received an average of 2 cards per match, while New England have averaged 1.8 cards.

  6. New England conceded 4 less goals than Salt Lake in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.

  7. Chances are good to see a goal from Salt Lake within the first half. They have averaged 0.7 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.

About The Match

New England arrive as the market's narrow favourite, and the table gap is real: they sit 3rd with 46 points while Salt Lake are 23rd with 29, a chasm that widens when you look at home and away splits. The clearest signal is form, where New England have taken 13 points from their last six against Salt Lake's 1, and Salt Lake are winless in at least 10 matches across all competitions. The key uncertainty is whether Salt Lake's home record, 7 wins and a positive goal difference at home, can slow a New England side that has won four of its last six away matches and scored in every one of them.