Montreal vs Columbus — MLS 2026
Montreal: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Columbus: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Columbus sit two places higher overall but the venue split flatters Montreal, who have a positive home goal difference of +1 against Columbus's -9 away. Montreal's home points per game of 1.17 is more than double Columbus's 0.5 on the road, a real gap that the table positions hide.
Montreal
ColumbusScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Columbus's away attack is the more productive, scoring 1.5 goals per away match against Montreal's 1.3 at home, though the gap is small. Montreal's recent home scoring of 1.6 per match is slightly above their season rate, while Columbus's away scoring of 1.2 in their last five is below their season average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Montreal's home defence is clearly the stronger, conceding 1.2 goals per home match against Columbus's 2.2 away, a gap of a full goal per game. Columbus have no clean sheets away from home this season, while Montreal have kept one in four home matches.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Montreal are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes and the 31-45 minute window, scoring 23% of their goals in each, while Columbus peak in the 31-45 minute band with 29% of their goals. Both teams concede most heavily in the final 15 minutes, Montreal at 29% and Columbus at 26%, so late goals are a genuine possibility.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Columbus's away matches are the higher-scoring environment, with 91.67% of their away games going over 2.5 goals against 50% of Montreal's home matches. Montreal's home matches average 2.58 combined goals while Columbus's away matches average 3.75, and Columbus have failed to score in only 8.33% of away games.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the over 64%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
Our model prices the over on the 3.0 total at 64%, while the market's implied probability sits at 50%, a gap of about 14 percentage points in favour of more goals. This is a meaningful edge, but it rests on a season sample of 25 matches per team and should be read as a directional lean rather than a certainty.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Montreal have been struggling lately. They lost 3 of their last 3 matches of the MLS.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, Montreal conceded on average 2.8 goals per match while Columbus conceded on average 1.8 goals per match.
In their last 15 MLS matches, Montreal have been awarded an average of 6.1 corners per match, while Columbus have averaged 4.4 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Montreal have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Columbus have averaged 0.8 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Montreal within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Montreal have received an average of 2.2 cards per match, while Columbus have averaged 2.2 cards.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Columbus sit two places higher overall but the venue split flatters Montreal, who have a positive home goal difference of +1 against Columbus's -9 away. Montreal's home points per game of 1.17 is more than double Columbus's 0.5 on the road, a real gap that the table positions hide.
MontrealColumbusHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Columbus have had the better of this matchup, winning 5 of the 10 meetings to Montreal's 2, with 3 draws and an average of 3.1 goals per game. Both teams scored in 90% of those meetings, and Montreal won the most recent one 2-1 in August.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Attack
Columbus's away attack is the more productive, scoring 1.5 goals per away match against Montreal's 1.3 at home, though the gap is small. Montreal's recent home scoring of 1.6 per match is slightly above their season rate, while Columbus's away scoring of 1.2 in their last five is below their season average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Montreal's home defence is clearly the stronger, conceding 1.2 goals per home match against Columbus's 2.2 away, a gap of a full goal per game. Columbus have no clean sheets away from home this season, while Montreal have kept one in four home matches.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Montreal are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes and the 31-45 minute window, scoring 23% of their goals in each, while Columbus peak in the 31-45 minute band with 29% of their goals. Both teams concede most heavily in the final 15 minutes, Montreal at 29% and Columbus at 26%, so late goals are a genuine possibility.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026
Columbus's away matches are the higher-scoring environment, with 91.67% of their away games going over 2.5 goals against 50% of Montreal's home matches. Montreal's home matches average 2.58 combined goals while Columbus's away matches average 3.75, and Columbus have failed to score in only 8.33% of away games.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the over 64%; the bookmaker gives it 50%.
Our model prices the over on the 3.0 total at 64%, while the market's implied probability sits at 50%, a gap of about 14 percentage points in favour of more goals. This is a meaningful edge, but it rests on a season sample of 25 matches per team and should be read as a directional lean rather than a certainty.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Montreal have been struggling lately. They lost 3 of their last 3 matches of the MLS.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, Montreal conceded on average 2.8 goals per match while Columbus conceded on average 1.8 goals per match.
In their last 15 MLS matches, Montreal have been awarded an average of 6.1 corners per match, while Columbus have averaged 4.4 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Montreal have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Columbus have averaged 0.8 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Montreal within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Montreal have received an average of 2.2 cards per match, while Columbus have averaged 2.2 cards.
About The Match
Two of the league's bottom three meet with both sides arriving on poor runs, yet the market prices Montreal as a narrow favourite at 39% to win. The most important number is the total-goals model, which puts the over at 64% against a market price of 50% on the 3.0 line, a clear signal that our season record sees more goals than the odds imply. The key uncertainty is whether Columbus's dreadful away form, four straight defeats and no clean sheets, outweighs Montreal's modest home edge.