Kansas City vs LAFC — MLS 2026

LAFC sit 6th with 40 points while Kansas City are 30th with 15, and the home/away split does not flatter the hosts. Kansas City have managed just 2 home wins in 11 matches and a -9 goal difference at home, while LAFC have taken 1.17 points per away game with a +2 away goal difference.

Kansas City30th

15 pts · 4-3-16GD -35 · 23:58

Home 2-3-6GF:GA 12:21

Last 6 · all comps

League form · 1 pts · 30th

LAFC6th

40 pts · 11-7-7GD +16 · 40:24

Away 3-5-4GF:GA 15:13

League form · 6 pts · 20th

LAFC are in better shape, taking 6 points from their last six league matches to Kansas City's 1, though neither side is on a strong run. Kansas City have lost five of those six, while LAFC's latest result was a win but their previous five produced three draws and two defeats.

SKC play at home, LAF away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.

Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — SKC 5 of 5, LAF 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — SKC 5 of 5, LAF 4 of 5.

LAFC work the opposing goalkeeper harder, averaging 4.4 shots on target per game to Kansas City's 3.61, and they also see more of their shots blocked at 3.36 per game versus 2.04 for Kansas City.

Kansas City are most dangerous in the 61st to 75th minute and the 31st to 45th minute, scoring 22% of their goals in each, while LAFC peak in the 76th to 90th minute and the 31st to 45th minute with 23% each. Kansas City's biggest vulnerability is the 31st to 45th minute, where they concede 24% of their goals, and LAFC's is the 46th to 60th minute at 25%.

Kansas City's matches have been high-scoring, with 78.26% of their games going over 2.5 goals this season, while LAFC's have been tighter at 48%. Kansas City's home matches average 3.0 combined goals and LAFC's away matches average 2.33, with Kansas City failing to score in 27.27% of home games and LAFC in 25% of away games.

Based on Kansas City's 11 home games and LAFC's 12 away games this season

Our model puts the over 3.0 goals at 41.7%, while the market prices it at 52.0%. That leaves our read about 10 percentage points below the market's, suggesting our season data points to fewer goals than the odds imply.

The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.

1. 01Kansas City have conceded a total of 58 goals, which is the most in the MLS this season.
2. 02In their last 3 MLS matches, Kansas City have been awarded an average of 4.6 corners per match, while LAFC have averaged 8.3 corners.
3. 03Kansas City have been struggling lately. They lost 3 of their last 3 matches of the MLS.
4. 04Draw seems to be a common result for LAFC lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
5. 05In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Kansas City conceded on average 3 goals per match while LAFC conceded on average 0.6 goals per match.
6. 06In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while LAFC have averaged 1 card.
7. 07In their last 5 MLS matches, Kansas City have received an average of 2.4 cards per match, while LAFC have averaged 1.4 cards.
8. 08The chances of seeing a goal from Kansas City in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
9. 09Chances are good to see a goal from LAFC within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.

LAFC arrive as the clear market favourite and the better side on almost every measure, but the totals market leans slightly to the over on a 3.0 line. Kansas City's season has been defined by a -35 goal difference and no clean sheets in 23 matches, while LAFC's away record is solid if unspectacular. The key uncertainty is whether LAFC's modest away scoring can punish a Kansas City defence that concedes nearly two goals per home match.