Seattle vs Kansas City — MLS 2026
Scorer data unavailable
Seattle: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Kansas City: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 1, 2026, 4:27 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 1, 2026
Seattle's 15th place flatters them slightly, but the home/away split shows a real gap: 6 wins and 21 goals at home against Kansas City's 3 wins and 13 goals on the road. Kansas City's away record is the worst in the league, with 10 losses and a -24 goal difference, while Seattle are only +2 at home. The table gap of 14 points is real, but Seattle's home form is more solid than spectacular.
Seattle
Kansas CityScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 1, 2026
Attack
Seattle's home attack is modest at 1.6 goals per match, but it is still well ahead of Kansas City's 1.0 away from home. Seattle have scored 21 home goals in 13 matches, while Kansas City have managed just 13 away goals in 13. The gap is real but not enormous, and Seattle's recent home form of 1.6 goals per match is exactly their season average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Kansas City's away defence is the clear weak point, conceding 2.8 goals per away match compared to Seattle's 1.5 at home. Kansas City have shipped 37 goals in 13 away matches, while Seattle have conceded 19 in 13 at home. The visitors' defence is the most vulnerable unit in this fixture, and it is the main reason Seattle are favoured.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 1, 2026
Seattle are most dangerous late, scoring 33% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Kansas City's peak scoring is split between the 16-30 and 31-45 minute bands at 23% each. Kansas City are equally vulnerable in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute windows, conceding 22% of their goals in each. The match could open up after the hour, when Seattle's late push meets Kansas City's leaky second half.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 1, 2026
Kansas City's matches are far more open: 76.92% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals all venues, and 84.62% of their away matches have, while Seattle's are at 42.31% all venues and 53.85% at home. Kansas City's away matches average 3.85 combined goals, Seattle's home matches 3.08. The visitors' defence is the main driver of the high totals, and their away matches have gone over 3.5 goals in 46.15% of cases.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.5
We give the under 58%; the bookmaker gives it 51%.
The total goals market is set at 3.5, with the market pricing the over at 49% and our model putting it at 42%. Our read sits about 7 percentage points below the market's, a modest difference that leans toward the under but is not a strong signal.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 96%, bookmaker correct-score price 97%, edge minus 0.9 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 96%, bookmaker correct-score price 88%, edge plus 8.5 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 69%, bookmaker correct-score price 70%, edge minus 0.9 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 42%, bookmaker correct-score price 49%, edge minus 7.0 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 27%, bookmaker correct-score price 30%, edge minus 3.1 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Seattle lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Seattle have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Kansas City have averaged 1.2 cards.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, Seattle conceded on average 1 goals per match while Kansas City conceded on average 2.4 goals per match.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Seattle have been awarded an average of 6 corners per match, while Kansas City have averaged 3.6 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Seattle have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while Kansas City have averaged 2.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Kansas City within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Oct 1, 2026
Seattle's 15th place flatters them slightly, but the home/away split shows a real gap: 6 wins and 21 goals at home against Kansas City's 3 wins and 13 goals on the road. Kansas City's away record is the worst in the league, with 10 losses and a -24 goal difference, while Seattle are only +2 at home. The table gap of 14 points is real, but Seattle's home form is more solid than spectacular.
SeattleKansas CityHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Seattle have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, Kansas City 4, with the most recent ending 1-1 in May. At this ground, Seattle have won 3 of 5 meetings, Kansas City 2, with no draws. The average of 3.4 goals per meeting and 70% both-teams-scored rate point to an open match, but the venue record is too small to call a decisive edge.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 1, 2026
Attack
Seattle's home attack is modest at 1.6 goals per match, but it is still well ahead of Kansas City's 1.0 away from home. Seattle have scored 21 home goals in 13 matches, while Kansas City have managed just 13 away goals in 13. The gap is real but not enormous, and Seattle's recent home form of 1.6 goals per match is exactly their season average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Kansas City's away defence is the clear weak point, conceding 2.8 goals per away match compared to Seattle's 1.5 at home. Kansas City have shipped 37 goals in 13 away matches, while Seattle have conceded 19 in 13 at home. The visitors' defence is the most vulnerable unit in this fixture, and it is the main reason Seattle are favoured.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 1, 2026
Seattle are most dangerous late, scoring 33% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Kansas City's peak scoring is split between the 16-30 and 31-45 minute bands at 23% each. Kansas City are equally vulnerable in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute windows, conceding 22% of their goals in each. The match could open up after the hour, when Seattle's late push meets Kansas City's leaky second half.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Oct 1, 2026
Kansas City's matches are far more open: 76.92% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals all venues, and 84.62% of their away matches have, while Seattle's are at 42.31% all venues and 53.85% at home. Kansas City's away matches average 3.85 combined goals, Seattle's home matches 3.08. The visitors' defence is the main driver of the high totals, and their away matches have gone over 3.5 goals in 46.15% of cases.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.5
We give the under 58%; the bookmaker gives it 51%.
The total goals market is set at 3.5, with the market pricing the over at 49% and our model putting it at 42%. Our read sits about 7 percentage points below the market's, a modest difference that leans toward the under but is not a strong signal.
- Over 0.5 goals: our model 96%, bookmaker correct-score price 97%, edge minus 0.9 points
- Over 1.5 goals: our model 96%, bookmaker correct-score price 88%, edge plus 8.5 points
- Over 2.5 goals: our model 69%, bookmaker correct-score price 70%, edge minus 0.9 points
- Over 3.5 goals: our model 42%, bookmaker correct-score price 49%, edge minus 7.0 points
- Over 4.5 goals: our model 27%, bookmaker correct-score price 30%, edge minus 3.1 points
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figures implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Seattle lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 5 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Seattle have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Kansas City have averaged 1.2 cards.
In the last 5 matches of the MLS, Seattle conceded on average 1 goals per match while Kansas City conceded on average 2.4 goals per match.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Seattle have been awarded an average of 6 corners per match, while Kansas City have averaged 3.6 corners.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Seattle have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while Kansas City have averaged 2.2 cards.
Chances are good to see a goal from Kansas City within the first half. They have averaged 0.6 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Seattle host Kansas City with a clear edge in the standings and at home, but the visitors' matches have been far more open all season. Seattle are unbeaten in their last seven matches and have taken 10 points from their last six, while Kansas City have just 6 from the same window and sit bottom of the table. The key uncertainty is whether Kansas City's leaky defence, which concedes 2.8 goals per away match, can be contained by a Seattle side that scores only 1.6 per home match. The market prices Seattle as strong favourites at 63%, but the total goals line of 3.5 is nearly a coin flip.