Ligue 1 26/27 · Round 6 ·
ESTAC Troyes vs Olympique Marseille preview: Troyes host Marseille with both sides desperate for points
Troyes welcome Marseille to the Stade de l'Aube with both clubs sitting in the bottom three after five matches. The market prices Marseille as clear favourites at 49%, but their away attack has produced no goals this season.
By 10xSharp · Published
This preview was published before kickoff. The match has finished: see the result and full stats. Read the match report.
Team news
Troyes are without defender Yvann Titi, who is out with an injury. Marseille have a defensive absence of their own, with Derek Cornelius also unavailable through injury. Neither absence removes a leading scorer or creator from the side, so both attacks remain at full strength for this match.
Players to watch
Amine Gouiri carries Marseille's attack, with 4 goals in 5 matches, which is 57% of their total this season. Troyes spread their scoring more thinly, with Jeremy Le Douaron, Lucas Maronnier and Renaud Ripart each on 1 goal. Angel Gomes adds a goal and an assist for Marseille, while Kandet Diawara and Antoine Mille each have 1 assist for Troyes.
Form
Troyes have taken 4 points from their last five league matches, with one win, one draw and three defeats. Marseille have managed just 3 points from the same window, losing four of their last five. Both sides lost their most recent match, and Marseille's current run of five straight defeats in all competitions is the more alarming of the two. Troyes have had 22 days since their last match, Marseille 21.
Standings
Troyes sit 16th with 4 points, while Marseille are one place below them in 17th with 3 points. At home, Troyes have no wins from two matches, with one draw and one defeat. Marseille have lost both of their away matches this season and have yet to score on the road.
Head to head
Across 10 meetings from 2012 to 2023, Marseille have won 7 times, Troyes once, with 2 draws. Marseille scored 22 goals in those matches to Troyes' 8. In the 5 meetings at this ground, Marseille won 2, Troyes won 1 and there were 2 draws, with Marseille scoring 7 goals to Troyes' 5. Their most recent meeting was in April 2023, when Marseille won 3-1.
Attack
Troyes average 1.0 goals per home match, which is worse than the league average for a home side at home. Marseille have scored no goals in their two away matches, a large shortfall against the league's away-side average. Troyes hold the attacking edge here, and it is a large one, but both attacks are operating well below their usual levels.
Defense
Troyes concede 3.0 goals per home match, a large deficit against the league's home-side average. Marseille concede 1.5 goals per away match, which is level with the league's away-side average. Marseille hold a large defensive edge, with Troyes' home record the more concerning of the two.
Efficiency
Marseille average 4.6 shots on target per match compared to Troyes' 3.8. Troyes see more of their shots blocked, at 3.8 per match against Marseille's 2.4. Marseille also enjoy more possession, at 56.6% to Troyes' 39.0%.
Goal timing
Troyes are most vulnerable late, conceding 36% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window. Marseille are equally dangerous across the 46-60, 61-75 and 76-90 minute windows, scoring 29% of their goals in each. Marseille's first goal typically comes around minute 42, while Troyes score theirs around minute 19.
Goal lines
Across the whole season, 40% of Troyes' matches have gone over 2.5 goals, while 60% of Marseille's have. In their home matches, Troyes have gone over 2.5 goals in 50% of games, but Marseille's away matches have never exceeded 2.5 goals. Troyes have failed to score in 60% of their matches, Marseille in 40%.
Verdict
This is a meeting of two struggling attacks and one very leaky home defence. Marseille's away scoring record is the most alarming figure in the preview, but Troyes' home defence concedes three goals per match. The market prices Marseille as clear favourites, and their superior shot volume and defensive record support that. Expect a low-scoring first half, with both sides more vulnerable after the break.