Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Orlando sit 20th and Atlanta 28th, but the table flatters neither side once venue splits are applied. Atlanta's home record is 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11 games, while Orlando have taken just 2 wins and 2 draws from 11 away matches, so both teams are below average in the conditions they face here.
Atlanta28th
Orlando14thAtlanta arrive in better recent form, taking 10 points from their last six league matches compared to Orlando's 8, and Atlanta's latest result was a draw while Orlando won their most recent game. The gap is modest, and both sides sit mid-table in the form rankings, so this is a slight edge rather than a strong signal.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPATL play at home, ORL away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
Orlando's away attack is the stronger unit, scoring 1.64 goals per away game against Atlanta's 1.36 at home, and Orlando are clearly above the league's away average of 1.37 while Atlanta are clearly below the home average of 1.84. The edge in attacking output belongs to the visitors.
Defense
Atlanta's home defence is clearly worse than the league average, conceding 1.64 per home game against a baseline of 1.37, but Orlando's away defence is the real problem, shipping 3.36 goals per away match against a league away average of 1.84. Atlanta hold the defensive edge, but neither side is solid.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — ATL 5 of 5, ORL 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — ATL 5 of 5, ORL 4 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPOrlando convert chances at a higher rate, with a 36.9% conversion rate compared to Atlanta's 31.8%, and both sit either side of the league average of 35.47%. Orlando's superior finishing is a real advantage, though Atlanta's lower shot volume means their conversion rate is less flattering than it looks.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPAtlanta's most dangerous spell is minutes 31-45, where they score 25.93% of their goals, while Orlando's peak is minutes 16-30 at 28.95%. Both teams concede most heavily in the final 15 minutes, with Atlanta conceding 25% and Orlando 22.22% of goals in that window, so late goals are likely.
Atlanta's own 1st goal avg 46′ · Orlando's own 1st goal avg 36′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Orlando's away matches are the highest-scoring environment in this fixture, with 81.82% of their away games going over 2.5 goals and 100% over 1.5, while Atlanta's home games go over 2.5 at a 72.73% rate. Orlando's away games average 5.0 combined goals, far above Atlanta's 3.0 at home, and both teams have failed to score in roughly a third of their matches.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
ATL 24 GP · ORL 24 GP
League average 3.21 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
Total Goals
(3.25)
First Team To Score
Match Forecast · Over/Under 3.25
Based on Atlanta's 11 home games and Orlando's 11 away games this season
The total goals market prices the over at 49% for a line of 3.25, while our model puts the probability at 64%. That leaves our read about 15 percentage points above the market's, a meaningful gap driven by Orlando's away defensive record.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Orlando have conceded a total of 37 goals when playing away, which is the most in the MLS this season.
- 02In their last 5 MLS matches, Atlanta have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Orlando have averaged 0.2 cards.
- 03Orlando seem to be in a good form. They won 2 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
- 04In their last 3 MLS matches, Atlanta have been awarded an average of 6.3 corners per match, while Orlando have averaged 4 corners.
- 05In the last 23 matches of the MLS, Atlanta conceded on average 1.7 goals per match while Orlando conceded on average 2.3 goals per match.
- 06The chances of seeing a goal from Atlanta in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
- 07In their last 5 MLS matches, Atlanta have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while Orlando have averaged 1.8 cards.
- 08Chances are good to see a goal from Orlando within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
- 09In the last 22 months, Atlanta and Orlando have faced each other 5 times, with Orlando winning 3 times.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Orlando sit 20th and Atlanta 28th, but the table flatters neither side once venue splits are applied. Atlanta's home record is 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11 games, while Orlando have taken just 2 wins and 2 draws from 11 away matches, so both teams are below average in the conditions they face here.
Atlanta28thOrlando14thAtlanta arrive in better recent form, taking 10 points from their last six league matches compared to Orlando's 8, and Atlanta's latest result was a draw while Orlando won their most recent game. The gap is modest, and both sides sit mid-table in the form rankings, so this is a slight edge rather than a strong signal.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPATL play at home, ORL away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
Orlando's away attack is the stronger unit, scoring 1.64 goals per away game against Atlanta's 1.36 at home, and Orlando are clearly above the league's away average of 1.37 while Atlanta are clearly below the home average of 1.84. The edge in attacking output belongs to the visitors.
Defense
Atlanta's home defence is clearly worse than the league average, conceding 1.64 per home game against a baseline of 1.37, but Orlando's away defence is the real problem, shipping 3.36 goals per away match against a league away average of 1.84. Atlanta hold the defensive edge, but neither side is solid.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — ATL 5 of 5, ORL 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — ATL 5 of 5, ORL 4 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPOrlando convert chances at a higher rate, with a 36.9% conversion rate compared to Atlanta's 31.8%, and both sit either side of the league average of 35.47%. Orlando's superior finishing is a real advantage, though Atlanta's lower shot volume means their conversion rate is less flattering than it looks.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPAtlanta's most dangerous spell is minutes 31-45, where they score 25.93% of their goals, while Orlando's peak is minutes 16-30 at 28.95%. Both teams concede most heavily in the final 15 minutes, with Atlanta conceding 25% and Orlando 22.22% of goals in that window, so late goals are likely.
Atlanta's own 1st goal avg 46′ · Orlando's own 1st goal avg 36′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Orlando's away matches are the highest-scoring environment in this fixture, with 81.82% of their away games going over 2.5 goals and 100% over 1.5, while Atlanta's home games go over 2.5 at a 72.73% rate. Orlando's away games average 5.0 combined goals, far above Atlanta's 3.0 at home, and both teams have failed to score in roughly a third of their matches.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
ATL 24 GP · ORL 24 GP
League average 3.21 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
DRAW 25% · 3.99
Total Goals
(3.25)
First Team To Score
NO GOAL 4% · 24.54
Match Forecast · Over/Under 3.25
Based on Atlanta's 11 home games and Orlando's 11 away games this season
The total goals market prices the over at 49% for a line of 3.25, while our model puts the probability at 64%. That leaves our read about 15 percentage points above the market's, a meaningful gap driven by Orlando's away defensive record.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Orlando have conceded a total of 37 goals when playing away, which is the most in the MLS this season.
- 02In their last 5 MLS matches, Atlanta have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Orlando have averaged 0.2 cards.
- 03Orlando seem to be in a good form. They won 2 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
- 04In their last 3 MLS matches, Atlanta have been awarded an average of 6.3 corners per match, while Orlando have averaged 4 corners.
- 05In the last 23 matches of the MLS, Atlanta conceded on average 1.7 goals per match while Orlando conceded on average 2.3 goals per match.
- 06The chances of seeing a goal from Atlanta in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
- 07In their last 5 MLS matches, Atlanta have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while Orlando have averaged 1.8 cards.
- 08Chances are good to see a goal from Orlando within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
- 09In the last 22 months, Atlanta and Orlando have faced each other 5 times, with Orlando winning 3 times.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
About The Match
Atlanta and Orlando meet with the market pricing the home side as a narrow favourite, but the season numbers point to a match shaped by Orlando's away fragility and Atlanta's modest home attack. Orlando concede 3.36 goals per away match, the worst away defensive record in the league, while Atlanta score only 1.36 per home game, so the edge is not one-sided. The total goals market sits at 3.25, and our model sees a 64% chance of over that line, well above the market's 49%, making the over the clearest signal on the board. The key uncertainty is whether Atlanta's second-half scoring can punish an Orlando side that concedes heavily late in games.
Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
The last 10 meetings are split evenly, with 4 wins for Atlanta and 4 for Orlando plus 2 draws, and Orlando won the most recent meeting 4-1. The average of 2.7 goals per meeting and a 60% both-teams-scored rate suggest a competitive, moderately high-scoring matchup.