Philadelphia vs Charlotte — MLS 2026
Philadelphia: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards
CARDSCharlotte: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page · Read the match report.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Charlotte sit two places higher in the table, but the points gap is minimal: 46 points for Charlotte against 45 for Philadelphia. Philadelphia's home record is solid at 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, while Charlotte's away record is more mixed at 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, giving the hosts a clear venue edge.
Philadelphia
CharlotteScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Charlotte hold a marginal attacking edge on the road, scoring 1.6 goals per away match against a league away-side average of 1.4, while Philadelphia's home attack is level with the league at 1.8 goals per home match. Philadelphia's home scoring is slightly below their season average of 2.0, while Charlotte's away scoring is close to their overall 1.8.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Philadelphia's home defence is the standout unit here, conceding 1.0 goals per home match against a league home-side average of 1.4, a clear defensive edge. Charlotte's away defence is level with the league at 1.9 conceded per away match, so the hosts are far more likely to keep it tight.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Philadelphia are most dangerous in the 61-75 minute window, scoring 29% of their goals there, while Charlotte's peak scoring band is 16-30 minutes at 22%.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Both teams' matches trend toward goals, with 69% of Philadelphia's matches and 69% of Charlotte's matches going over 2.5 goals this season. Philadelphia's matches are heavily back-loaded, with 66% producing two or more second-half goals, while Charlotte's are more balanced but still lean toward the second half.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the under 57%; the bookmaker gives it 47%.
The market prices the over 3.25 goals at 52.6%, while our model puts it at 43.1%. Our read sits about 9.5 percentage points below the market's, suggesting the season record points to fewer goals than the odds imply.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 93%, bookmaker correct-score price 97%, edge minus 3.8 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 82%, bookmaker correct-score price 87%, edge minus 4.4 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 64%, bookmaker correct-score price 68%, edge minus 3.9 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 36%, bookmaker correct-score price 47%, edge minus 11.3 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 25%, bookmaker correct-score price 28%, edge minus 3.0 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Philadelphia seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Philadelphia have been awarded an average of 5 corners per match, while Charlotte have averaged 7.3 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Philadelphia have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Charlotte have averaged 0.4 cards.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, Philadelphia conceded on average 1.2 goals per match while Charlotte conceded on average 2 goals per match.
Philadelphia conceded 4 less goals than Charlotte in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Philadelphia have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while Charlotte have averaged 2.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Philadelphia within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Charlotte sit two places higher in the table, but the points gap is minimal: 46 points for Charlotte against 45 for Philadelphia. Philadelphia's home record is solid at 7 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, while Charlotte's away record is more mixed at 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, giving the hosts a clear venue edge.
PhiladelphiaCharlotteHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
The head-to-head record is evenly split across 10 meetings, with 4 wins for Philadelphia, 4 for Charlotte and 2 draws. At this ground, Philadelphia have won 4 of 5 meetings, but the most recent meeting was a Charlotte home win, so the venue edge is clear but not overwhelming.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Charlotte hold a marginal attacking edge on the road, scoring 1.6 goals per away match against a league away-side average of 1.4, while Philadelphia's home attack is level with the league at 1.8 goals per home match. Philadelphia's home scoring is slightly below their season average of 2.0, while Charlotte's away scoring is close to their overall 1.8.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Philadelphia's home defence is the standout unit here, conceding 1.0 goals per home match against a league home-side average of 1.4, a clear defensive edge. Charlotte's away defence is level with the league at 1.9 conceded per away match, so the hosts are far more likely to keep it tight.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Philadelphia are most dangerous in the 61-75 minute window, scoring 29% of their goals there, while Charlotte's peak scoring band is 16-30 minutes at 22%.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Both teams' matches trend toward goals, with 69% of Philadelphia's matches and 69% of Charlotte's matches going over 2.5 goals this season. Philadelphia's matches are heavily back-loaded, with 66% producing two or more second-half goals, while Charlotte's are more balanced but still lean toward the second half.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the under 57%; the bookmaker gives it 47%.
The market prices the over 3.25 goals at 52.6%, while our model puts it at 43.1%. Our read sits about 9.5 percentage points below the market's, suggesting the season record points to fewer goals than the odds imply.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 93%, bookmaker correct-score price 97%, edge minus 3.8 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 82%, bookmaker correct-score price 87%, edge minus 4.4 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 64%, bookmaker correct-score price 68%, edge minus 3.9 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 36%, bookmaker correct-score price 47%, edge minus 11.3 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 25%, bookmaker correct-score price 28%, edge minus 3.0 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Philadelphia seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Philadelphia have been awarded an average of 5 corners per match, while Charlotte have averaged 7.3 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Philadelphia have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Charlotte have averaged 0.4 cards.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, Philadelphia conceded on average 1.2 goals per match while Charlotte conceded on average 2 goals per match.
Philadelphia conceded 4 less goals than Charlotte in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Philadelphia have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while Charlotte have averaged 2.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Philadelphia within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Philadelphia are the form side in this matchup, having won their last six league matches, but Charlotte's away attack has been quietly productive and the market's total line sits high. Philadelphia's home defence is the clearest edge on the pitch, conceding just 1.0 goals per home match against a league home-side average of 1.4, while Charlotte's away defence is level with the league at 1.9 conceded. The key uncertainty is whether Philadelphia's second-half scoring surge can overcome a Charlotte side that has scored in all but one of its recent away matches.