Montreal vs Charlotte — MLS 2026
Montreal: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Charlotte: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 9, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 9, 2026
Charlotte sit 10th with 36 points, far above Montreal's 29th place and 21 points, but the home/away split flatters Montreal: their home goal difference is +2 while Charlotte's away goal difference is -5. Montreal's home record of 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses shows a side that is hard to beat at home but rarely wins, while Charlotte's away record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses is less convincing than their overall position.
Montreal
CharlotteScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 9, 2026
Attack
Charlotte's away attack is level with the league average at 1.4 goals per game, while Montreal's home attack is clearly worse at 1.36 against a league home average of 1.84. Montreal's home scoring is a real weakness, and Charlotte's away attack is not strong enough to punish it consistently.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Attacking Share: share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Defence
Montreal's home defence is clearly better than the league average, conceding 1.18 per home game against a league home average of 1.37, while Charlotte's away defence is marginally worse at 1.9 against 1.84. Montreal's home solidity is the main reason they draw so often, and Charlotte's away defence is a slight concern.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — MTL 4 of 5, CLT 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — MTL 5 of 5, CLT 5 of 5.
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 9, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes: Montreal score 23.33% of their goals and concede 29.17% in the 76-90 band, while Charlotte score 20% and concede 25% there. Montreal's second-half leakiness is a clear pattern, and Charlotte's late-game vulnerability is less pronounced.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 9, 2026
Montreal's home matches are low-scoring, with only 45.45% going over 2.5 goals, while Charlotte's away matches are higher-scoring at 60% over 2.5. Montreal's home games average 2.55 combined goals against Charlotte's 3.3 away, and both teams have a consistent trend versus their season over-rate.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
Match Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 59%; the market gives it 49%.
Exactly 3 goals = push · Under is the complement
The total-goals market prices over 3 goals at 51%, while our model puts it at 41%, a difference of about 9 percentage points. Our read is lower than the market's, suggesting the season records point to fewer goals than the market expects.
Sample · Montreal 11 home games · Charlotte 10 away games this season
Sample · Montreal 11 home · Charlotte 10 away
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Smart Predictions
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Montreal conceded on average 3.6 goals per match while Charlotte conceded on average 0.3 goals per match.
Charlotte seem to be in a good form. They won 2 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Montreal have been awarded an average of 4.3 corners per match, while Charlotte have averaged 6.3 corners.
Charlotte conceded 8 less goals than Montreal in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Montreal have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Charlotte have averaged 0.6 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Montreal have received an average of 2.6 cards per match, while Charlotte have averaged 2.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Montreal within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 9, 2026
Charlotte sit 10th with 36 points, far above Montreal's 29th place and 21 points, but the home/away split flatters Montreal: their home goal difference is +2 while Charlotte's away goal difference is -5. Montreal's home record of 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses shows a side that is hard to beat at home but rarely wins, while Charlotte's away record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses is less convincing than their overall position.
MontrealCharlotteHead-to-Head · LAST 8 MEETINGS
Montreal have won 5 of the last 8 meetings, with Charlotte winning 2 and 1 draw, and the average total goals is 2.25. The last meeting was a 4-1 Montreal win at Charlotte, but that was away from home.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 9, 2026
Attack
Charlotte's away attack is level with the league average at 1.4 goals per game, while Montreal's home attack is clearly worse at 1.36 against a league home average of 1.84. Montreal's home scoring is a real weakness, and Charlotte's away attack is not strong enough to punish it consistently.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Attacking Share: share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Defence
Montreal's home defence is clearly better than the league average, conceding 1.18 per home game against a league home average of 1.37, while Charlotte's away defence is marginally worse at 1.9 against 1.84. Montreal's home solidity is the main reason they draw so often, and Charlotte's away defence is a slight concern.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — MTL 4 of 5, CLT 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — MTL 5 of 5, CLT 5 of 5.
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 9, 2026
Both teams are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes: Montreal score 23.33% of their goals and concede 29.17% in the 76-90 band, while Charlotte score 20% and concede 25% there. Montreal's second-half leakiness is a clear pattern, and Charlotte's late-game vulnerability is less pronounced.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 9, 2026
Montreal's home matches are low-scoring, with only 45.45% going over 2.5 goals, while Charlotte's away matches are higher-scoring at 60% over 2.5. Montreal's home games average 2.55 combined goals against Charlotte's 3.3 away, and both teams have a consistent trend versus their season over-rate.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
Match Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 59%; the market gives it 49%.
Exactly 3 goals = push · Under is the complement
The total-goals market prices over 3 goals at 51%, while our model puts it at 41%, a difference of about 9 percentage points. Our read is lower than the market's, suggesting the season records point to fewer goals than the market expects.
Sample · Montreal 11 home games · Charlotte 10 away games this season
Sample · Montreal 11 home · Charlotte 10 away
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Smart Predictions
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Montreal conceded on average 3.6 goals per match while Charlotte conceded on average 0.3 goals per match.
Charlotte seem to be in a good form. They won 2 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Montreal have been awarded an average of 4.3 corners per match, while Charlotte have averaged 6.3 corners.
Charlotte conceded 8 less goals than Montreal in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Montreal have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Charlotte have averaged 0.6 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Montreal have received an average of 2.6 cards per match, while Charlotte have averaged 2.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Montreal within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Montreal's season has split sharply by venue: at home they are hard to beat but rarely win, while Charlotte arrive as the better side overall and in form. The market prices Montreal as a narrow favourite at 41% to win, with Charlotte at 34% and the draw at 25%, yet the total-goals model sees fewer goals than the market expects, with our read at 41% for over 3 goals against the market's 51%. The key uncertainty is whether Montreal's home draws and Charlotte's away resilience produce another tight, low-scoring game.