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Sabah Masazir vs Dortmund — UEFA Champions League 26/27

TUE, OCT 20Baku Olympic Stadium
Market win probability
SBH 10%Draw 14%BVB 76%

Standings & Form · UEFA Champions League 26/27

Both sides sit on 3 points after two matches, with Sabah Masazir 22nd and Dortmund 18th, but the home side's record at this venue is far stronger. Sabah Masazir have won their only home match, while Dortmund have lost their only away match, so the early-season table is a poor guide to this fixture.

Sabah Masazir1222nd
3 pts · 1-0-1GD -2 · 2:4
Home 1-0-0GD +2 · GF:GA 2:0
Last 6 · all comps
League form · 3 pts · 21st
Dortmund618th
3 pts · 1-0-1GD 0 · 3:3
Away 0-0-1GD -1 · GF:GA 0:1
Last 6 · all comps
League form · 3 pts · 18th
SBH50%Win Rate50%BVB
SBH50%Loss Rate50%BVB

Scoring Profile

SEASON 26/27 · Games Played:102

Attack

Sabah Masazir's home attack is the stronger of the two, scoring 2.0 goals per home match across 1 home match, while Dortmund have failed to score in their only away match. The home side's figure is marginally worse than the league average for a home side, but Dortmund's is far worse than the league average for an away side, giving Sabah Masazir a large attacking edge.

All venues
Home/AwaySBH home · BVB away

Goals Scored · Season

SBH1.01.5BVB
2.04League avg2.04
SBH2.00.0BVB
2.44League avg1.64

Failed to Score · Season

SBH50%50%BVB
SBH0%100%BVB

Attacking Share · Season

SBH33%50%BVB
SBH100%0%BVB

Goals Scored · Last 5

SBH2.41.2BVB
SBH3.01.8BVB

Failed to Score · Last 5

SBH20%40%BVB
SBH0%40%BVB

Goals & Timing

SEASON 26/27 · Games Played:102

Sabah Masazir are most dangerous in the final half hour, scoring 25% of their goals in both the 61-75 and 76-90 minute windows, while Dortmund have scored all three of their goals after the 46th minute, with 67% coming after the 76th. The home side's peak is shared across two windows, so the late surge is a genuine pattern for both teams.

Sabah Masazir 18 goalsDortmund 3 goals
5%
5%
15%
15%
25%
25%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Sabah Masazir's own 1st goal avg 46′

0%
0%
0%
33%
0%
67%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90

Dortmund's own 1st goal avg 53′

SBH0%1st Half Lead %0%BVB
SBH100%2nd Half Lead %50%BVB
Scored First
Sabah Masazir70%(7/10)
Dortmund50%(1/2)
Scored Last
Sabah Masazir70%(7/10)
Dortmund0%(0/2)

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

SBH ■BVB ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Across the whole season, both teams have seen 50% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, but the venue splits tell a different story. Sabah Masazir's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 0% of cases, while Dortmund's away matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 0% of cases, so the early-season data points to a low-scoring affair at this ground.

SBH100%Over 0.5100%BVB
SBH100%Over 1.550%BVB
SBH50%Over 2.550%BVB
SBH50%Over 3.550%BVB
SBH0%Over 4.550%BVB
SBH0%Over 5.50%BVB

SBH 2 GP · BVB 2 GP

3.00Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.00

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. In their last 3 matches, Sabah Masazir have been awarded an average of 1 corner per match, while Dortmund have averaged 7.6 corners.

  2. In the last 3 matches, Sabah Masazir conceded on average 0 goals per match while Dortmund conceded on average 1 goals per match.

  3. Draw seems to be a common result for Dortmund lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 matches.

  4. Sabah Masazir shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches.

  5. Sabah Masazir seem to be in a good form. They won 4 out of the last 5 matches.

  6. In their last 5 matches, Sabah Masazir have received an average of 0.2 cards in the first half per match, while Dortmund have averaged 1.2 cards.

  7. Chances are good to see a goal from Sabah Masazir within the first half. They have averaged 1.1 goals before halftime in the last 10 matches.

  8. In their last 5 matches, Sabah Masazir have received an average of 0.6 cards per match, while Dortmund have averaged 2.6 cards.

  9. In the last 3 matches, Sabah Masazir scored 6 goals (average 2) while Dortmund scored 2 (average 0.6).

About The Match

This is a mismatch on paper, with the market pricing Dortmund as a heavy favourite, but the season sample is only two matches old and the home side's recent form is far stronger than the table suggests. Sabah Masazir have won four of their last five matches and are unbeaten in five, while Dortmund are winless in three, yet the market gives Dortmund a 75% chance of winning. The key uncertainty is whether Dortmund's superior squad quality, which the market is pricing, can overcome a Sabah Masazir side that has been excellent at home recently.