Columbus vs Charlotte — MLS 2026
Columbus: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
CARDSCharlotte: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:41 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page · Read the match report.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Charlotte arrive as the clear table leaders, sitting 8th with 46 points, while Columbus are 27th on 29 points, a gap that reflects the visitors' stronger season. At home Columbus have a positive goal difference of 3 from 6 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, but Charlotte's away record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses gives them a negative away goal difference of -3, so the venue narrows the gap somewhat.
Columbus
CharlotteScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Attack
Charlotte hold a clear attacking edge, scoring 1.6 goals per away match against Columbus's 1.4 at home, and Charlotte's away figure is better than the league average for away sides while Columbus's home figure is worse than the league average for home sides. Charlotte have scored in every one of their last five away matches, while Columbus have failed to score in one of their last five home matches.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Columbus are the more solid defensive side, conceding 1.1 goals per home match compared to Charlotte's 1.8 away, and Columbus's home figure is better than the league average for home sides while Charlotte's away figure is level with the league average for away sides. Columbus have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 home matches, while Charlotte have kept 2 in 13 away matches.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Columbus are most dangerous just before half-time, scoring 24% of their goals in the 31-45 minute window, while Charlotte's scoring is spread across the 16-30, 61-75 and 76-90 minute bands at 20% each. Defensively, both teams are most vulnerable late, with Columbus conceding 26% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window and Charlotte conceding 23% in the same period.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Charlotte's matches have been slightly higher-scoring overall, with 67.86% of their matches going over 2.5 goals compared to Columbus's 71.43%, but at this venue Columbus's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals just 57.14% of the time while Charlotte's away matches have gone over 69.23%. Charlotte have failed to score in only 15.38% of their away matches, while Columbus have failed to score in 21.43% of their home matches.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 62%; the bookmaker gives it 48%.
Our model puts the probability of over 3 goals at 37.5%, while the market prices it at 51.7%, a difference of about 14 percentage points. Our read sits below the market's, suggesting the season records of both teams point to fewer goals than the odds imply.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 96%, bookmaker correct-score price 95%, edge plus 1.0 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 85%, bookmaker correct-score price 83%, edge plus 2.2 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 63%, bookmaker correct-score price 62%, edge plus 1.1 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 23%, bookmaker correct-score price 41%, edge minus 18.1 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 19%, bookmaker correct-score price 22%, edge minus 3.4 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 MLS matches, Columbus have been awarded an average of 6.6 corners per match, while Charlotte have averaged 5.4 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Columbus have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Charlotte have averaged 0.4 cards.
Columbus have been struggling lately. They lost 7 of their last 10 matches of the MLS.
Columbus seem to be in a good form. They won 2 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Columbus have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while Charlotte have averaged 2.4 cards.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Columbus conceded on average 1.8 goals per match while Charlotte conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from Columbus within the first half. They have averaged 0.7 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Charlotte arrive as the clear table leaders, sitting 8th with 46 points, while Columbus are 27th on 29 points, a gap that reflects the visitors' stronger season. At home Columbus have a positive goal difference of 3 from 6 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, but Charlotte's away record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses gives them a negative away goal difference of -3, so the venue narrows the gap somewhat.
ColumbusCharlotteHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Charlotte have had the better of the 10 meetings overall, winning 4 to Columbus's 2 with 4 draws, and they won the most recent meeting 3-1 in August. At this ground the record is more balanced, with Columbus winning 2 and drawing 3 of the 5 meetings here, so Charlotte have never won at Columbus.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Attack
Charlotte hold a clear attacking edge, scoring 1.6 goals per away match against Columbus's 1.4 at home, and Charlotte's away figure is better than the league average for away sides while Columbus's home figure is worse than the league average for home sides. Charlotte have scored in every one of their last five away matches, while Columbus have failed to score in one of their last five home matches.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Columbus are the more solid defensive side, conceding 1.1 goals per home match compared to Charlotte's 1.8 away, and Columbus's home figure is better than the league average for home sides while Charlotte's away figure is level with the league average for away sides. Columbus have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 home matches, while Charlotte have kept 2 in 13 away matches.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Columbus are most dangerous just before half-time, scoring 24% of their goals in the 31-45 minute window, while Charlotte's scoring is spread across the 16-30, 61-75 and 76-90 minute bands at 20% each. Defensively, both teams are most vulnerable late, with Columbus conceding 26% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window and Charlotte conceding 23% in the same period.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026
Charlotte's matches have been slightly higher-scoring overall, with 67.86% of their matches going over 2.5 goals compared to Columbus's 71.43%, but at this venue Columbus's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals just 57.14% of the time while Charlotte's away matches have gone over 69.23%. Charlotte have failed to score in only 15.38% of their away matches, while Columbus have failed to score in 21.43% of their home matches.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 62%; the bookmaker gives it 48%.
Our model puts the probability of over 3 goals at 37.5%, while the market prices it at 51.7%, a difference of about 14 percentage points. Our read sits below the market's, suggesting the season records of both teams point to fewer goals than the odds imply.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 96%, bookmaker correct-score price 95%, edge plus 1.0 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 85%, bookmaker correct-score price 83%, edge plus 2.2 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 63%, bookmaker correct-score price 62%, edge plus 1.1 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 23%, bookmaker correct-score price 41%, edge minus 18.1 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 19%, bookmaker correct-score price 22%, edge minus 3.4 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 MLS matches, Columbus have been awarded an average of 6.6 corners per match, while Charlotte have averaged 5.4 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Columbus have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Charlotte have averaged 0.4 cards.
Columbus have been struggling lately. They lost 7 of their last 10 matches of the MLS.
Columbus seem to be in a good form. They won 2 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Columbus have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while Charlotte have averaged 2.4 cards.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, Columbus conceded on average 1.8 goals per match while Charlotte conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from Columbus within the first half. They have averaged 0.7 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Columbus host Charlotte with the visitors arriving in far better shape across the table and recent form, yet the market still prices the home side as the likelier winner. Charlotte sit 8th with 46 points and have taken 11 from their last six league matches, while Columbus are 27th on 29 points with 9 from the same window. The sharpest signal is the totals market: our model puts the over 3 goals probability at 37.5%, well below the market's 52%, pointing to a lower-scoring match than the odds imply. The key uncertainty is whether Columbus's solid home defence, conceding just 1.1 goals per home match, can contain a Charlotte attack that has scored in every one of their last five away matches.