Serie A 26/27 · Round 7 ·
AS Roma vs Genoa CFC preview: Roma host Genoa with the table's sharpest attack
Roma welcome Genoa to the Stadio Olimpico with the league's most dangerous attack and a defence that has conceded just three goals all season. The visitors arrive with one away point from a possible six and a scoring rate that is less than a fifth of Roma's at home.
By 10xSharp · Published
This preview was published before kickoff. The match has finished: see the result and full stats. Read the match report.
Who is missing
Genoa are the side carrying the heavier absence list, with five players unavailable through injury. Lorenzo Colombo and Djibril Sow are the key absences, as Colombo's two assists and Sow's one make them the club's only players with an assist this season. Roma have three midfielders and a goalkeeper out, but none of their unavailable players features among the club's top scorers or assisters. The home side's attack is therefore intact, while Genoa lose their entire creative output from the season so far.
Who carries each attack
Donyell Malen leads the scoring chart outright with 6 goals in 6 matches, and his 43% share of Roma's goals makes him the single most important attacking player on the pitch. Paulo Dybala's 4 assists give Roma a second route to goal that Genoa simply do not have. For Genoa, Milutin Osmajic has 3 goals in 5 matches, a 60% share of his team's total, but he is sixth in the scoring chart with twelve players level on his tally. Junior Messias and Johan Vasquez have one goal each, and with Colombo and Sow out, Genoa's supporting cast is thin.
Who arrives in better shape
Roma are third in the form table with 14 points from their last six league matches, a record of four wins and two draws. Genoa sit 17th with 4 points from the same window, one win, one draw and four defeats. Roma's latest result was a draw, while Genoa won their most recent match, but the wider picture is stark. Roma are unbeaten in their last six league matches, while Genoa have lost their last three away matches in all competitions, failing to score in two of them.
Where they sit
Roma are 3rd with 14 points, while Genoa are 17th with 4 points. The home side's record at the Stadio Olimpico is two wins and a draw from three matches, with a goal difference of plus five. Genoa's away record is the mirror image: no wins, no draws and two defeats from two matches, with a goal difference of minus two. Roma have not lost at home this season, and Genoa have not won on the road.
History between them
Across the last 10 meetings, Roma have won 6 times, Genoa 2, with 2 draws, and the goals are 14-9 in Roma's favour. At this ground, the record is even more one-sided: in the 6 meetings at the Stadio Olimpico, Roma have won 5 and drawn 1, with Genoa yet to win, and the goals are 9-2. The most recent meeting was in March 2026, when Genoa won 2-1 at home, but that is the exception in a fixture Roma have dominated.
How dangerous each side is
Roma's home attack is the strongest single figure in this match: 2.7 goals per home match, against a league home-side average of 1.55, a large edge. Genoa's away attack is the weakest: 0.5 goals per away match, against a league away-side average of 1.32, also a large gap but in the wrong direction. The attack edge is firmly with Roma, and the size of that edge is large. Roma score more than five times as many goals at home as Genoa score away.
Who keeps it tighter
Roma concede 1.0 goals per home match, better than the league home-side average of 1.32, though the edge is only marginal. Genoa concede 1.5 goals per away match, which is level with the league away-side average of 1.55. The defence edge is with Roma, but it is a marginal one. Roma's real defensive strength is their away record, where they have conceded no goals at all, but at home they are merely solid rather than exceptional.
Who works the keeper harder
Roma average 6.17 shots on target per match, more than double Genoa's 2.83. The visitors also see more of their shots blocked, 4.17 per match against Roma's 3.5. Roma's 54.33% possession against Genoa's 46.5% completes the picture of a side that controls matches and creates far more clear chances. Genoa's low shot volume is not a style choice; it is a product of being second-best in most matches this season.
When the goals come
Roma are most dangerous in the final 15 minutes, scoring 29% of their goals between minutes 76 and 90. Genoa's peak scoring window is the opening 15 minutes, with 40% of their goals coming before the quarter-hour. Genoa are also most vulnerable late, conceding 36% of their goals in the 76-90 window, against 0% of the goals they score in that same period. Roma's first-half scoring share of 50% is 6.5 points above the league's 43.55%, while Genoa's 60% first-half share is 16.5 points above it.
The goal environment
Roma's matches this season have gone over 2.5 goals 66.67% of the time, while Genoa's have done so 50% of the time. The venue split for Roma is extreme: 100% of their home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, against 33% of their away matches. Genoa's matches are more evenly split, with no venue swing. Roma's matches are also more front-loaded, with a half-tempo lean of minus 16.67, meaning fewer goals in the first half than the second.
How this match shapes up
Roma's attack is the single clearest signal in this preview, and Genoa's away record offers little resistance. The visitors have lost all three away matches this season, failed to score in two of them, and concede late goals in the exact window where Roma are most dangerous. Genoa's only hope is to survive the opening 15 minutes, where they score 40% of their goals, and then hold on. The market prices Roma as a clear favourite, and the underlying numbers support that read.