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Paderborn vs Hoffenheim — Bundesliga 26/27

SUN, SEP 20Home Deluxe Arena
3 – 1Half-time 2 – 0Full time
Paderborn: S. Castaneda
29'
Paderborn: S. Marino
42'
Paderborn: S. Tigges
69'
50'
Hoffenheim: A. Daghim

Paderborn: 0 yellow cards, 0 red cards

Hoffenheim: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:06 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Bundesliga page.

Standings & Form · Bundesliga 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Hoffenheim's away record is modest with 0 points from one away match, but Paderborn's home record is worse, with 0 points and 0 goals from their single home game. The table gap is small at 1 point versus 3 points, yet the underlying home and away splits flatter Paderborn, who have scored no goals anywhere.

Paderborn
Last 6 · all comps
Hoffenheim
Last 6 · all comps
PAD0%Win Rate33%TSG
PAD67%Loss Rate67%TSG

Head-to-Head · LAST 6 MEETINGS

4
TSG wins
2
draws
0
PAD wins

Hoffenheim have won four of the six meetings between these clubs, with Paderborn yet to record a win. The most recent meeting ended 1-1, and the overall average of 1.5 goals per meeting points to tight contests historically.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Attack

Hoffenheim's away attack is far more dangerous, scoring 2.0 goals per away match against Paderborn's 0.0 at home. Paderborn have not scored in any of their three league matches this season, so the attacking edge is entirely with the visitors.

All venues
Home/AwayPAD home · TSG away

Goals Scored · Season

PAD0.02.0TSG
PAD0.02.0TSG

Failed to Score · Season

PAD100%0%TSG
PAD100%0%TSG

Attacking Share · Season

PAD0%46%TSG
PAD0%40%TSG

Goals Scored · Last 5

PAD1.22.0TSG
PAD1.41.6TSG

Failed to Score · Last 5

PAD60%20%TSG
PAD40%40%TSG

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Hoffenheim are most dangerous between the 61st and 75th minutes, scoring 33% of their goals in that window, and they are also most vulnerable there, conceding 43% of their goals in the same band. Paderborn have scored no goals at all this season, so their timing profile is empty.

PaderbornHoffenheim
—
—
—
—
—
—
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
17%
17%
17%
17%
33%
0%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
PAD0%1st Half Lead %100%TSG
PAD33%2nd Half Lead %0%TSG

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

PAD ■TSG ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Hoffenheim's matches are high-scoring, with 100% of their away games going over 2.5 goals, while Paderborn's home matches have stayed under, with 0% over 2.5. The away side's season record points to goals, but Paderborn's own matches have produced just 1.0 combined goals at home.

PAD67%Over 0.5100%TSG
PAD33%Over 1.5100%TSG
PAD33%Over 2.5100%TSG
PAD0%Over 3.567%TSG
PAD0%Over 4.567%TSG
PAD0%Over 5.50%TSG
1.33Combined Goals / G · FT · Season4.33

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Paderborn have been one of the least effective teams in the Bundesliga this season, averaging just 0 goals per match, which is below the league average of 1.9 goals per match.

  2. In the last 3 matches of the Bundesliga, Paderborn scored 0 goals (average 0) while Hoffenheim scored 6 (average 2).

  3. The chances of seeing a goal from Paderborn in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0 goals before halftime in the Bundesliga matches this season.

  4. In their last 5 matches, Paderborn have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Hoffenheim have averaged 0.8 cards.

  5. In their last 3 Bundesliga matches, Paderborn have been awarded an average of 3.3 corners per match, while Hoffenheim have averaged 7.3 corners.

  6. In their last 5 matches, Paderborn have received an average of 2.2 cards per match, while Hoffenheim have averaged 2.8 cards.

  7. Chances are good to see a goal from Hoffenheim within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the Bundesliga this season.

  8. In the last 3 matches of the Bundesliga, Paderborn conceded on average 1.3 goals per match while Hoffenheim conceded on average 2.3 goals per match.

  9. Hoffenheim scored at least one goal per match in the Bundesliga this season.

About The Match

Paderborn host Hoffenheim in a match where the market sees a clear away edge, pricing Hoffenheim at 57% to win. The season sample is tiny at three matches each, but the contrast is stark: Paderborn have yet to score a league goal this season while Hoffenheim have scored six. The key uncertainty is whether Paderborn's 0 goals across three league matches is a true signal or just a slow start, because if it holds, Hoffenheim's away scoring alone may be enough.