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Cagliari vs Juventus — Serie A 26/27

SUN, OCT 11Unipol Domus
1 – 1Half-time 1 – 0Full time
Cagliari: D. Maldini
20'
81'
Juventus: R. Kolo Muani

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:40 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Serie A page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Serie A 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Cagliari sit 4th with 12 points from 5 matches, while Juventus are 7th with 10 points, a narrow gap that flatters the home side's early-season schedule. At home Cagliari have won 1 and lost 1 across 2 matches with a goal difference of 0, while Juventus have won 1 and lost 1 across 2 away matches with a goal difference of 0, so neither side brings a meaningful venue edge into this fixture.

Cagliari
Last 6 · all comps
Juventus
Last 6 · all comps
CAG80%Win Rate60%JUV
CAG20%Loss Rate20%JUV

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

7
JUV wins
2
draws
1
CAG wins

Juventus have dominated this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with Cagliari winning just 1 and 2 draws, a record that spans 2021 to 2026 and includes the most recent meeting, which Cagliari won 1-0. At this ground the pattern is similar, with Juventus winning 3 of 5 meetings and Cagliari 1, with 1 draw.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Attack

Juventus hold a large attacking edge, scoring 1.5 goals per away match across 2 away matches compared to Cagliari's 0.5 goals per home match across 2 home matches, and that gap is the clearest signal in this fixture. Juventus are marginally better than the league average for an away side on the road, while Cagliari are worse than the league average for a home side at home, so the visitors' advantage is real but built on a thin sample.

All venues
Home/AwayCAG home · JUV away

Goals Scored · Season

CAG1.01.6JUV
CAG0.51.5JUV

Failed to Score · Season

CAG20%0%JUV
CAG50%0%JUV

Attacking Share · Season

CAG71%67%JUV
CAG50%50%JUV

Goals Scored · Last 5

CAG1.02.4JUV
CAG0.61.4JUV

Failed to Score · Last 5

CAG20%0%JUV
CAG40%0%JUV

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Cagliari are most dangerous early, scoring 40% of their goals in the 16-30 minute window, while Juventus are most dangerous late, scoring 63% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window. That contrast suggests the match could open with Cagliari pressing and end with Juventus pushing, and the visitors' late surge is their clearest scoring pattern.

CagliariJuventus
0%
40%
0%
20%
20%
20%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
25%
0%
0%
13%
63%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
CAG20%1st Half Lead %40%JUV
CAG80%2nd Half Lead %20%JUV

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

CAG ■JUV ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Cagliari's matches have been low-scoring, with only 20% of their games going over 2.5 goals overall and 0% across their 2 home matches, while Juventus's matches have been slightly higher at 20% overall but 50% across their 2 away matches. That venue split suggests this fixture could see more goals than Cagliari's home record implies, though both sides have trended hotter recently with 40% of their last five matches going over 2.5.

CAG100%Over 0.5100%JUV
CAG20%Over 1.580%JUV
CAG20%Over 2.520%JUV
CAG0%Over 3.520%JUV
CAG0%Over 4.520%JUV
CAG0%Over 5.50%JUV
1.40Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.40

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Cagliari have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Juventus have averaged 8.6 corners.

  2. Cagliari seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the Serie A.

  3. In the last 3 matches of the Serie A, Cagliari conceded on average 0.3 goals per match while Juventus conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.

  4. Cagliari blocks 90% of all shots on target which is highest in Serie A this season.

  5. Cagliari shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches of the Serie A.

  6. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Cagliari have received an average of 1 card per match, while Juventus have averaged 1.6 cards.

  7. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Cagliari have received an average of 0.2 cards in the first half per match, while Juventus have averaged 0.6 cards.

  8. Cagliari have conceded a total of only 2 goals, which is the least in the Serie A this season.

  9. In the last 5 matches of the Serie A, Cagliari scored 5 goals (average 1) while Juventus scored 8 (average 1.6).

  10. The chances of seeing a goal from Cagliari in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the Serie A matches this season.

  11. Juventus scored at least one goal per match in the Serie A this season.

About The Match

Cagliari arrive as the form side, with 12 points from their last five league matches and a three-match winning run, but Juventus hold the stronger underlying numbers and a decisive historical edge. The market prices Juventus as clear favourites at 61% to win, while Cagliari sit at just 15%, and that gap reflects the visitors' superior shot volume and away scoring rate. The key uncertainty is whether Cagliari's excellent defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per match overall and 0.5 across 2 home matches, can hold against a Juventus attack that has scored 13 goals in its last six matches and averages 1.5 goals per away match. Juventus have won 7 of the last 10 meetings between these sides, including 3 of 5 at this ground, and that history tilts the projected outcome clearly toward the visitors.