Kansas City vs Salt Lake — MLS 2026
Kansas City: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Salt Lake: 4 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:44 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Salt Lake sit 10 places above Kansas City, 20th to 30th, and hold an 11-point advantage with 33 points to 22. The gap is even more stark on the road: Kansas City have won just 3 of 14 home matches, while Salt Lake have managed only 1 win from 14 away trips, making this a meeting of two sides who have struggled badly in their respective venues.
Kansas City
Salt LakeScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Kansas City's home attack is marginally worse than the league's home-side average at 1.5 goals per home match against a baseline of 1.86, while Salt Lake's away attack is clearly worse, scoring just 1.0 goals per away match against a baseline of 1.4. The edge between the two sides is level, with both attacks underperforming their own league baselines by a similar margin.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Kansas City's home defence is a clear weakness, conceding 2.1 goals per home match against a league baseline of 1.4, while Salt Lake's away defence is level with the league average at 1.9 conceded per away match. Salt Lake hold a clear defensive edge here, and Kansas City have kept no clean sheet at home all season.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Kansas City are most dangerous in the 31-45 minute window, scoring 26% of their goals there, while Salt Lake peak late, scoring 24% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window. Defensively, Kansas City are equally vulnerable in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute windows, conceding 21% of their goals in each, while Salt Lake concede 23% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Kansas City's matches have been far more goal-heavy this season, with 79.31% of their matches going over 2.5 goals compared to 65.52% for Salt Lake. The home side's matches also average 3.57 combined goals at home, while Salt Lake's away matches average 2.86, pointing to a higher-scoring environment when Kansas City are involved.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the under 53%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
The total goals market prices the line at 3.25, with the market's implied probability of over 3.25 goals at 50%. Our model puts the probability of over 3.25 goals at 47%, a marginal difference of about 3 percentage points below the market's read.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 100%, bookmaker correct-score price 96%, edge plus 3.8 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 89%, bookmaker correct-score price 85%, edge plus 4.0 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 68%, bookmaker correct-score price 66%, edge plus 2.2 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 39%, bookmaker correct-score price 44%, edge minus 5.1 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 14%, bookmaker correct-score price 26%, edge minus 11.3 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Salt Lake have been struggling lately. They lost 4 of their last 5 matches of the MLS.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 0.2 cards.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Kansas City have been awarded an average of 4.6 corners per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 3.3 corners.
In the last 25 matches of the MLS, Kansas City conceded on average 2.4 goals per match while Salt Lake conceded on average 1.6 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from Kansas City within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 2 cards per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 2 cards.
In the last 16 months, Kansas City and Salt Lake have faced each other 3 times, with Salt Lake winning 2 times.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Salt Lake sit 10 places above Kansas City, 20th to 30th, and hold an 11-point advantage with 33 points to 22. The gap is even more stark on the road: Kansas City have won just 3 of 14 home matches, while Salt Lake have managed only 1 win from 14 away trips, making this a meeting of two sides who have struggled badly in their respective venues.
Kansas CitySalt LakeHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Salt Lake have dominated this fixture, winning 5 of the 10 meetings to Kansas City's 2, with 3 draws, and the most recent encounter in April ended 3-1 to Salt Lake. The pattern is even more pronounced recently: Kansas City have not beaten Salt Lake in their last 5 meetings, with Salt Lake winning 4 of those.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Kansas City's home attack is marginally worse than the league's home-side average at 1.5 goals per home match against a baseline of 1.86, while Salt Lake's away attack is clearly worse, scoring just 1.0 goals per away match against a baseline of 1.4. The edge between the two sides is level, with both attacks underperforming their own league baselines by a similar margin.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Kansas City's home defence is a clear weakness, conceding 2.1 goals per home match against a league baseline of 1.4, while Salt Lake's away defence is level with the league average at 1.9 conceded per away match. Salt Lake hold a clear defensive edge here, and Kansas City have kept no clean sheet at home all season.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Kansas City are most dangerous in the 31-45 minute window, scoring 26% of their goals there, while Salt Lake peak late, scoring 24% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window. Defensively, Kansas City are equally vulnerable in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute windows, conceding 21% of their goals in each, while Salt Lake concede 23% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Kansas City's matches have been far more goal-heavy this season, with 79.31% of their matches going over 2.5 goals compared to 65.52% for Salt Lake. The home side's matches also average 3.57 combined goals at home, while Salt Lake's away matches average 2.86, pointing to a higher-scoring environment when Kansas City are involved.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the under 53%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
The total goals market prices the line at 3.25, with the market's implied probability of over 3.25 goals at 50%. Our model puts the probability of over 3.25 goals at 47%, a marginal difference of about 3 percentage points below the market's read.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 100%, bookmaker correct-score price 96%, edge plus 3.8 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 89%, bookmaker correct-score price 85%, edge plus 4.0 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 68%, bookmaker correct-score price 66%, edge plus 2.2 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 39%, bookmaker correct-score price 44%, edge minus 5.1 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 14%, bookmaker correct-score price 26%, edge minus 11.3 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Salt Lake have been struggling lately. They lost 4 of their last 5 matches of the MLS.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 0.2 cards.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Kansas City have been awarded an average of 4.6 corners per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 3.3 corners.
In the last 25 matches of the MLS, Kansas City conceded on average 2.4 goals per match while Salt Lake conceded on average 1.6 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from Kansas City within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 2 cards per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 2 cards.
In the last 16 months, Kansas City and Salt Lake have faced each other 3 times, with Salt Lake winning 2 times.
About The Match
Kansas City and Salt Lake meet with both sides badly out of form, but the market still sees the visitors as the likelier winners, pricing Salt Lake at 43% to take all three points against 33% for the home side. The clearest gap on the pitch is defensive: Kansas City concede 2.1 goals per home match, well above the league's home-side average of 1.4, while Salt Lake's away defence sits level with the league norm at 1.9 conceded. The key uncertainty is whether Salt Lake's attack, which has scored just 1.0 goals per away match this season, can punish a home defence that has kept no clean sheet at home all campaign.