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Stuttgart vs Atletico — UEFA Champions League 26/27

TUE, OCT 20MHP Arena
Market win probability
VFB 29%Draw 25%ATM 46%

Standings & Form · UEFA Champions League 26/27

Stuttgart sit 4th with 6 points from two wins, while Atletico are 15th with 3 points after a win and a loss. At home Stuttgart have won their only match with a goal difference of +2, and Atletico have lost their only away match by a single goal, so the early table gap is real but rests on just two rounds.

Stuttgart24th
6 pts · 2-0-0GD +5 · 6:1
Home 1-0-0GD +2 · GF:GA 3:1
Last 6 · all comps
League form · 6 pts · 4th
Atletico1015th
3 pts · 1-0-1GD +1 · 3:2
Away 0-0-1GD -1 · GF:GA 1:2
Last 6 · all comps
League form · 3 pts · 15th
VFB100%Win Rate50%ATM
VFB0%Loss Rate50%ATM

Head-to-Head · LAST 1 MEETINGS

0
ATM wins
1
draws
0
VFB wins

There is almost no history between these sides, with just one meeting on record, a 1-1 draw in 2018, so this fixture offers no meaningful head-to-head pattern. That single match was not in this competition, and with eight years since it was played, it carries little weight for this match.

Scoring Profile

SEASON 26/27 · Games Played: 2

Attack

Stuttgart's home attack has been the more productive of the two, scoring 3 goals in their only home match against Atletico's 1 goal in their only away match. Stuttgart's 3.0 goals per home match is marginally better than the league's home-side average, while Atletico's 1.0 away is clearly worse than the league's away-side average, giving Stuttgart a large attacking edge on these early numbers.

All venues
Home/AwayVFB home · ATM away

Goals Scored · Season

VFB3.01.5ATM
2.04League avg2.04
VFB3.01.0ATM
2.44League avg1.64

Failed to Score · Season

VFB0%0%ATM
VFB0%0%ATM

Attacking Share · Season

VFB86%60%ATM
VFB75%33%ATM

Goals Scored · Last 5

VFB2.62.2ATM
VFB3.01.4ATM

Failed to Score · Last 5

VFB20%0%ATM
VFB20%20%ATM

Goals & Timing

SEASON 26/27 · Games Played: 2

Stuttgart are most dangerous in the 16-30 minute window, scoring 50% of their goals there, while Atletico spread their goals across the opening 15 minutes and the final 15 minutes. Stuttgart have scored first in both of their matches, and Atletico have also scored first in both of theirs, so the opening half-hour could decide the early momentum.

Stuttgart 6 goalsAtletico 3 goals
0%
50%
17%
0%
17%
17%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Stuttgart's own 1st goal avg 25′

33%
33%
0%
0%
0%
33%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Atletico's own 1st goal avg 9′

VFB100%1st Half Lead %50%ATM
VFB50%2nd Half Lead %0%ATM
Scored First
Stuttgart100%(2/2)
Atletico100%(2/2)
Scored Last
Stuttgart100%(2/2)
Atletico50%(1/2)

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

VFB ■ATM ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Stuttgart's matches have been high-scoring, with 100% of their matches going over 2.5 goals, while Atletico's have been more mixed at 50% over 2.5. Stuttgart's home matches have averaged 4.0 combined goals and Atletico's away matches 3.0, so the season goal environment points toward a match with goals, though the samples are tiny.

VFB100%Over 0.5100%ATM
VFB100%Over 1.5100%ATM
VFB100%Over 2.550%ATM
VFB50%Over 3.50%ATM
VFB0%Over 4.50%ATM
VFB0%Over 5.50%ATM

VFB 2 GP · ATM 2 GP

3.50Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.50

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Atletico seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches.

  2. In their last 3 matches, Stuttgart have been awarded an average of 7.3 corners per match, while Atletico have averaged 8 corners.

  3. In the last 5 matches, Stuttgart conceded on average 0.8 goals per match while Atletico conceded on average 0.4 goals per match.

  4. Atletico shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches.

  5. In their last 5 matches, Stuttgart have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Atletico have averaged 1.4 cards.

  6. In their last 5 matches, Stuttgart have received an average of 1 card per match, while Atletico have averaged 2.4 cards.

  7. In the last 5 matches, Stuttgart scored 6 goals (average 1.2) while Atletico scored 11 (average 2.2).

  8. Atletico scored at least one goal per match in the last 7 matches.

  9. Chances are good to see a goal from Stuttgart within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the last 10 matches.

About The Match

Stuttgart arrive with a perfect start to the season and a home record that is hard to ignore, but Atletico bring a longer, more emphatic winning run and the market's backing. Stuttgart have won both league matches and scored 3 goals in their only home match, while Atletico have won their last six matches in all competitions and are priced as the away favourite at 46%. The key uncertainty is how much weight to give Stuttgart's thin home sample, just one match, against Atletico's sustained form on the road.