Kansas City vs Philadelphia — MLS 2026
Kansas City: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Philadelphia: 4 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Philadelphia sit 14th with 33 points, a full 15 points clear of bottom-placed Kansas City on 18, and the away side's 27 goals on the road are nearly double Kansas City's 15 at home. The gap is real rather than flattering: Kansas City have lost 10 of 12 away matches, while Philadelphia have won 4 of 13 on their travels.
Kansas City
PhiladelphiaScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Philadelphia's away attack is clearly the more potent, averaging 2.1 goals per away match against Kansas City's 1.2 at home. The away side have scored 12 goals in their last five away matches, while Kansas City have managed only 6 in their last five at home.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Kansas City's home defence has been the more vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per home match compared with Philadelphia's 2.2 away, but the away side's recent away record is far stronger with just 5 conceded in their last five. Kansas City have kept no clean sheets at home this season, while Philadelphia have one in their last five away matches.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Philadelphia are most dangerous between minutes 61 and 75, scoring 26% of their goals in that spell, while Kansas City's scoring peak is shared between minutes 31-45 and 61-75 at 23% each. The away side's second-half strength is clear: they have scored 67% of their goals after the break.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Kansas City's matches have been high-scoring at home, with 79.17% of their home games going over 2.5 goals this season, while Philadelphia's away matches have gone over 2.5 in 64% of cases. The away side's away matches average 4.23 combined goals, well above Kansas City's 3.08 at home.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the over 55%; the bookmaker gives it 51%.
The total goals market is priced at 3.25, and our model gives a 55.3% chance of over that line, while the market's implied probability is 50.6%. That leaves our read about 4.6 percentage points above the market's, a modest lean toward goals.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Kansas City have conceded a total of 59 goals, which is the most in the MLS this season.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Kansas City conceded on average 2.6 goals per match while Philadelphia conceded on average 0 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 1.2 cards.
Kansas City have been struggling lately. They lost 7 of their last 10 matches of the MLS.
In their last 24 MLS matches, Kansas City have been awarded an average of 3.9 corners per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 6 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Philadelphia within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Philadelphia sit 14th with 33 points, a full 15 points clear of bottom-placed Kansas City on 18, and the away side's 27 goals on the road are nearly double Kansas City's 15 at home. The gap is real rather than flattering: Kansas City have lost 10 of 12 away matches, while Philadelphia have won 4 of 13 on their travels.
Kansas CityPhiladelphiaHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Philadelphia have had the better of recent meetings, winning 4 of the last 10 against Kansas City's 2, with 4 draws. The average of 2.4 goals per meeting and a 60% both-teams-scored rate point to a competitive but not high-scoring history.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Philadelphia's away attack is clearly the more potent, averaging 2.1 goals per away match against Kansas City's 1.2 at home. The away side have scored 12 goals in their last five away matches, while Kansas City have managed only 6 in their last five at home.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Kansas City's home defence has been the more vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per home match compared with Philadelphia's 2.2 away, but the away side's recent away record is far stronger with just 5 conceded in their last five. Kansas City have kept no clean sheets at home this season, while Philadelphia have one in their last five away matches.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Philadelphia are most dangerous between minutes 61 and 75, scoring 26% of their goals in that spell, while Kansas City's scoring peak is shared between minutes 31-45 and 61-75 at 23% each. The away side's second-half strength is clear: they have scored 67% of their goals after the break.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Kansas City's matches have been high-scoring at home, with 79.17% of their home games going over 2.5 goals this season, while Philadelphia's away matches have gone over 2.5 in 64% of cases. The away side's away matches average 4.23 combined goals, well above Kansas City's 3.08 at home.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the over 55%; the bookmaker gives it 51%.
The total goals market is priced at 3.25, and our model gives a 55.3% chance of over that line, while the market's implied probability is 50.6%. That leaves our read about 4.6 percentage points above the market's, a modest lean toward goals.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Kansas City have conceded a total of 59 goals, which is the most in the MLS this season.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Kansas City conceded on average 2.6 goals per match while Philadelphia conceded on average 0 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 1.2 cards.
Kansas City have been struggling lately. They lost 7 of their last 10 matches of the MLS.
In their last 24 MLS matches, Kansas City have been awarded an average of 3.9 corners per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 6 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Philadelphia within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Philadelphia arrive as the clear form side and the market's strong favourite, while Kansas City are anchored to the bottom of the table. The gap in recent output is stark: Philadelphia have taken 14 points from their last six league matches against just 4 for Kansas City, and they have scored 18 goals in that run while conceding only 4. The key uncertainty is whether Kansas City's home scoring, 1.2 goals per match, can trouble a Philadelphia defence that has kept three clean sheets in its last six.