San Jose vs LAFC — MLS 2026
San Jose: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
LAFC: 2 yellow cards, 1 red card
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:06 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
San Jose sit two places above LAFC in the table, but the gap is only one point and the home/away splits tell a different story. San Jose's home points per game of 1.42 is well below LAFC's away mark of 1.08, yet LAFC's away record is weaker than their home form, where they average 2.0 points per game. The table flatters San Jose's overall position, as their away form has been stronger than their home form, while LAFC's away struggles are the main reason they trail.
San Jose
LAFCScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
San Jose's home attack averages 1.7 goals per match, slightly below their overall season rate of 1.8, while LAFC's away attack manages just 1.2 goals per match, well under their overall 1.6. The home side holds a clear edge in scoring output at this venue, though San Jose's recent home form has been poor, with only 0.8 goals per game in their last five at home. LAFC's away attack is the weaker of the two, and their recent away scoring has also been low at 0.8 goals per game.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
San Jose concede 1.6 goals per match at home, worse than their overall rate of 1.4, while LAFC concede 1.2 goals per match away, matching their season average. LAFC's defense is the more solid of the two on the road, and they have kept clean sheets in 38% of away games compared to San Jose's 33% at home. San Jose's recent home defensive record is alarming, conceding 2.6 goals per game in their last five at this venue.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
San Jose are most dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 25% of their goals in that window, while LAFC's peak scoring comes late, with 22% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, though they are equally productive in the 31-45 minute band. San Jose's vulnerability is clearest late on, conceding 28% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while LAFC's main defensive weakness is just after halftime, conceding 22% of their goals in the 46-60 minute period. The timing patterns suggest San Jose may start fast, but LAFC could exploit the closing stages.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
San Jose's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 58.33% of games this season, while LAFC's away matches have done so in 53.85%. The market line is set at 3.0 goals, and San Jose's home record shows 41.67% of games going over 3.5, compared to 30.77% for LAFC away. San Jose's home games average 3.25 combined goals, higher than LAFC's away average of 2.46, indicating a more open contest when San Jose play at home.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 55%; the bookmaker gives it 47%.
The total goals market is set at 3.0 goals, with the market pricing the over at 53% and the under at 47%. Our model puts the over probability at 45%, which sits about 8 percentage points below the market's implied probability, suggesting our season-based read sees slightly fewer goals than the market expects.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have been awarded an average of 3.6 corners per match, while LAFC have averaged 10 corners.
Draw seems to be a common result for LAFC lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while LAFC have averaged 1.2 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while LAFC have averaged 0.6 cards.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, San Jose conceded on average 2.1 goals per match while LAFC conceded on average 1 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from San Jose within the first half. They have averaged 0.9 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
San Jose sit two places above LAFC in the table, but the gap is only one point and the home/away splits tell a different story. San Jose's home points per game of 1.42 is well below LAFC's away mark of 1.08, yet LAFC's away record is weaker than their home form, where they average 2.0 points per game. The table flatters San Jose's overall position, as their away form has been stronger than their home form, while LAFC's away struggles are the main reason they trail.
San JoseLAFCHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
LAFC have dominated this fixture, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings against San Jose's 2, with 2 draws. The matches have been high-scoring, averaging 4.2 goals per game, and both teams have scored in every one of those ten encounters. San Jose did win the most recent meeting 4-1 away, but LAFC's overall edge in this matchup is clear.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
San Jose's home attack averages 1.7 goals per match, slightly below their overall season rate of 1.8, while LAFC's away attack manages just 1.2 goals per match, well under their overall 1.6. The home side holds a clear edge in scoring output at this venue, though San Jose's recent home form has been poor, with only 0.8 goals per game in their last five at home. LAFC's away attack is the weaker of the two, and their recent away scoring has also been low at 0.8 goals per game.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
San Jose concede 1.6 goals per match at home, worse than their overall rate of 1.4, while LAFC concede 1.2 goals per match away, matching their season average. LAFC's defense is the more solid of the two on the road, and they have kept clean sheets in 38% of away games compared to San Jose's 33% at home. San Jose's recent home defensive record is alarming, conceding 2.6 goals per game in their last five at this venue.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
San Jose are most dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 25% of their goals in that window, while LAFC's peak scoring comes late, with 22% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, though they are equally productive in the 31-45 minute band. San Jose's vulnerability is clearest late on, conceding 28% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while LAFC's main defensive weakness is just after halftime, conceding 22% of their goals in the 46-60 minute period. The timing patterns suggest San Jose may start fast, but LAFC could exploit the closing stages.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
San Jose's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 58.33% of games this season, while LAFC's away matches have done so in 53.85%. The market line is set at 3.0 goals, and San Jose's home record shows 41.67% of games going over 3.5, compared to 30.77% for LAFC away. San Jose's home games average 3.25 combined goals, higher than LAFC's away average of 2.46, indicating a more open contest when San Jose play at home.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 55%; the bookmaker gives it 47%.
The total goals market is set at 3.0 goals, with the market pricing the over at 53% and the under at 47%. Our model puts the over probability at 45%, which sits about 8 percentage points below the market's implied probability, suggesting our season-based read sees slightly fewer goals than the market expects.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have been awarded an average of 3.6 corners per match, while LAFC have averaged 10 corners.
Draw seems to be a common result for LAFC lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while LAFC have averaged 1.2 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Jose have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while LAFC have averaged 0.6 cards.
In the last 10 matches of the MLS, San Jose conceded on average 2.1 goals per match while LAFC conceded on average 1 goals per match.
Chances are good to see a goal from San Jose within the first half. They have averaged 0.9 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
San Jose host LAFC with the visitors holding a clear market edge, priced at 43% to win against 32% for the home side. The season's goal environment points to a high-scoring contest, with 4.2 goals per meeting across their last ten head-to-heads and both teams scoring in every one of those games. San Jose's home form is fragile, conceding 1.6 goals per match at home, while LAFC's away record is modest but defensively solid, keeping clean sheets in 38% of road games. The key uncertainty is whether San Jose's recent unbeaten run of four matches can offset a home record that has produced just five wins in twelve attempts.