Portland vs Colorado — MLS 2026
Portland: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Colorado: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 8:01 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Colorado sit higher in the table at 15th with 38 points, while Portland are 19th with 33. The gap is modest, but the venue records diverge sharply: Portland are 7-3-4 at home, Colorado just 2-2-10 away.
Portland
ColoradoScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Portland's home attack is clearly the stronger of the two, scoring 2.2 goals per home match against Colorado's 0.9 away. Portland are marginally better than the league's home average, while Colorado are clearly worse than the league's away average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Colorado's away defence is the more solid of the two, conceding 1.9 goals per away match against Portland's 1.8 at home, but the league context flips the picture: Portland are clearly worse than the league's home average, while Colorado are level with the league's away average. Colorado hold a clear defensive edge.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, with Portland scoring 25% of their goals in the 76-90 window and Colorado 20%. Portland are equally vulnerable late, conceding 21% of their goals in that window, while Colorado concede 32% of their goals there.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Portland's matches are the higher-scoring environment, with 72.41% of their matches going over 2.5 goals against Colorado's 48.28%. Portland's home matches average 4.0 combined goals, Colorado's away matches 2.79.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the over 55%; the bookmaker gives it 47%.
The total goals market prices the over at 47% for a line of 3.25 goals. Our model puts the probability at 55%, a difference of about 7 percentage points in favour of the over. That edge is modest but consistent with Portland's high-scoring home matches.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 96%, bookmaker correct-score price 96%, edge plus 0.6 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 82%, bookmaker correct-score price 84%, edge minus 2.0 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 71%, bookmaker correct-score price 64%, edge plus 7.7 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 46%, bookmaker correct-score price 42%, edge plus 4.2 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 25%, bookmaker correct-score price 24%, edge plus 1.3 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Colorado lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Portland have received an average of 1 card per match, while Colorado have averaged 2 cards.
In their last 10 MLS matches, Portland have been awarded an average of 3.9 corners per match, while Colorado have averaged 5 corners.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Portland conceded on average 2.1 goals per match while Colorado conceded on average 1.4 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Portland have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Colorado have averaged 0.8 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Portland within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Colorado sit higher in the table at 15th with 38 points, while Portland are 19th with 33. The gap is modest, but the venue records diverge sharply: Portland are 7-3-4 at home, Colorado just 2-2-10 away.
PortlandColoradoHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Portland have dominated this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 meetings with no draws, and they have won all 5 meetings at this ground by a combined 16-4. The most recent meeting was a 2-0 Colorado win in February, but that is the only Colorado win in the last five meetings.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Portland's home attack is clearly the stronger of the two, scoring 2.2 goals per home match against Colorado's 0.9 away. Portland are marginally better than the league's home average, while Colorado are clearly worse than the league's away average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Colorado's away defence is the more solid of the two, conceding 1.9 goals per away match against Portland's 1.8 at home, but the league context flips the picture: Portland are clearly worse than the league's home average, while Colorado are level with the league's away average. Colorado hold a clear defensive edge.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, with Portland scoring 25% of their goals in the 76-90 window and Colorado 20%. Portland are equally vulnerable late, conceding 21% of their goals in that window, while Colorado concede 32% of their goals there.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Portland's matches are the higher-scoring environment, with 72.41% of their matches going over 2.5 goals against Colorado's 48.28%. Portland's home matches average 4.0 combined goals, Colorado's away matches 2.79.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the over 55%; the bookmaker gives it 47%.
The total goals market prices the over at 47% for a line of 3.25 goals. Our model puts the probability at 55%, a difference of about 7 percentage points in favour of the over. That edge is modest but consistent with Portland's high-scoring home matches.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 96%, bookmaker correct-score price 96%, edge plus 0.6 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 82%, bookmaker correct-score price 84%, edge minus 2.0 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 71%, bookmaker correct-score price 64%, edge plus 7.7 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 46%, bookmaker correct-score price 42%, edge plus 4.2 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 25%, bookmaker correct-score price 24%, edge plus 1.3 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Colorado lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Portland have received an average of 1 card per match, while Colorado have averaged 2 cards.
In their last 10 MLS matches, Portland have been awarded an average of 3.9 corners per match, while Colorado have averaged 5 corners.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Portland conceded on average 2.1 goals per match while Colorado conceded on average 1.4 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Portland have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Colorado have averaged 0.8 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Portland within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Portland's home attack is the clearest edge in this fixture, but their form is the story that could undo it. They score 2.2 goals per home match while Colorado manage just 0.9 away, yet Portland have taken only 2 points from their last six league matches and sit winless in six. Colorado's away defence is level with the league average, but their own away attack is the weakest part of this match. The key uncertainty is whether Portland's home scoring can overcome a side that has not won in five and is leaking goals late.