Bremen vs Paderborn — Bundesliga 26/27
Bremen: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
CARDSPaderborn: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:39 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Bundesliga page · Read the match report.
Standings & Form · Bundesliga 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Bremen sit 7th on 8 points, while Paderborn are 15th on 4 points, a gap that reflects Bremen's perfect home record of 2 wins from 2 matches against Paderborn's 0 wins from 2 away. Bremen's home goal difference of +3 is the strongest single venue record in this fixture, while Paderborn's away goal difference of -3 shows they have struggled on the road.
Bremen
PaderbornScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Bremen's home attack is far more dangerous, scoring 3.0 goals per home match across 2 home matches, well above the league's home-side average of 2.36, while Paderborn have failed to score in both away matches and sit well below the league's away-side average of 1.47. Bremen hold a large attacking edge, and Paderborn's away scoring of 0.0 is the most glaring weakness in this fixture.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Paderborn's away defence has been the more impressive of the two, conceding 1.5 goals per away match across 2 away matches, clearly better than the league's away-side average of 2.36, while Bremen's home defence concedes 1.5 per home match, level with the league's home-side average of 1.47. Paderborn hold a clear defensive edge, and their away record includes a clean sheet, while Bremen have none at home.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Bremen's late scoring is their clearest route to a goal, and Paderborn's late concession rate is the main risk to their defensive solidity.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Bremen's matches have been far more open, with 80% of their matches going over 2.5 goals across the whole season, while Paderborn's have gone over 2.5 in just 40% of their matches. Bremen's home matches have gone over 2.5 in 100% of cases, against 67% of their away matches, while Paderborn's away matches have gone over 2.5 in 50% of cases.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Bremen lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 Bundesliga matches.
Paderborn struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Bundesliga matches.
Paderborn have been one of the least effective teams in the Bundesliga this season, averaging just 0.6 goals per match, which is below the league average of 1.9 goals per match.
In the last 5 matches of the Bundesliga, Bremen scored 10 goals (average 2) while Paderborn scored 3 (average 0.6).
The chances of seeing a goal from Bremen in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Bundesliga matches this season.
In their last 3 Bundesliga matches, Bremen have been awarded an average of 3.3 corners per match, while Paderborn have averaged 5.3 corners.
In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Bremen have received an average of 1.2 cards per match, while Paderborn have averaged 1.4 cards.
In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Bremen have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Paderborn have averaged 0.8 cards.
In the last 5 matches of the Bundesliga, Bremen conceded on average 2 goals per match while Paderborn conceded on average 1.4 goals per match.
Bremen scored at least one goal per match in the Bundesliga this season.
Standings & Form · Bundesliga 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Bremen sit 7th on 8 points, while Paderborn are 15th on 4 points, a gap that reflects Bremen's perfect home record of 2 wins from 2 matches against Paderborn's 0 wins from 2 away. Bremen's home goal difference of +3 is the strongest single venue record in this fixture, while Paderborn's away goal difference of -3 shows they have struggled on the road.
BremenPaderbornHead-to-Head · LAST 9 MEETINGS
Bremen have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, Paderborn 3, with 2 draws, and the most recent meeting was a 1-0 Bremen win in October 2024. That history spans 2012 to 2024 and is now two years old, so it carries limited weight for this fixture.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Attack
Bremen's home attack is far more dangerous, scoring 3.0 goals per home match across 2 home matches, well above the league's home-side average of 2.36, while Paderborn have failed to score in both away matches and sit well below the league's away-side average of 1.47. Bremen hold a large attacking edge, and Paderborn's away scoring of 0.0 is the most glaring weakness in this fixture.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Paderborn's away defence has been the more impressive of the two, conceding 1.5 goals per away match across 2 away matches, clearly better than the league's away-side average of 2.36, while Bremen's home defence concedes 1.5 per home match, level with the league's home-side average of 1.47. Paderborn hold a clear defensive edge, and their away record includes a clean sheet, while Bremen have none at home.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Bremen's late scoring is their clearest route to a goal, and Paderborn's late concession rate is the main risk to their defensive solidity.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026
Bremen's matches have been far more open, with 80% of their matches going over 2.5 goals across the whole season, while Paderborn's have gone over 2.5 in just 40% of their matches. Bremen's home matches have gone over 2.5 in 100% of cases, against 67% of their away matches, while Paderborn's away matches have gone over 2.5 in 50% of cases.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Bremen lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 Bundesliga matches.
Paderborn struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Bundesliga matches.
Paderborn have been one of the least effective teams in the Bundesliga this season, averaging just 0.6 goals per match, which is below the league average of 1.9 goals per match.
In the last 5 matches of the Bundesliga, Bremen scored 10 goals (average 2) while Paderborn scored 3 (average 0.6).
The chances of seeing a goal from Bremen in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Bundesliga matches this season.
In their last 3 Bundesliga matches, Bremen have been awarded an average of 3.3 corners per match, while Paderborn have averaged 5.3 corners.
In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Bremen have received an average of 1.2 cards per match, while Paderborn have averaged 1.4 cards.
In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Bremen have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Paderborn have averaged 0.8 cards.
In the last 5 matches of the Bundesliga, Bremen conceded on average 2 goals per match while Paderborn conceded on average 1.4 goals per match.
Bremen scored at least one goal per match in the Bundesliga this season.
About The Match
Bremen's home form is the clearest signal in this fixture, but Paderborn's away defence has quietly matched it. Bremen have won both home matches this season and scored 3.0 goals per home match, while Paderborn have yet to score on the road and have conceded just 1.5 per away match. The market prices Bremen at 53% to win, which leaves room for a draw or a low-scoring Paderborn upset. The key uncertainty is whether Bremen's second-half scoring can break down a Paderborn side that has kept a clean sheet in half its away matches.