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Hamburg vs Stuttgart — Bundesliga 26/27

SAT, OCT 17Volksparkstadion
1 – 0Half-time 0 – 0Full time
Hamburg: M. Muheim
88'

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:39 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Bundesliga page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Bundesliga 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Hamburg and Stuttgart sit level on 6 points after five matches, with Hamburg 12th and Stuttgart 11th, separated only by goal difference. Stuttgart's away record of 1 win and 2 losses mirrors Hamburg's home record of 1 win and 1 loss, so neither side brings a clear venue edge into this fixture.

Hamburg
Last 6 · all comps
Stuttgart
Last 6 · all comps
HSV40%Win Rate40%VFB
HSV60%Loss Rate60%VFB

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

6
VFB wins
1
draws
3
HSV wins

Stuttgart have won 5 of the last 10 meetings to Hamburg's 3, with 2 draws, and the most recent meeting was a 4-0 Stuttgart win in April 2026. At this ground, Hamburg have won 3 of 5 meetings, so the venue record favours the home side even though the overall head-to-head does not.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Attack

Stuttgart hold a clear attacking edge, scoring 1.3 goals per away match across 3 away matches against Hamburg's 1.0 per home match across 2 home matches, though both sit below the league average for their venue. Stuttgart's away figure is only marginally worse than the league, while Hamburg's home figure is a large gap below it.

All venues
Home/AwayHSV home · VFB away

Goals Scored · Season

HSV1.01.6VFB
HSV1.01.3VFB

Failed to Score · Season

HSV60%20%VFB
HSV50%0%VFB

Attacking Share · Season

HSV25%47%VFB
HSV25%36%VFB

Goals Scored · Last 5

HSV1.42.6VFB
HSV1.62.2VFB

Failed to Score · Last 5

HSV40%20%VFB
HSV20%0%VFB

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Hamburg are most dangerous late, scoring 40% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Stuttgart are equally dangerous in the 46-60 and 76-90 windows, scoring 38% of their goals in each. Stuttgart also concede 33% of their goals in the 76-90 window, against 38% of their goals scored there.

HamburgStuttgart
20%
0%
20%
20%
0%
40%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
13%
13%
38%
0%
38%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
HSV20%1st Half Lead %40%VFB
HSV40%2nd Half Lead %40%VFB

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

HSV ■VFB ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Hamburg's matches have been the higher-scoring of the two, with 80% of their matches going over 2.5 goals against Stuttgart's 60%, and 100% of Hamburg's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals against 67% of their away matches. Stuttgart's matches are more second-half oriented, with 60% of their matches going over 1.5 goals in the second half against 0% in the first half.

HSV100%Over 0.5100%VFB
HSV100%Over 1.580%VFB
HSV80%Over 2.560%VFB
HSV60%Over 3.540%VFB
HSV60%Over 4.540%VFB
HSV0%Over 5.520%VFB
4.00Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.40

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Hamburg have been awarded an average of 2.8 corners per match, while Stuttgart have averaged 6.2 corners.

  2. Hamburg seem to be in a good form. They won 2 out of the last 3 matches of the Bundesliga.

  3. In the last 3 matches of the Bundesliga, Hamburg scored 5 goals (average 1.6) while Stuttgart scored 3 (average 1).

  4. In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Hamburg have received an average of 1 card per match, while Stuttgart have averaged 1.2 cards.

  5. In the last 3 matches of the Bundesliga, Hamburg conceded on average 2.6 goals per match while Stuttgart conceded on average 1 goals per match.

  6. In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Hamburg have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Stuttgart have averaged 0.4 cards.

  7. The chances of seeing a goal from Hamburg in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the Bundesliga matches this season.

About The Match

Stuttgart arrive as the market's clear favourite and with the sharper underlying numbers, but this is a thin-sample read after only five matches. Stuttgart's away defence concedes 2.3 goals per match across 3 away matches, level with the league average, while Hamburg's home defence concedes 3.0 across 2 home matches, a large gap worse than the league. The key uncertainty is whether Hamburg's recent three-match winning run, built partly outside this competition, can offset a defence that has conceded 15 goals in five matches.