10xSharp

Leverkusen vs Freiburg — Bundesliga 26/27

SUN, OCT 18BayArena
2 – 1Half-time 1 – 1Full time
Leverkusen: I. Maza
19'
Leverkusen: P. Schick
76'
14'
Freiburg: D. Lionel Scherhant

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:31 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Bundesliga page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Bundesliga 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Freiburg lead the table with 13 points from five matches, three clear of Leverkusen's 10, but the venue split flips the picture: Leverkusen have won both home matches with a +6 goal difference, while Freiburg's away record is one win and one draw with a +1 goal difference.

Leverkusen
Last 6 · all comps
Freiburg
Last 6 · all comps
LEV60%Win Rate80%SCF
LEV20%Loss Rate0%SCF

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

2
SCF wins
3
draws
5
LEV wins

Leverkusen have won 5 of the last 10 meetings with 3 draws, and at this ground they have won 4 of 5 with no draws, scoring 13 goals to Freiburg's 6. The most recent meeting was a 3-3 draw in March, and these matches have averaged 3.9 goals with both teams scoring in 90% of them.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Attack

Leverkusen's home attack is clearly stronger, scoring 3.0 goals per home match across 2 home matches against Freiburg's 1.5 away, and Leverkusen sit well above the league's home-side average of 2.36 while Freiburg are level with the away norm of 1.47.

All venues
Home/AwayLEV home · SCF away

Goals Scored · Season

LEV2.82.8SCF
LEV3.01.5SCF

Failed to Score · Season

LEV0%0%SCF
LEV0%0%SCF

Attacking Share · Season

LEV64%78%SCF
LEV100%60%SCF

Goals Scored · Last 5

LEV2.82.8SCF
LEV2.62.2SCF

Failed to Score · Last 5

LEV0%0%SCF
LEV0%20%SCF

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Leverkusen are equally dangerous in three windows, scoring 21% of their goals in each of the opening 15 minutes, the 46-60 period, and the final 15, while Freiburg share their peak between the 16-30 and 76-90 windows at 29% each. Leverkusen are most vulnerable just after the break, conceding 38% of their goals in the 46-60 window against 21% scored there.

LeverkusenFreiburg
21%
14%
7%
21%
14%
21%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
7%
29%
14%
21%
0%
29%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
LEV60%1st Half Lead %60%SCF
LEV40%2nd Half Lead %60%SCF

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

LEV ■SCF ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Both sides have seen 80% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, but the venue splits diverge sharply: 50% of Leverkusen's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, against 100% of their away matches, while Freiburg's home matches are at 100% and away at 50%.

LEV100%Over 0.5100%SCF
LEV100%Over 1.580%SCF
LEV80%Over 2.580%SCF
LEV80%Over 3.560%SCF
LEV40%Over 4.540%SCF
LEV20%Over 5.50%SCF
4.40Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.60

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Freiburg have conceded a total of only 4 goals, which is the least in the Bundesliga this season.

  2. In their last 3 Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen have been awarded an average of 8.6 corners per match, while Freiburg have averaged 6 corners.

  3. In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen have received an average of 0 cards in the first half per match, while Freiburg have averaged 0.4 cards.

  4. Chances are good to see a goal from Freiburg within the first half. They have averaged 1.4 goals before halftime in the Bundesliga this season.

  5. In the last 3 matches of the Bundesliga, Leverkusen scored 8 goals (average 2.6) while Freiburg scored 9 (average 3).

  6. In the last 5 matches of the Bundesliga, Leverkusen conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while Freiburg conceded on average 0.8 goals per match.

  7. Freiburg shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches of the Bundesliga.

  8. Leverkusen scored at least one goal per match in the Bundesliga this season.

  9. In their last 5 Bundesliga matches, Leverkusen have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while Freiburg have averaged 2.2 cards.

About The Match

Freiburg arrive as the league leaders and the form side, unbeaten through five matches with 13 points from their last five, while Leverkusen sit fourth with 10 points and a perfect home record. The market still prices Leverkusen as clear favourites at 56% to win, reflecting their dominant home start of two wins without conceding. The key uncertainty is whether Freiburg's away solidity, one goal conceded across two away matches, can withstand Leverkusen's home attack that has scored three per match.