10xSharp

Valencia vs Bilbao — LaLiga 26/27

SAT, OCT 17Mestalla
0 – 0Half-time 0 – 0Full time

Valencia: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Bilbao: 3 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:47 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the LaLiga page.

Standings & Form · LaLiga 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Bilbao sit comfortably mid-table in 10th with 8 points, while Valencia are 19th with 5 points, and the gap is even starker at this venue. Valencia have taken just 1 point from 4 home matches with no wins, while Bilbao have won 1 and lost 1 of their 2 away matches, so the visitors bring the stronger record to this fixture.

Valencia
Last 6 · all comps
Bilbao
Last 6 · all comps
VCF13%Win Rate33%ATH
VCF63%Loss Rate33%ATH

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

6
ATH wins
1
draws
3
VCF wins

Bilbao have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings to Valencia's 3 with 1 draw, and the most recent meeting went to Valencia 1-0 at Bilbao. At this ground, Bilbao have won 4 of the 6 meetings, so the visitors have a strong historical edge here.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Attack

Bilbao hold a clear attacking edge, scoring 1.0 goals per away match across 2 away matches compared with Valencia's 0.5 goals per home match across 4 home matches, and both sides sit below the league average for their respective venues. Valencia's home scoring is a large gap below the league's home-side average, while Bilbao's away scoring is only marginally below the away-side norm.

All venues
Home/AwayVCF home · ATH away

Goals Scored · Season

VCF0.81.2ATH
VCF0.51.0ATH

Failed to Score · Season

VCF50%33%ATH
VCF75%50%ATH

Attacking Share · Season

VCF29%54%ATH
VCF18%50%ATH

Goals Scored · Last 5

VCF1.01.0ATH
VCF0.40.6ATH

Failed to Score · Last 5

VCF40%40%ATH
VCF80%60%ATH

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Valencia are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 33% of their goals in the 76-90 window, while Bilbao are equally dangerous across three windows: 16-30, 46-60 and 76-90, each with 29% of their goals. Defensively, Valencia concede 33% of their goals in the 76-90 window, and Bilbao concede 50% of their goals in the 46-60 window, so the second half is where both sides are most vulnerable.

ValenciaBilbao
17%
17%
0%
17%
17%
33%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
29%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
VCF0%1st Half Lead %17%ATH
VCF25%2nd Half Lead %17%ATH

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

VCF ■ATH ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Valencia's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 50% of their games this season, while Bilbao's have done so in just 33%, and Bilbao's matches are heavily back-loaded with 50% producing 2+ goals after half time versus 17% before it. Bilbao's home matches are the higher-scoring ones at 50% over 2.5 goals against 0% of their away matches, so this fixture's goal environment leans toward the under.

VCF88%Over 0.583%ATH
VCF50%Over 1.583%ATH
VCF50%Over 2.533%ATH
VCF50%Over 3.517%ATH
VCF25%Over 4.50%ATH
VCF0%Over 5.50%ATH
2.62Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.17

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Bilbao have conceded a total of only 6 goals, which is the least in the LaLiga this season.

  2. Draw seems to be a common result for Bilbao lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 LaLiga matches.

  3. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Valencia have received an average of 1.4 cards in the first half per match, while Bilbao have averaged 0 cards.

  4. In the last 5 matches of the LaLiga, Valencia conceded on average 2.2 goals per match while Bilbao conceded on average 0.6 goals per match.

  5. Bilbao shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches of the LaLiga.

  6. Valencia have been struggling lately. They lost 5 of their last 8 matches of the LaLiga.

  7. The chances of seeing a goal from Valencia in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the LaLiga matches this season.

  8. In their last 6 LaLiga matches, Valencia have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Bilbao have averaged 6.1 corners.

  9. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Valencia have received an average of 2.2 cards per match, while Bilbao have averaged 2 cards.

  10. In the last 13 months, Valencia and Bilbao have faced each other 3 times, with Valencia winning 2 times.

  11. In the last 3 matches of the LaLiga, Valencia scored 5 goals (average 1.6) while Bilbao scored 4 (average 1.3).

About The Match

Bilbao arrive as the clear market favourite and the sharper side on nearly every measure, while Valencia's season is defined by a home record that has produced no wins and very few goals. The visitors have taken 8 points from their last six league matches to Valencia's 4, and their away defence has conceded just 1.0 goals per match across 2 away matches, far better than the league average for a travelling side. The key uncertainty is whether Valencia's thin home sample flatters their attacking numbers, because a team scoring 0.5 goals per home match across 4 home matches offers little evidence of a turnaround.