DC United vs Columbus — MLS 2026

The table gap is almost non-existent: DC United sit 26th with 25 points and Columbus 27th with 23, but the home/away split flatters DC United. Columbus have taken just 0.55 points per game away from home, the worst away return of the two, while DC United's home record of 1.18 points per game is only marginally better than their away form.

DC United23rd

28 pts · 6-10-7GD -7 · 30:37

Home 4-4-4GF:GA 17:23

Last 6 · all comps

League form · 6 pts · 21st

Columbus27th

23 pts · 6-5-13GD -6 · 35:41

Away 1-3-8GF:GA 18:27

Last 6 · all comps

League form · 3 pts · 26th

Neither side arrives in good shape, but DC United's six points from their last six league matches is the better of two poor returns, with Columbus managing just four. DC United's latest result was a draw, while Columbus won their most recent match, but that win ended a run of four straight defeats.

DC play at home, CLB away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.

Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches in those samples: DC 5 of 5, CLB 4 of 5.

Columbus convert their chances at a far higher rate, scoring from 41.5% of shots on goal compared to DC United's 33.3%, and both sit either side of the league average of 35.47%. DC United's lower conversion rate undercuts their already modest goal output, while Columbus's efficiency flatters their away scoring numbers.

DC United are most dangerous late, scoring 35.71% of their goals between minutes 76 and 90, while Columbus peak just before half-time with 29.41% of their goals between minutes 31 and 45. Both teams are most vulnerable in the closing stages, with DC United conceding 30.56% and Columbus 25.64% of their goals in the 76-90 band.

Columbus's away matches are the higher-scoring environment, with 90.91% going over 2.5 goals compared to 72.73% of DC United's home matches. DC United's home games are back-loaded, with 54.55% producing over 1.5 goals in the second half against 31.82% in the first, while Columbus's away matches split evenly at 43.48% for each half.

Based on DC United's 11 home games and Columbus's 11 away games this season

The total-goals market prices over 2.75 goals at 51%, but our model puts the probability at 78%, a gap of about 27 percentage points. That is a substantial difference, and it is driven by both teams' season-long tendency to produce high-scoring matches at their respective venues.

The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.

1. 01In their last 3 MLS matches, DC United have been awarded an average of 6 corners per match, while Columbus have averaged 2.3 corners.
2. 02Draw seems to be a common result for DC United lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 MLS matches.
3. 03Columbus have been struggling lately. They lost 4 of their last 5 matches of the MLS.
4. 04In their last 5 MLS matches, DC United have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while Columbus have averaged 1.6 cards.
5. 05In the last 5 matches of the MLS, DC United conceded on average 1.8 goals per match while Columbus conceded on average 2.2 goals per match.
6. 06In their last 5 MLS matches, DC United have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Columbus have averaged 0.8 cards.
7. 07The chances of seeing a goal from DC United in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
8. 08Chances are good to see a goal from Columbus within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
9. 09In the last 24 months, DC United and Columbus have faced each other 3 times, with Columbus winning 2 times.

This is a meeting of two of MLS's leakiest defences, and the totals market is the clearest read on it. Our model prices over 2.75 goals at 78%, well above the market's 51%, and that gap is the single most important number on the page. Columbus arrive with the better attack and the better defensive record relative to their own baselines, but they have won just once away all season and have not won in four away matches. The key uncertainty is whether DC United's home scoring, which sits below the league's home average, can exploit a Columbus defence that has kept no away clean sheets all season.