DC United vs Charlotte — MLS 2026
DC United: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Charlotte: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Charlotte's 10th place flatters them slightly on the road, where they have lost 5 of 12, while DC United's 24th is a fair reflection of a side with a negative goal difference at home. The gap in points is real, 40 against 29, but the venue-specific picture narrows it: Charlotte's away record is only marginally better than DC United's home form.
DC United
CharlotteScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Charlotte's away attack is the stronger of the two, averaging 1.6 goals per away match against DC United's 1.3 at home. The visitors have also scored in every one of their last four away games, while DC United have failed to score in three of their last six.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
DC United's home defence is the more vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per home match against Charlotte's 1.9 away, a marginal difference. The hosts have kept two clean sheets in their last six at home, but they have also conceded seven goals in that span.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
DC United are most dangerous and most vulnerable in the final 15 minutes, scoring 33% of their goals and conceding 30% in that window. Charlotte's peak scoring band is shared between the 16-30 and 76-90 windows, each at 20%, while they concede most heavily late, 25% in the final 15.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Both teams produce high-scoring matches, with 68% of Charlotte's games going over 2.5 goals and 54% of DC United's, and the venue splits push those numbers higher. At this ground, 69% of DC United's home matches and 67% of Charlotte's away matches have gone over 2.5 goals.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the over 53%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
The total goals market is priced at 3.0, with the market giving a 50% chance of over and our model putting it at 53%. Our read sits about 3 percentage points above the market's, a marginal difference that suggests slightly more goals than the line implies.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for DC United lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, DC United conceded on average 0.3 goals per match while Charlotte conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, DC United have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Charlotte have averaged 0.4 cards.
In their last 10 MLS matches, DC United have been awarded an average of 5.3 corners per match, while Charlotte have averaged 4.4 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, DC United have received an average of 2 cards per match, while Charlotte have averaged 2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Charlotte within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Charlotte's 10th place flatters them slightly on the road, where they have lost 5 of 12, while DC United's 24th is a fair reflection of a side with a negative goal difference at home. The gap in points is real, 40 against 29, but the venue-specific picture narrows it: Charlotte's away record is only marginally better than DC United's home form.
DC UnitedCharlotteHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Charlotte have dominated this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 meetings, including 3 of the 5 played at this ground. DC United have won just once in that history, and the most recent meeting was a 3-1 Charlotte victory.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Charlotte's away attack is the stronger of the two, averaging 1.6 goals per away match against DC United's 1.3 at home. The visitors have also scored in every one of their last four away games, while DC United have failed to score in three of their last six.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
DC United's home defence is the more vulnerable, conceding 1.8 goals per home match against Charlotte's 1.9 away, a marginal difference. The hosts have kept two clean sheets in their last six at home, but they have also conceded seven goals in that span.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
DC United are most dangerous and most vulnerable in the final 15 minutes, scoring 33% of their goals and conceding 30% in that window. Charlotte's peak scoring band is shared between the 16-30 and 76-90 windows, each at 20%, while they concede most heavily late, 25% in the final 15.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Both teams produce high-scoring matches, with 68% of Charlotte's games going over 2.5 goals and 54% of DC United's, and the venue splits push those numbers higher. At this ground, 69% of DC United's home matches and 67% of Charlotte's away matches have gone over 2.5 goals.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the over 53%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
The total goals market is priced at 3.0, with the market giving a 50% chance of over and our model putting it at 53%. Our read sits about 3 percentage points above the market's, a marginal difference that suggests slightly more goals than the line implies.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for DC United lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, DC United conceded on average 0.3 goals per match while Charlotte conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, DC United have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Charlotte have averaged 0.4 cards.
In their last 10 MLS matches, DC United have been awarded an average of 5.3 corners per match, while Charlotte have averaged 4.4 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, DC United have received an average of 2 cards per match, while Charlotte have averaged 2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Charlotte within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Charlotte arrive as the sharper side in almost every respect, and the market agrees, making them a narrow favourite despite playing away. The visitors have taken 12 points from their last six league matches against 6 for DC United, and they have won 7 of the 10 meetings between these clubs. The key uncertainty is whether DC United's home resilience, unbeaten in their last three at this ground, can blunt a Charlotte attack that has scored in every one of their last four away matches.