Premier League 26/27 · Round 7 ·
Everton FC vs Chelsea FC preview: Everton host Chelsea with the away side favoured
Everton welcome Chelsea to Hill Dickinson Stadium with both sides level on 10 points after six matches. The clearest contrast is defensive: Everton concede 0.7 goals per home match while Chelsea concede 2.3 away, a gap the market prices into an away win probability of 44%.
By 10xSharp · Published
This preview was published before kickoff. The match has finished: see the result and full stats. Read the match report.
Chelsea carry the injury list
Chelsea are without three players for this match, all listed as injury. Reece James, Emanuel Emegha and Jamie Gittens are each unavailable, and none of them features among Chelsea's top two scorers this season. Everton have no unavailable players listed, so there is no availability concern on the home side to report.
Pedro leads the scoring chart
Joao Pedro has scored 5 goals in 5 matches for Chelsea this season, a share of 33% of their goals, and he is second in the scoring chart. Morgan Rogers has added 4 goals from midfield. For Everton, Thierno Barry leads with 3 goals in 6 matches, a 38% share, and is sixth in the scoring chart.
Both arrive on ten points
Everton are 5th in the form table with 10 points from their last six league matches, a record of 2 wins and 4 draws. Chelsea are 6th with the same 10 points but a different shape: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. Everton have not lost in their last six, while Chelsea have won their most recent match.
Level on points, different venues
Everton sit 5th with 10 points and Chelsea 6th with the same 10 points. At home Everton have 2 wins, 1 draw and no losses, while Chelsea away have 1 win, no draws and 2 losses. Everton's home goal difference is 3 and Chelsea's away goal difference is -3.
Chelsea edge the recent meetings
Across 10 meetings, Chelsea have won 4, Everton 3, with 3 draws. In the 5 meetings at this ground, Everton have won 3, Chelsea 1, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Everton 3-0 Chelsea in March 2026.
Attacks level with the league
Everton score 1.7 goals per home match, level with the league average for a home side. Chelsea score 1.3 goals per away match, also level with the league average for an away side. The attack edge is level, with both sides standing the same distance from their own league baseline.
Everton hold a large defensive edge
Everton concede 0.7 goals per home match, clearly better than the league average for a home side. Chelsea concede 2.3 goals per away match, clearly worse than the league average for an away side. The defence edge favours Everton, and it is large.
Chelsea test the goalkeeper more
Chelsea average 5.17 shots on target per match, higher than Everton's 4.67. Everton see more of their shots blocked, 4.67 per match against Chelsea's 3.67. Chelsea also average more corners, 5.67 to Everton's 5.17.
Chelsea start fast, Everton finish late
Chelsea score 47% of their goals in the first 15 minutes, their most dangerous spell. Everton score 38% of their goals between minutes 76 and 90, their most dangerous spell. Everton concede 40% of their goals in the 46-60 window, against 25% of the goals they score in that window.
Chelsea matches run high
Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 100% of their season so far. Everton's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 33% of their season. Chelsea's matches also produce more first-half goals, with 83% going over 1.5 before the break against 0% for Everton.
Defence against attack
Everton's home defence is the strongest single factor in this match, conceding 0.7 goals per home match. Chelsea's away defence is the weakest, conceding 2.3 per away match. Chelsea's attack is level with the league average away from home, so the market's away win probability of 44% reflects their overall strength rather than any away edge.