10xSharp

Sassuolo vs Milan — Serie A 26/27

SUN, OCT 11Mapei Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
1 – 1Half-time 0 – 0Full time
Sassuolo: C. Odenthal
68'
63'
Milan: A. Rabiot

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Serie A page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Serie A 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Milan sit fifth with 11 points from five matches, four clear of tenth-placed Sassuolo on 7, and the gap is built on the visitors' unbeaten record. Sassuolo have taken all six of their home points from two wins at this ground, while Milan's away split is one win and two draws from three, so the venue form narrows the table gap considerably.

Sassuolo
Last 6 · all comps
Milan
Last 6 · all comps
SAS40%Win Rate60%ACM
SAS40%Loss Rate0%ACM

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

3
ACM wins
3
draws
4
SAS wins

History between these two is close and high-scoring, with Sassuolo winning 4 of the 10 meetings, Milan 3, and 3 draws, while the matches average 3.7 goals. The most recent meeting went Sassuolo's way, a 2-0 home win in May, and Milan's last away win at this ground came back in 2022.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Attack

Sassuolo hold a clear attacking edge at home, scoring 2.5 goals per match across 2 home matches against Milan's 1.7 away, and both sides sit above the league average for their venue. The home side's figure is well above the 1.55 league mark for a home side, while Milan's away rate is a smaller but still clear step above the 1.36 road average.

All venues
Home/AwaySAS home · ACM away

Goals Scored · Season

SAS1.82.0ACM
SAS2.51.7ACM

Failed to Score · Season

SAS0%0%ACM
SAS0%0%ACM

Attacking Share · Season

SAS50%71%ACM
SAS63%56%ACM

Goals Scored · Last 5

SAS1.81.6ACM
SAS2.01.4ACM

Failed to Score · Last 5

SAS0%20%ACM
SAS0%20%ACM

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Both teams are second-half scorers, but the timing differs sharply: Sassuolo are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes with 44% of their goals there, while Milan peak earlier in the second half with 80% of their goals between minutes 61 and 75. Sassuolo are also most vulnerable late, conceding 33% of their goals in the 76-90 window, so the closing stages look like the likeliest time for goals.

SassuoloMilan
0%
11%
11%
22%
11%
44%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
10%
0%
0%
0%
80%
10%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
SAS20%1st Half Lead %20%ACM
SAS60%2nd Half Lead %80%ACM

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

SAS ■ACM ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Sassuolo's matches have been the higher-scoring environment this season, with 100% of their games going over 2.5 goals compared to 60% for Milan, and their home matches average 4.0 combined goals against Milan's 3.0 away. Both sides are heavily second-half teams, with Sassuolo seeing 80% of their matches go over 1.5 goals after the break and Milan 100%, so the totals picture leans toward late action.

SAS100%Over 0.5100%ACM
SAS100%Over 1.5100%ACM
SAS100%Over 2.560%ACM
SAS40%Over 3.520%ACM
SAS20%Over 4.50%ACM
SAS0%Over 5.50%ACM
3.60Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.80

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Draw seems to be a common result for Milan lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 Serie A matches.

  2. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Sassuolo have received an average of 0.2 cards in the first half per match, while Milan have averaged 0 cards.

  3. In their last 3 Serie A matches, Sassuolo have been awarded an average of 5 corners per match, while Milan have averaged 2.6 corners.

  4. The chances of seeing a goal from Milan in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Serie A matches this season.

  5. Milan shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches of the Serie A.

  6. In the last 3 matches of the Serie A, Sassuolo conceded on average 2 goals per match while Milan conceded on average 1 goals per match.

  7. In the last 5 matches of the Serie A, Sassuolo scored 9 goals (average 1.8) while Milan scored 10 (average 2).

  8. Milan scored at least one goal per match in the Serie A this season.

  9. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Sassuolo have received an average of 1.4 cards per match, while Milan have averaged 1.6 cards.

About The Match

Milan arrive as the market's clear favourite and the better side on early-season evidence, but Sassuolo's home form and a recent head-to-head win keep this from being a one-sided read. The visitors are unbeaten in five league matches with 11 points from their last six against Sassuolo's 7, and they have conceded just four goals all season. The key uncertainty is whether Sassuolo's thin two-match home sample, which shows a large attacking edge, can hold up against a Milan defence that has been better than the league average on the road.