Dallas vs Seattle — MLS 2026
Dallas: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
CARDSSeattle: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page · Read the match report.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Dallas hold the higher position at 6th with 47 points, while Seattle sit 13th with 41. At home Dallas have won 6, drawn 5 and lost 2, while Seattle on the road have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 5, so the gap narrows considerably when the venue is factored in.
Dallas
SeattleScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Attack
Dallas hold a marginal attacking edge at home, scoring 1.9 goals per match against Seattle's 1.1 away, and Dallas are level with the league's home scoring average while Seattle are worse than the away average. The gap is real but not large, and Seattle's recent away form has been stronger than their season average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Seattle's away defence is the clear standout, conceding just 1.1 goals per match on the road against a league average of 1.84 for away sides. Dallas concede 1.5 at home, level with the league, so Seattle's defensive edge is the clearest signal in this fixture.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, with Dallas scoring 27% of their goals in the 76-90 window and Seattle 34%. Seattle are also most vulnerable in that same window, conceding 34% of their goals there, while Dallas's conceding peak is shared between the 31-45 and 61-75 bands at 22% each.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Dallas's matches produce more goals, with 67.86% of their season matches going over 2.5 goals compared to 46.43% for Seattle. At home Dallas see 61.54% over 2.5, while Seattle on the road see just 35.71%, so the venue split is stark.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 62%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
The total goals market sets the line at 3.0, with the market pricing the over at 50%. Our model puts the over at 38%, so our read sits about 12 percentage points below the market's, pointing toward fewer goals than the market expects.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 89%, bookmaker correct-score price 95%, edge minus 6.6 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 63%, bookmaker correct-score price 82%, edge minus 19.2 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 49%, bookmaker correct-score price 61%, edge minus 12.4 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 34%, bookmaker correct-score price 39%, edge minus 5.2 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 23%, bookmaker correct-score price 21%, edge plus 1.5 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Seattle seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Dallas have been awarded an average of 5.6 corners per match, while Seattle have averaged 7.6 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 1.4 cards per match, while Seattle have averaged 1.8 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Seattle have averaged 0.4 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Dallas within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the MLS this season.
The chances of seeing a goal from Seattle in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Dallas conceded on average 1.7 goals per match while Seattle conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.
In the last 18 months, Dallas and Seattle have faced each other 3 times, with Seattle winning 3 times.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Dallas hold the higher position at 6th with 47 points, while Seattle sit 13th with 41. At home Dallas have won 6, drawn 5 and lost 2, while Seattle on the road have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 5, so the gap narrows considerably when the venue is factored in.
DallasSeattleHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Seattle have dominated this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 meetings with 3 draws and only 1 Dallas win. The most recent meeting was a 2-1 Seattle win in April 2026, and the history is recent enough to carry weight.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Attack
Dallas hold a marginal attacking edge at home, scoring 1.9 goals per match against Seattle's 1.1 away, and Dallas are level with the league's home scoring average while Seattle are worse than the away average. The gap is real but not large, and Seattle's recent away form has been stronger than their season average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Seattle's away defence is the clear standout, conceding just 1.1 goals per match on the road against a league average of 1.84 for away sides. Dallas concede 1.5 at home, level with the league, so Seattle's defensive edge is the clearest signal in this fixture.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, with Dallas scoring 27% of their goals in the 76-90 window and Seattle 34%. Seattle are also most vulnerable in that same window, conceding 34% of their goals there, while Dallas's conceding peak is shared between the 31-45 and 61-75 bands at 22% each.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Dallas's matches produce more goals, with 67.86% of their season matches going over 2.5 goals compared to 46.43% for Seattle. At home Dallas see 61.54% over 2.5, while Seattle on the road see just 35.71%, so the venue split is stark.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 62%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
The total goals market sets the line at 3.0, with the market pricing the over at 50%. Our model puts the over at 38%, so our read sits about 12 percentage points below the market's, pointing toward fewer goals than the market expects.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 89%, bookmaker correct-score price 95%, edge minus 6.6 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 63%, bookmaker correct-score price 82%, edge minus 19.2 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 49%, bookmaker correct-score price 61%, edge minus 12.4 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 34%, bookmaker correct-score price 39%, edge minus 5.2 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 23%, bookmaker correct-score price 21%, edge plus 1.5 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Seattle seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Dallas have been awarded an average of 5.6 corners per match, while Seattle have averaged 7.6 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 1.4 cards per match, while Seattle have averaged 1.8 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Dallas have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Seattle have averaged 0.4 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Dallas within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the MLS this season.
The chances of seeing a goal from Seattle in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Dallas conceded on average 1.7 goals per match while Seattle conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.
In the last 18 months, Dallas and Seattle have faced each other 3 times, with Seattle winning 3 times.
About The Match
Dallas sit higher in the table and are favoured at home, but Seattle arrive as the sharper side and have owned this matchup. The market prices Dallas at 52% to win, while Seattle's recent form is the best on the page: 14 points from their last six matches against 13 for Dallas. The key uncertainty is whether Seattle's away scoring, just 1.1 goals per match on the road, can hold up against a Dallas defence that concedes 1.5 at home.