10xSharp

Dallas vs LAFC — MLS 2026

SUN, SEP 27Toyota Stadium
1 – 0Half-time 1 – 0Full time
Dallas: O. Urhoghide
34'

Dallas: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards

LAFC: 4 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 25, 2026, 8:37 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.

Standings & Form · MLS 2026

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

Dallas sit 7th with 44 points, three points ahead of 10th-placed LAFC, but the gap is driven almost entirely by home form: Dallas have 20 points from 12 home matches while LAFC have taken just 15 from 14 away. Dallas's home record of 5 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses contrasts with LAFC's away record of 3 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses, so the table flatters neither side but the venue tilts this fixture toward the hosts.

Dallas
Last 6 · all comps
LAFC
DAL46%Win Rate41%LAF
DAL23%Loss Rate30%LAF

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

6
LAF wins
1
draws
3
DAL wins

LAFC have dominated this fixture overall, winning 6 of the 10 meetings to Dallas's 3, but at this ground the record flips: Dallas have won 3 of the 5 meetings at home, with LAFC winning just 1 and 1 draw. The most recent meeting went to LAFC 1-0 in March, but Dallas are unbeaten in their last four home encounters with LAFC.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

Attack

Dallas carry the greater attacking threat at home, scoring 2.0 goals per home match against LAFC's 1.3 away, and they have scored in 73% of all matches this season. LAFC's away attack is modest, with just 18 goals in 14 away matches, so the hosts hold a clear edge in this department.

All venues
Home/AwayDAL home · LAF away

Goals Scored · Season

DAL1.91.6LAF
DAL2.01.3LAF

Failed to Score · Season

DAL27%19%LAF
DAL25%21%LAF

Attacking Share · Season

DAL54%60%LAF
DAL55%50%LAF

Goals Scored · Last 5

DAL2.21.4LAF
DAL2.01.0LAF

Failed to Score · Last 5

DAL20%20%LAF
DAL20%40%LAF

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

Dallas are most dangerous late, scoring 29% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while LAFC peak earlier with 23% of their goals in the 31-45 minute period. LAFC are equally vulnerable in the 76-90 and 46-60 windows, conceding 21% of goals in each, so a late Dallas push could be decisive.

DallasLAFC
14%
16%
22%
12%
6%
29%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
12%
14%
23%
14%
16%
21%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
DAL35%1st Half Lead %37%LAF
DAL39%2nd Half Lead %44%LAF

Goal Lines · Season 2026

Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026

DAL ■LAF ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Dallas's matches are the more open, with 69% of their games going over 2.5 goals this season against LAFC's 52%, and at home that over-rate is 67%. LAFC's away matches average just 2.57 total goals, and they have failed to score in 21% of away games, so the hosts' environment is the likelier to produce goals.

DAL88%Over 0.589%LAF
DAL77%Over 1.570%LAF
DAL69%Over 2.552%LAF
DAL50%Over 3.537%LAF
DAL35%Over 4.515%LAF
DAL19%Over 5.54%LAF
3.50Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.67

Betting Angles

Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0

Where we differ from the bookmaker
over 3.0 goals+5.5
Model 55% · bookmaker 49%Pts of edge
Chance of over 3.0 goals
Our model, over 3.0 goals
55%
Bookmaker, over 3.0 goals
49%

Our model gives this match a 54.5% chance of going over 3 goals, while the market prices it at 49.1%. That leaves our read about 5.4 percentage points above the market's, a modest lean toward the over.

Statistical insight only · not advice

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Draw seems to be a common result for LAFC lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 MLS matches.

  2. In their last 15 MLS matches, Dallas have been awarded an average of 4.2 corners per match, while LAFC have averaged 6.6 corners.

  3. In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 1.4 cards per match, while LAFC have averaged 1.4 cards.

  4. In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Dallas conceded on average 0.6 goals per match while LAFC conceded on average 1.6 goals per match.

  5. Chances are good to see a goal from Dallas within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the MLS this season.

  6. In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while LAFC have averaged 0.6 cards.

About The Match

Dallas arrive with the sharper form and a clear home edge, but LAFC's defensive resilience and superior head-to-head record keep this fixture finely balanced. Dallas have taken 11 points from their last six league matches to LAFC's 7, and at home they score 2.0 goals per match while LAFC manage just 1.3 away. The key uncertainty is whether LAFC's league-best 48% clean-sheet rate can blunt a Dallas attack that has scored in 73% of matches this season.