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Lecce vs Bologna — Serie A 26/27

SUN, OCT 11Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare
1 – 2Half-time 0 – 1Full time
Lecce: A. Ahmed Fatah
64'
17'
Bologna: R. Orsolini
75'
Bologna: J. Enem

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:54 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Serie A page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Serie A 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Lecce sit 12th with 6 points, while Bologna are 19th with 2 points, a gap of four points after five matches. Lecce's home record is 1 win and 1 loss, while Bologna have lost both away matches without scoring.

Lecce
Last 6 · all comps
Bologna
Last 6 · all comps
LEC40%Win Rate0%BFC
LEC60%Loss Rate60%BFC

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

7
BFC wins
3
draws
0
LEC wins

Bologna have dominated this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with Lecce failing to win any. The most recent meeting was a 2-0 Bologna win in April 2026.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Attack

Lecce hold a large attacking edge, scoring 1.5 goals per home match across 2 home matches, while Bologna have failed to score in their 2 away matches. Lecce's home rate is level with the league average, but Bologna's away rate is well below it.

All venues
Home/AwayLEC home · BFC away

Goals Scored · Season

LEC1.00.6BFC
LEC1.50.0BFC

Failed to Score · Season

LEC60%60%BFC
LEC50%100%BFC

Attacking Share · Season

LEC33%33%BFC
LEC33%0%BFC

Goals Scored · Last 5

LEC1.00.6BFC
LEC2.20.8BFC

Failed to Score · Last 5

LEC60%60%BFC
LEC20%60%BFC

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Lecce are most dangerous in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 40% of their goals there, while Bologna are equally vulnerable late, conceding 33% of their goals in both the 46-60 and 76-90 minute windows. Bologna's second-half leakiness is a clear pattern.

LecceBologna
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
33%
0%
0%
33%
0%
33%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
LEC20%1st Half Lead %20%BFC
LEC60%2nd Half Lead %20%BFC

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

LEC ■BFC ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Lecce's matches have been higher scoring, with 60% of their games going over 2.5 goals, while Bologna's have been lower, at 20%. At home, Lecce's matches have gone over 2.5 in all of their 2 home matches, while Bologna's away matches have stayed under in both.

LEC100%Over 0.5100%BFC
LEC80%Over 1.540%BFC
LEC60%Over 2.520%BFC
LEC40%Over 3.520%BFC
LEC20%Over 4.50%BFC
LEC0%Over 5.50%BFC
3.00Combined Goals / G · FT · Season1.80

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Draw seems to be a common result for Bologna lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 Serie A matches.

  2. Bologna struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Serie A matches.

  3. Bologna have been one of the least effective teams in the Serie A this season, averaging just 0.6 goals per match, which is below the league average of 1.4 goals per match.

  4. In the last 5 matches of the Serie A, Lecce scored 5 goals (average 1) while Bologna scored 3 (average 0.6).

  5. The chances of seeing a goal from Bologna in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Serie A matches this season.

  6. In the last 5 matches of the Serie A, Lecce conceded on average 2 goals per match while Bologna conceded on average 1.2 goals per match.

  7. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Lecce have received an average of 2 cards per match, while Bologna have averaged 1.6 cards.

  8. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Lecce have been awarded an average of 3.4 corners per match, while Bologna have averaged 4.2 corners.

  9. Chances are good to see a goal from Lecce within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the Serie A this season.

  10. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Lecce have received an average of 0.6 cards in the first half per match, while Bologna have averaged 0.6 cards.

About The Match

Lecce and Bologna meet with the away side carrying the stronger recent head-to-head record, but the market sees Bologna as the clear favourite. The most telling number is Bologna's 48% market-implied win probability against Lecce's 23%, a gap that reflects the visitors' better defensive profile. The key uncertainty is whether Lecce's home scoring edge, 1.5 goals per home match, can overcome Bologna's solid away defence of 1.0 conceded per away match.