Saint Louis vs Minnesota — MLS 2026
Saint Louis: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Minnesota: 2 yellow cards, 1 red card
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 12, 2026, 4:41 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026
Saint Louis sit 11th with 38 points, nine clear of 20th-placed Minnesota, but the gap is built almost entirely at home. Saint Louis have taken 1.91 points per home match against Minnesota's 1.42 away, a real but not enormous edge.
Saint Louis
MinnesotaScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026
Attack
Both sides score at a similar rate in their relevant venue, with Saint Louis averaging 1.9 goals per home match and Minnesota 1.9 away. The visitors' away scoring is more impressive given they have played one more away match than Saint Louis have at home.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Attacking Share: share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Defence
Saint Louis are clearly the more solid side defensively, conceding 1.3 goals per home match against Minnesota's 2.2 away. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet in their last four away matches, while Saint Louis have managed one in their last five at home.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — STL 5 of 5, MIN 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — STL 5 of 5, MIN 4 of 5.
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026
Saint Louis are most dangerous just before half-time, scoring 24% of their goals between minutes 31-45, while Minnesota peak later, with 31% of their goals coming between minutes 61-75. The visitors are also vulnerable early, conceding 23% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026
Minnesota's away matches are the higher-scoring ones, with 83.33% going over 2.5 goals compared to 63.64% of Saint Louis's home matches. Both teams are more likely to see goals in the second half, with Saint Louis's matches producing 2+ goals after the break 72.73% of the time and Minnesota's 66.67%.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
Match Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the over 63%; the market gives it 50%.
Exactly 3 goals = push · Under is the complement
The total goals market is priced at 3.0, with the market giving a 50% chance of over. Our model, built on both teams' whole-season goal records at their relevant venues, puts the over at 62.5%, a difference of about 12.5 percentage points.
Sample · Saint Louis 11 home games · Minnesota 12 away games this season
Sample · Saint Louis 11 home · Minnesota 12 away
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Smart Predictions
Draw seems to be a common result for Saint Louis lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Saint Louis conceded on average 2 goals per match while Minnesota conceded on average 3.3 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have been awarded an average of 2.6 corners per match, while Minnesota have averaged 4.4 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Minnesota have averaged 0.8 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Minnesota have averaged 2.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Minnesota within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026
Saint Louis sit 11th with 38 points, nine clear of 20th-placed Minnesota, but the gap is built almost entirely at home. Saint Louis have taken 1.91 points per home match against Minnesota's 1.42 away, a real but not enormous edge.
Saint LouisMinnesotaHead-to-Head · LAST 7 MEETINGS
Minnesota have dominated this fixture, winning six of the seven meetings including the most recent one 2-1 at this ground. Saint Louis have not beaten Minnesota in their last five attempts, and the visitors have outscored them 17-7 across the seven matches.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026
Attack
Both sides score at a similar rate in their relevant venue, with Saint Louis averaging 1.9 goals per home match and Minnesota 1.9 away. The visitors' away scoring is more impressive given they have played one more away match than Saint Louis have at home.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Attacking Share: share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Defence
Saint Louis are clearly the more solid side defensively, conceding 1.3 goals per home match against Minnesota's 2.2 away. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet in their last four away matches, while Saint Louis have managed one in their last five at home.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — STL 5 of 5, MIN 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — STL 5 of 5, MIN 4 of 5.
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026
Saint Louis are most dangerous just before half-time, scoring 24% of their goals between minutes 31-45, while Minnesota peak later, with 31% of their goals coming between minutes 61-75. The visitors are also vulnerable early, conceding 23% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 12, 2026
Minnesota's away matches are the higher-scoring ones, with 83.33% going over 2.5 goals compared to 63.64% of Saint Louis's home matches. Both teams are more likely to see goals in the second half, with Saint Louis's matches producing 2+ goals after the break 72.73% of the time and Minnesota's 66.67%.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
Match Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the over 63%; the market gives it 50%.
Exactly 3 goals = push · Under is the complement
The total goals market is priced at 3.0, with the market giving a 50% chance of over. Our model, built on both teams' whole-season goal records at their relevant venues, puts the over at 62.5%, a difference of about 12.5 percentage points.
Sample · Saint Louis 11 home games · Minnesota 12 away games this season
Sample · Saint Louis 11 home · Minnesota 12 away
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Smart Predictions
Draw seems to be a common result for Saint Louis lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Saint Louis conceded on average 2 goals per match while Minnesota conceded on average 3.3 goals per match.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have been awarded an average of 2.6 corners per match, while Minnesota have averaged 4.4 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Minnesota have averaged 0.8 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Saint Louis have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Minnesota have averaged 2.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Minnesota within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Saint Louis arrive unbeaten in their last six league matches and are the market's clear favourite, but Minnesota's away record and this fixture's history both point to goals. The home side have taken 12 points from their last six while Minnesota have managed just 5, yet the visitors have won six of the seven meetings between these clubs. The key uncertainty is whether Minnesota's leaky away defence, conceding 2.2 goals per away match, will undermine their strong head-to-head record.