San Jose vs Portland — MLS 2026
San Jose: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Portland: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 25, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
The table gap flatters San Jose at home, where their points-per-match drops to 1.38 against Portland's 0.67 away. San Jose's 42 points and 9th place come largely from a strong away record, while Portland's 18th place reflects a home-heavy 32 points and just two away wins all season.
San Jose
PortlandScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Attack
Portland's away attack is the weaker of the two, scoring 1.3 goals per away match against San Jose's 1.7 at home. San Jose's home scoring is slightly below their own season average of 1.8, while Portland's away output is well down on their overall 1.8.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
San Jose's home defense is marginally tighter, conceding 1.6 goals per home match against Portland's 1.9 away. Portland's away conceding is only slightly worse than their season average of 1.8, but they have kept just one clean sheet all season.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Portland are most dangerous late, scoring 26% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, the same period in which they concede 23% of their goals. San Jose's peak scoring band is the opening 15 minutes at 24%, and they are most vulnerable in the final 15, conceding 26% there.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Portland's matches have been far more open, with 73% of their games going over 2.5 goals compared to 58% for San Jose. At this venue, San Jose's over-2.5 rate is 62% while Portland's away rate is 58%, and both teams have failed to score in under 20% of matches this season.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the under 55%; the bookmaker gives it 49%.
The market prices the total at 3.25 goals with a 51% implied probability of the over, while our model puts the over at 45%. Our read sits about 6 percentage points below the market's, a modest gap that suggests the season record points to slightly fewer goals than the odds imply.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Portland have averaged 0.8 cards.
Draw seems to be a common result for San Jose lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Portland have averaged 0.6 cards.
In their last 26 MLS matches, San Jose have been awarded an average of 6.2 corners per match, while Portland have averaged 4.6 corners.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, San Jose conceded on average 1 goals per match while Portland conceded on average 2.2 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from San Jose within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
The table gap flatters San Jose at home, where their points-per-match drops to 1.38 against Portland's 0.67 away. San Jose's 42 points and 9th place come largely from a strong away record, while Portland's 18th place reflects a home-heavy 32 points and just two away wins all season.
San JosePortlandHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
History is evenly split, with 4 wins each and 2 draws across the last 10 meetings, and the venue record is just as balanced at 2 wins apiece in 5 matches at San Jose. The most recent meeting went San Jose's way, 3-1 at Portland in May.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Attack
Portland's away attack is the weaker of the two, scoring 1.3 goals per away match against San Jose's 1.7 at home. San Jose's home scoring is slightly below their own season average of 1.8, while Portland's away output is well down on their overall 1.8.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
San Jose's home defense is marginally tighter, conceding 1.6 goals per home match against Portland's 1.9 away. Portland's away conceding is only slightly worse than their season average of 1.8, but they have kept just one clean sheet all season.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Portland are most dangerous late, scoring 26% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, the same period in which they concede 23% of their goals. San Jose's peak scoring band is the opening 15 minutes at 24%, and they are most vulnerable in the final 15, conceding 26% there.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 25, 2026
Portland's matches have been far more open, with 73% of their games going over 2.5 goals compared to 58% for San Jose. At this venue, San Jose's over-2.5 rate is 62% while Portland's away rate is 58%, and both teams have failed to score in under 20% of matches this season.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the under 55%; the bookmaker gives it 49%.
The market prices the total at 3.25 goals with a 51% implied probability of the over, while our model puts the over at 45%. Our read sits about 6 percentage points below the market's, a modest gap that suggests the season record points to slightly fewer goals than the odds imply.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Portland have averaged 0.8 cards.
Draw seems to be a common result for San Jose lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Portland have averaged 0.6 cards.
In their last 26 MLS matches, San Jose have been awarded an average of 6.2 corners per match, while Portland have averaged 4.6 corners.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, San Jose conceded on average 1 goals per match while Portland conceded on average 2.2 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from San Jose within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
San Jose arrive with the better recent form and a clear home-table edge, but Portland's matches have been far more open all season, which keeps the totals market leaning over. San Jose are unbeaten in their last five and sit 9th with 42 points, while Portland are 18th with 32 and winless in their last three. The market prices the total at 3.25 goals with a slight lean to the over, yet our season model reads the same line at 45%, a few points below the market's 51%. The key uncertainty is whether Portland's leaky first-half defending, which has them conceding 60% of goals before the break, outweighs San Jose's own modest home scoring of 1.7 goals per match.