Colorado vs Seattle — MLS 2026
Colorado: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Seattle: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:09 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Colorado's home record is the real gap here: 9 wins and just 3 losses at home against Seattle's 3 wins and 5 losses away. The overall table flatters Colorado slightly, as their away form is poor, but at this venue they have been a different side.
Colorado
SeattleScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Colorado's home attack is far more productive, averaging 1.8 goals per home match against Seattle's 0.8 away. That gap of a full goal per game is the clearest attacking edge in this fixture, and Seattle's recent away scoring of 0.6 per match only deepens it.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Colorado's home defence has been excellent, conceding just 0.8 goals per home match compared to Seattle's 1.0 away. Colorado also keep a clean sheet in 58% of home games, while Seattle have none in their last four away matches.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous late: Colorado score 21% of their goals after the 76th minute and Seattle 32%, while both also concede heavily in that window. The final quarter is where this match is most likely to turn, with Seattle's late vulnerability at 37% conceded the largest single risk.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Colorado's home matches are low-scoring, with only 33% going over 2.5 goals at this venue, while Seattle's away matches are even lower at 25%. Across the whole season, Colorado's 44% over 2.5 is higher than Seattle's 39%, but both sides trend under the market's 2.75 line.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 2.75
We give the under 76%; the bookmaker gives it 51%.
The market prices the total at 2.75 goals with a 49% chance of going over, but our model puts the over probability at just 24%. That leaves our read about 25 percentage points below the market's, a substantial gap driven by both teams' low-scoring venue records.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Seattle lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Colorado have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Seattle have averaged 0.2 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Colorado have received an average of 2 cards per match, while Seattle have averaged 1.4 cards.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Colorado conceded on average 0.8 goals per match while Seattle conceded on average 1.9 goals per match.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Colorado have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Seattle have averaged 5.3 corners.
The chances of seeing a goal from Seattle in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Colorado within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Colorado's home record is the real gap here: 9 wins and just 3 losses at home against Seattle's 3 wins and 5 losses away. The overall table flatters Colorado slightly, as their away form is poor, but at this venue they have been a different side.
ColoradoSeattleHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Seattle have dominated this matchup, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings to Colorado's 1, with 4 draws. At this ground, Seattle have won 2 of 5 meetings and Colorado just 1, so the away side's historical edge is real but not overwhelming.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Colorado's home attack is far more productive, averaging 1.8 goals per home match against Seattle's 0.8 away. That gap of a full goal per game is the clearest attacking edge in this fixture, and Seattle's recent away scoring of 0.6 per match only deepens it.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Colorado's home defence has been excellent, conceding just 0.8 goals per home match compared to Seattle's 1.0 away. Colorado also keep a clean sheet in 58% of home games, while Seattle have none in their last four away matches.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous late: Colorado score 21% of their goals after the 76th minute and Seattle 32%, while both also concede heavily in that window. The final quarter is where this match is most likely to turn, with Seattle's late vulnerability at 37% conceded the largest single risk.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Colorado's home matches are low-scoring, with only 33% going over 2.5 goals at this venue, while Seattle's away matches are even lower at 25%. Across the whole season, Colorado's 44% over 2.5 is higher than Seattle's 39%, but both sides trend under the market's 2.75 line.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 2.75
We give the under 76%; the bookmaker gives it 51%.
The market prices the total at 2.75 goals with a 49% chance of going over, but our model puts the over probability at just 24%. That leaves our read about 25 percentage points below the market's, a substantial gap driven by both teams' low-scoring venue records.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Seattle lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Colorado have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Seattle have averaged 0.2 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Colorado have received an average of 2 cards per match, while Seattle have averaged 1.4 cards.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Colorado conceded on average 0.8 goals per match while Seattle conceded on average 1.9 goals per match.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Colorado have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Seattle have averaged 5.3 corners.
The chances of seeing a goal from Seattle in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Colorado within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Colorado's home form is the strongest single signal in this fixture: they have won five of their last six at home while Seattle are winless in their last seven overall. The market prices Colorado as a moderate favourite at 48%, and the first-goal market gives them a 55% chance of opening the scoring. The key uncertainty is whether Seattle's recent run of four draws in six reflects resilience or a side that cannot close games, and our totals model sees far fewer goals than the market's 2.75 line.