Le Mans vs Toulouse — Ligue 1 26/27
Le Mans: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
CARDSToulouse: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Oct 14, 2026, 4:50 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Ligue 1 page · Read the match report.
Standings & Form · Ligue 1 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 14, 2026
Le Mans sit 14th and Toulouse 15th, level on 6 points after six matches, and the venue records are the real gap: Le Mans are unbeaten at home with 1 win and 2 draws, while Toulouse have drawn all 3 of their away matches without a win. Le Mans's home goal difference is +1 against Toulouse's 0 on the road, so the hosts' slight edge comes entirely from their home form.
Le Mans
ToulouseScoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 14, 2026
Attack
Toulouse carry a clear attacking edge on the road, scoring 2.0 goals per away match across 3 away matches against Le Mans's 2.0 per home match across 3 home matches, but the visitors' figure is far above the league's away-side average of 1.24 while Le Mans's is only marginally above their home-side baseline of 1.67. The edge is real but rests on a thin sample for both sides.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Toulouse hold a marginal defensive edge, conceding 2.0 goals per away match across 3 away matches against Le Mans's 1.7 per home match across 3 home matches, and both are worse than the league averages for their venue. Neither side has kept a clean sheet this season, so the edge is about who leaks slightly less rather than who can shut the game down.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 14, 2026
Le Mans are most dangerous just after half time, scoring 40% of their goals in the 46-60 window, while Toulouse are even more concentrated there with 56% of their goals in the same period.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 14, 2026
Le Mans's matches have been the higher-scoring ones, with 83% of their games going over 2.5 goals against 67% for Toulouse, and Le Mans's home matches are especially lively at 100% over 2.5 against 67% of their away matches. Toulouse's away matches are their high-scoring ones at 100% over 2.5 against 33% at home, so this fixture pairs two teams whose relevant venue records both point to goals.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Le Mans have received an average of 3 cards per match, while Toulouse have averaged 1.8 cards.
Draw seems to be a common result for Toulouse lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 Ligue 1 matches.
In the last 3 matches of the Ligue 1, Le Mans scored 5 goals (average 1.6) while Toulouse scored 7 (average 2.3).
In their last 3 Ligue 1 matches, Le Mans have been awarded an average of 2.6 corners per match, while Toulouse have averaged 4.3 corners.
The chances of seeing a goal from Toulouse in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.1 goals before halftime in the Ligue 1 matches this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Le Mans within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the Ligue 1 this season.
In the last 5 matches of the Ligue 1, Le Mans conceded on average 2 goals per match while Toulouse conceded on average 1.8 goals per match.
Le Mans scored at least one goal per match in the Ligue 1 this season.
In their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Le Mans have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Toulouse have averaged 0.6 cards.
Standings & Form · Ligue 1 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 14, 2026
Le Mans sit 14th and Toulouse 15th, level on 6 points after six matches, and the venue records are the real gap: Le Mans are unbeaten at home with 1 win and 2 draws, while Toulouse have drawn all 3 of their away matches without a win. Le Mans's home goal difference is +1 against Toulouse's 0 on the road, so the hosts' slight edge comes entirely from their home form.
Le MansToulouseHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Toulouse have had the better of this fixture across the last 10 meetings, winning 4 to Le Mans's 3 with 3 draws, and they also lead 2 wins to 1 in the 5 meetings at this ground. That history is old, spanning 2005 to 2010, so it says more about the clubs' past than about this season's sides.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Oct 14, 2026
Attack
Toulouse carry a clear attacking edge on the road, scoring 2.0 goals per away match across 3 away matches against Le Mans's 2.0 per home match across 3 home matches, but the visitors' figure is far above the league's away-side average of 1.24 while Le Mans's is only marginally above their home-side baseline of 1.67. The edge is real but rests on a thin sample for both sides.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Toulouse hold a marginal defensive edge, conceding 2.0 goals per away match across 3 away matches against Le Mans's 1.7 per home match across 3 home matches, and both are worse than the league averages for their venue. Neither side has kept a clean sheet this season, so the edge is about who leaks slightly less rather than who can shut the game down.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Oct 14, 2026
Le Mans are most dangerous just after half time, scoring 40% of their goals in the 46-60 window, while Toulouse are even more concentrated there with 56% of their goals in the same period.
Goal Lines · Season 26/27
Pre-match · Oct 14, 2026
Le Mans's matches have been the higher-scoring ones, with 83% of their games going over 2.5 goals against 67% for Toulouse, and Le Mans's home matches are especially lively at 100% over 2.5 against 67% of their away matches. Toulouse's away matches are their high-scoring ones at 100% over 2.5 against 33% at home, so this fixture pairs two teams whose relevant venue records both point to goals.
Betting Angles
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
In their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Le Mans have received an average of 3 cards per match, while Toulouse have averaged 1.8 cards.
Draw seems to be a common result for Toulouse lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 Ligue 1 matches.
In the last 3 matches of the Ligue 1, Le Mans scored 5 goals (average 1.6) while Toulouse scored 7 (average 2.3).
In their last 3 Ligue 1 matches, Le Mans have been awarded an average of 2.6 corners per match, while Toulouse have averaged 4.3 corners.
The chances of seeing a goal from Toulouse in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.1 goals before halftime in the Ligue 1 matches this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Le Mans within the first half. They have averaged one goal before halftime in the Ligue 1 this season.
In the last 5 matches of the Ligue 1, Le Mans conceded on average 2 goals per match while Toulouse conceded on average 1.8 goals per match.
Le Mans scored at least one goal per match in the Ligue 1 this season.
In their last 5 Ligue 1 matches, Le Mans have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while Toulouse have averaged 0.6 cards.
About The Match
This is a meeting of two mid-table sides with identical points and nearly identical form, but the market gives Toulouse a clear edge on the road at 42% to win against 32% for Le Mans. The sharper contrast is in how each side scores: Toulouse have scored 89% of their goals after half time, while Le Mans do 60% of their scoring before the break. The key uncertainty is whether Le Mans's unbeaten home run and Toulouse's winless away run, both built on small samples, hold up against a market that sees the visitors as the better side.