10xSharp

Nice vs Strasbourg Alsace — Ligue 1 26/27

SUN, OCT 11Allianz Rivera
2 – 1Half-time 1 – 1Full time
Nice: P. Diop
45+2' (OG)
Nice: J. Clauss
81'
41'
Strasbourg Alsace: D. Essugo

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 7:03 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Ligue 1 page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Ligue 1 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Strasbourg Alsace sit 10th with 7 points, five places and two points clear of 15th-placed Nice, and the away side's away record of one win and two losses is stronger than Nice's home return of one win and two draws. The home side's home goal difference of +1 is better than the visitors' -1 on the road, but the overall gap is modest and the sample is only five matches.

Nice
Last 6 · all comps
Strasbourg Alsace
Last 6 · all comps
NIC20%Win Rate40%RCS
NIC40%Loss Rate40%RCS

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

2
RCS wins
4
draws
4
NIC wins

Nice have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 10 meetings to Strasbourg Alsace's 2, with 4 draws, and the goal tally of 14-11 also favours the home side. The most recent meeting was a Nice win, but it came outside this competition, so the league history is the more relevant guide.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Attack

Strasbourg Alsace hold a large attacking edge, scoring 2.3 goals per away match across 3 away matches against Nice's 1.0 at home across 3 home matches, and the visitors are well above the league's away-side average while Nice are clearly below the home-side norm. The gap is the widest single attacking contrast in this fixture and points firmly toward the away side.

All venues
Home/AwayNIC home · RCS away

Goals Scored · Season

NIC0.62.0RCS
NIC1.02.3RCS

Failed to Score · Season

NIC60%20%RCS
NIC33%33%RCS

Attacking Share · Season

NIC33%50%RCS
NIC60%47%RCS

Goals Scored · Last 5

NIC0.62.0RCS
NIC2.21.6RCS

Failed to Score · Last 5

NIC60%20%RCS
NIC20%40%RCS

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Strasbourg Alsace are most dangerous late, scoring 50% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Nice are most vulnerable in that same period, conceding 33% of their goals there. The visitors' late pressure is the clearest timing pattern, but both sides have conceded heavily after the hour, so the closing stages could open up.

NiceStrasbourg Alsace
0%
33%
33%
0%
33%
0%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
0%
20%
30%
0%
50%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
NIC20%1st Half Lead %20%RCS
NIC0%2nd Half Lead %60%RCS

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

NIC ■RCS ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Strasbourg Alsace's matches have been far more open, with 80% of their games going over 2.5 goals against 40% for Nice, and the visitors' away matches have gone over 2.5 in every one of their three road fixtures. Nice's home matches have stayed tighter, with only a third going over 2.5, so the venue split is stark but rests on a small sample.

NIC80%Over 0.5100%RCS
NIC60%Over 1.5100%RCS
NIC40%Over 2.580%RCS
NIC0%Over 3.540%RCS
NIC0%Over 4.520%RCS
NIC0%Over 5.520%RCS
1.80Combined Goals / G · FT · Season4.00

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Strasbourg Alsace have conceded a total of 8 goals when playing away, which is the most in the Ligue 1 this season.

  2. In the last 3 matches of the Ligue 1, Nice scored 3 goals (average 1) while Strasbourg Alsace scored 8 (average 2.6).

  3. In their last 3 Ligue 1 matches, Nice have been awarded an average of 5.3 corners per match, while Strasbourg Alsace have averaged 0.6 corners.

  4. Nice struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 Ligue 1 matches.

  5. Nice have been one of the least effective teams in the Ligue 1 this season, averaging just 0.6 goals per match, which is below the league average of 1.4 goals per match.

  6. Strasbourg Alsace have been one of the most effective teams in the Ligue 1 this season, averaging 2 goals per match, which is above the league average of 1.4 goals per match.

  7. In their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Nice have received an average of 0.8 cards in the first half per match, while Strasbourg Alsace have averaged 0.4 cards.

  8. In the last 5 matches of the Ligue 1, Nice conceded on average 1.2 goals per match while Strasbourg Alsace conceded on average 2 goals per match.

  9. The chances of seeing a goal from Nice in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the Ligue 1 matches this season.

  10. In their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Nice have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while Strasbourg Alsace have averaged 1.6 cards.

About The Match

Nice are hard to break down at home but carry almost no attacking threat, while Strasbourg Alsace are the opposite: dangerous going forward and porous at the back. The clearest signal is the away side's scoring edge, with 2.3 goals per away match across 3 away matches against Nice's 1.0 at home, a gap that shapes the whole fixture. The key uncertainty is whether Strasbourg Alsace's leaky defence, conceding 2.7 per away match, lets Nice's modest attack back into a match the visitors should otherwise control.