Miami vs San Diego — MLS 2026
Miami: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
San Diego: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:10 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Miami's 3rd place overall masks a modest home record, while San Diego's 18th position is driven by a poor away split. Miami have taken 1.5 points per home game against San Diego's 0.82 away, a gap that reflects the visitors' 2 wins in 11 away matches.
Miami
San DiegoScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Miami's home attack is far more productive than San Diego's on the road, the largest scoring edge in this fixture. Miami score 2.8 goals per home match against San Diego's 0.9 away, and Miami also outscore their own season average at home.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
San Diego's away defense is slightly more solid than Miami's at home, though both sides concede regularly. San Diego allow 1.6 goals per away match against Miami's 2.0 at home, and San Diego's away record is better than their overall conceding rate.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Miami are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 31% of their goals there, while San Diego's peak scoring window is just after halftime at 21%. Miami's late threat is their clearest timing edge, though they also concede heavily in that same period.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Miami's matches are consistently high-scoring, with 76% of their games going over 2.5 goals, while San Diego's away matches are far tighter at 36%. Miami's home games average 4.75 combined goals against San Diego's 2.55 away.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 4.0
We give the under 61%; the bookmaker gives it 47%.
The market prices the total at 4.0 goals with a 53% chance of going over, while our model puts the over at 39%. Our read sits about 14 percentage points below the market's, pointing toward fewer goals than the line implies.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Miami lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Miami conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while San Diego conceded on average 3 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Miami have received an average of 3 cards per match, while San Diego have averaged 3 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Miami have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while San Diego have averaged 1.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Miami within the first half. They have averaged 1.1 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
In their last 10 MLS matches, Miami have been awarded an average of 4.8 corners per match, while San Diego have averaged 5.5 corners.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Miami's 3rd place overall masks a modest home record, while San Diego's 18th position is driven by a poor away split. Miami have taken 1.5 points per home game against San Diego's 0.82 away, a gap that reflects the visitors' 2 wins in 11 away matches.
MiamiSan DiegoScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Miami's home attack is far more productive than San Diego's on the road, the largest scoring edge in this fixture. Miami score 2.8 goals per home match against San Diego's 0.9 away, and Miami also outscore their own season average at home.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
San Diego's away defense is slightly more solid than Miami's at home, though both sides concede regularly. San Diego allow 1.6 goals per away match against Miami's 2.0 at home, and San Diego's away record is better than their overall conceding rate.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Miami are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 31% of their goals there, while San Diego's peak scoring window is just after halftime at 21%. Miami's late threat is their clearest timing edge, though they also concede heavily in that same period.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Miami's matches are consistently high-scoring, with 76% of their games going over 2.5 goals, while San Diego's away matches are far tighter at 36%. Miami's home games average 4.75 combined goals against San Diego's 2.55 away.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 4.0
We give the under 61%; the bookmaker gives it 47%.
The market prices the total at 4.0 goals with a 53% chance of going over, while our model puts the over at 39%. Our read sits about 14 percentage points below the market's, pointing toward fewer goals than the line implies.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Miami lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Miami conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while San Diego conceded on average 3 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Miami have received an average of 3 cards per match, while San Diego have averaged 3 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Miami have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while San Diego have averaged 1.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Miami within the first half. They have averaged 1.1 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
In their last 10 MLS matches, Miami have been awarded an average of 4.8 corners per match, while San Diego have averaged 5.5 corners.
About The Match
Miami's home attack is the clearest edge in this fixture, but their season-long tendency to concede late keeps the door open for a San Diego side that has been poor on the road. Miami score 2.8 goals per home match while San Diego manage just 0.9 away, and the market prices Miami at 64% to win. The key uncertainty is whether San Diego's away scoring drought, 10 goals in 11 away matches, can be overcome against a Miami defense that has conceded in 92% of home games.