Orlando vs DC United — MLS 2026
Orlando: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
DC United: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Orlando sit 16th on 38 points, eight places and five points clear of DC United in 24th. At home Orlando have won 8 of 14 matches with a +7 goal difference, while DC United have managed only 2 wins from 13 away matches with a -5 goal difference.
Orlando
DC UnitedScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Orlando's home attack is marginally better than DC United's away attack, scoring 1.9 goals per home match to DC United's 1.2 away. Orlando's rate is level with the league average for a home side, while DC United's is marginally worse than the average away side.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
DC United's away defence is marginally better than Orlando's home defence, conceding 1.6 goals per away match to Orlando's 1.4 at home. DC United's rate is marginally better than the league average for an away side, while Orlando's is level with the average home side.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous late, with Orlando scoring 30% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window and DC United 31% in the same period.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Orlando's matches have been higher scoring, with 76% going over 2.5 goals compared to 61% for DC United. Both teams lean toward second-half goals, with Orlando's matches averaging 69% of goals after the break and DC United's 54%.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.5
We give the under 66%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
The market prices the total at 3.5 goals, with a 50% chance of going over. Our model puts the over at 34%, about 17 percentage points below the market's read, suggesting the season record points to fewer goals than the market is pricing.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 92%, bookmaker correct-score price 97%, edge minus 4.6 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 74%, bookmaker correct-score price 88%, edge minus 14.1 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 55%, bookmaker correct-score price 70%, edge minus 15.2 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 34%, bookmaker correct-score price 50%, edge minus 16.6 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 22%, bookmaker correct-score price 31%, edge minus 8.5 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 MLS matches, Orlando have received an average of 1.8 cards in the first half per match, while DC United have averaged 0.6 cards.
Draw seems to be a common result for DC United lately. They have drawn 11 out of their last 20 MLS matches.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Orlando have been awarded an average of 3.6 corners per match, while DC United have averaged 5.3 corners.
In the last 27 matches of the MLS, Orlando conceded on average 2.3 goals per match while DC United conceded on average 1.7 goals per match.
The chances of seeing a goal from DC United in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Orlando have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while DC United have averaged 1.8 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Orlando within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Orlando sit 16th on 38 points, eight places and five points clear of DC United in 24th. At home Orlando have won 8 of 14 matches with a +7 goal difference, while DC United have managed only 2 wins from 13 away matches with a -5 goal difference.
OrlandoDC UnitedHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
The last 10 meetings are evenly split, with 4 wins each and 2 draws, and the most recent meeting went to DC United 3-2 in April. At this ground, Orlando have won 3 of the 5 meetings, with DC United winning the other 2.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Orlando's home attack is marginally better than DC United's away attack, scoring 1.9 goals per home match to DC United's 1.2 away. Orlando's rate is level with the league average for a home side, while DC United's is marginally worse than the average away side.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
DC United's away defence is marginally better than Orlando's home defence, conceding 1.6 goals per away match to Orlando's 1.4 at home. DC United's rate is marginally better than the league average for an away side, while Orlando's is level with the average home side.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous late, with Orlando scoring 30% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window and DC United 31% in the same period.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Orlando's matches have been higher scoring, with 76% going over 2.5 goals compared to 61% for DC United. Both teams lean toward second-half goals, with Orlando's matches averaging 69% of goals after the break and DC United's 54%.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.5
We give the under 66%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
The market prices the total at 3.5 goals, with a 50% chance of going over. Our model puts the over at 34%, about 17 percentage points below the market's read, suggesting the season record points to fewer goals than the market is pricing.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 92%, bookmaker correct-score price 97%, edge minus 4.6 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 74%, bookmaker correct-score price 88%, edge minus 14.1 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 55%, bookmaker correct-score price 70%, edge minus 15.2 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 34%, bookmaker correct-score price 50%, edge minus 16.6 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 22%, bookmaker correct-score price 31%, edge minus 8.5 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 MLS matches, Orlando have received an average of 1.8 cards in the first half per match, while DC United have averaged 0.6 cards.
Draw seems to be a common result for DC United lately. They have drawn 11 out of their last 20 MLS matches.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Orlando have been awarded an average of 3.6 corners per match, while DC United have averaged 5.3 corners.
In the last 27 matches of the MLS, Orlando conceded on average 2.3 goals per match while DC United conceded on average 1.7 goals per match.
The chances of seeing a goal from DC United in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Orlando have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while DC United have averaged 1.8 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Orlando within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Orlando's home form is the sharpest signal here, with four straight wins at their own ground, while DC United arrive winless in three away matches. The market prices Orlando as the match-winner favourite at 51%, but the total goals line is a coin flip at 3.5, and our model sees far fewer goals than the market does. The key uncertainty is whether DC United's better defensive record on the road can slow an Orlando attack that has scored nine goals in their last four home matches.