Dallas vs Austin — MLS 2026
Dallas: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Austin: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Dallas sit 6th with 43 points while Austin are 23rd with 29, a gap that widens when you look at home and away splits: Dallas average 1.73 points at home versus Austin's 0.92 away. That away record is the clearest signal in this fixture, though Austin's 3 away wins show they are not entirely toothless on the road.
Dallas
AustinScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Dallas's home attack clearly outpaces Austin's on the road, averaging 2.2 goals per home match against 1.2 away. That gap of a full goal per game is the largest attacking edge in this fixture, and it is backed by Dallas scoring in every one of their last five home matches.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Austin's away defence is the clear weak point, conceding 2.5 goals per away match compared to Dallas's 1.8 at home. Austin have kept no clean sheets away this season, while Dallas have managed one in their last three home games, making the visitors the more likely side to leak goals.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous late, with Dallas scoring 29% of their goals and Austin 41% between minutes 76-90. Austin are also most vulnerable in that same final stretch, conceding 43% of their goals there, which sets up a potentially open finish.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Dallas's matches trend high-scoring, with 72% going over 2.5 goals this season, while Austin's away matches are even more extreme at 92% over 2.5. Austin's away games are also back-loaded, with 77% producing over 1.5 second-half goals, and their 0% away clean-sheet rate reinforces the expectation of goals.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the over 78%; the bookmaker gives it 51%.
The total-goals market is set at 3.0, and our model sees a clear lean to the over: our probability is 78% against the market's 51%, an edge of about 27 percentage points. That is a large gap, driven by Austin's away defensive record and Dallas's home scoring, but it is a measured difference, not a recommendation.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Dallas seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
Draw seems to be a common result for Austin lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, Dallas conceded on average 2.6 goals per match while Austin conceded on average 1 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Austin have averaged 0.6 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Dallas within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the MLS this season.
In their last 10 MLS matches, Dallas have been awarded an average of 4.2 corners per match, while Austin have averaged 4.7 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Austin have averaged 2.4 cards.
In the last 14 months, Dallas and Austin have faced each other 3 times, with Dallas winning 2 times.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Dallas sit 6th with 43 points while Austin are 23rd with 29, a gap that widens when you look at home and away splits: Dallas average 1.73 points at home versus Austin's 0.92 away. That away record is the clearest signal in this fixture, though Austin's 3 away wins show they are not entirely toothless on the road.
DallasAustinHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Dallas have won 6 of the last 10 meetings with Austin, including the most recent one 2-1 in August, and Austin have not beaten Dallas in their last five. The average of 2.5 goals per meeting and 60% both-teams-to-score rate point to a competitive but not explosive history.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Dallas's home attack clearly outpaces Austin's on the road, averaging 2.2 goals per home match against 1.2 away. That gap of a full goal per game is the largest attacking edge in this fixture, and it is backed by Dallas scoring in every one of their last five home matches.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Austin's away defence is the clear weak point, conceding 2.5 goals per away match compared to Dallas's 1.8 at home. Austin have kept no clean sheets away this season, while Dallas have managed one in their last three home games, making the visitors the more likely side to leak goals.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous late, with Dallas scoring 29% of their goals and Austin 41% between minutes 76-90. Austin are also most vulnerable in that same final stretch, conceding 43% of their goals there, which sets up a potentially open finish.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Dallas's matches trend high-scoring, with 72% going over 2.5 goals this season, while Austin's away matches are even more extreme at 92% over 2.5. Austin's away games are also back-loaded, with 77% producing over 1.5 second-half goals, and their 0% away clean-sheet rate reinforces the expectation of goals.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the over 78%; the bookmaker gives it 51%.
The total-goals market is set at 3.0, and our model sees a clear lean to the over: our probability is 78% against the market's 51%, an edge of about 27 percentage points. That is a large gap, driven by Austin's away defensive record and Dallas's home scoring, but it is a measured difference, not a recommendation.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Dallas seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
Draw seems to be a common result for Austin lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, Dallas conceded on average 2.6 goals per match while Austin conceded on average 1 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Austin have averaged 0.6 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Dallas within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the MLS this season.
In their last 10 MLS matches, Dallas have been awarded an average of 4.2 corners per match, while Austin have averaged 4.7 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 1.8 cards per match, while Austin have averaged 2.4 cards.
In the last 14 months, Dallas and Austin have faced each other 3 times, with Dallas winning 2 times.
About The Match
Dallas host Austin with a clear table gap but a much closer recent-form picture. The market prices Dallas at 57% to win, and our totals model sees this as the real story: our read sits at 78% for over 3 goals, well above the market's 51%. The key uncertainty is whether Austin's away defence, which concedes 2.5 goals per game, can hold against a Dallas attack that has scored in every recent home match.