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Roma vs Genoa — Serie A 26/27

SAT, OCT 17Stadio Olimpico
2 – 0Half-time 0 – 0Full time
Roma: S. Castro
50'
Roma: E. Lulli
68'

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 15, 2026, 7:58 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Serie A page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · Serie A 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Roma sit 3rd with 14 points, Genoa 17th with 4, and the home record is just as lopsided: Roma have taken 7 points from 3 home matches while Genoa have none from 2 away. Roma's home goal difference is +5, Genoa's away is -2, so the table gap is real rather than a quirk of the fixture list.

Roma
Last 6 · all comps
Genoa
Last 6 · all comps
ROM67%Win Rate17%GEN
ROM0%Loss Rate67%GEN

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

2
GEN wins
2
draws
6
ROM wins

Roma have dominated this fixture, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings to Genoa's 2, with 2 draws, and at this ground it is even more one-sided: 5 Roma wins and a draw in the 6 meetings here. The most recent meeting went to Genoa, 2-1 in March, but that is the exception in a record that spans 2021 to 2026.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Attack

Roma's home attack is far stronger than Genoa's on the road, scoring 2.7 goals per home match across 3 home matches against 0.5 for Genoa across 2 away matches. Roma are well above the league's home-side average of 1.55, while Genoa are well below the away-side average of 1.32, giving Roma a large attacking edge.

All venues
Home/AwayROM home · GEN away

Goals Scored · Season

ROM2.30.8GEN
ROM2.70.5GEN

Failed to Score · Season

ROM17%33%GEN
ROM0%50%GEN

Attacking Share · Season

ROM82%31%GEN
ROM73%25%GEN

Goals Scored · Last 5

ROM1.61.0GEN
ROM2.60.6GEN

Failed to Score · Last 5

ROM20%20%GEN
ROM0%40%GEN

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

Roma are most dangerous late, scoring 29% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Genoa strike earliest, with 40% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes. Genoa are also most vulnerable late, conceding 36% of their goals in 76-90 against 0% scored in that same window.

RomaGenoa
14%
21%
14%
14%
7%
29%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
40%
20%
0%
20%
20%
0%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
ROM67%1st Half Lead %17%GEN
ROM33%2nd Half Lead %67%GEN

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 15, 2026

ROM ■GEN ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Roma's matches are the higher-scoring ones, with 66.67% of their matches going over 2.5 goals against 50% for Genoa, and Roma's home matches are extreme: 100% have gone over 2.5 goals versus 33% of their away matches. Both teams' matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 83.33% of cases, so a low-scoring affair is unlikely.

ROM83%Over 0.5100%GEN
ROM83%Over 1.583%GEN
ROM67%Over 2.550%GEN
ROM50%Over 3.517%GEN
ROM0%Over 4.517%GEN
ROM0%Over 5.50%GEN
2.83Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.67

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Draw seems to be a common result for Roma lately. They have drawn 2 out of their last 3 Serie A matches.

  2. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Roma have received an average of 2 cards per match, while Genoa have averaged 3.2 cards.

  3. Roma have conceded a total of only 3 goals, which is the least in the Serie A this season.

  4. In the last 6 matches of the Serie A, Roma scored 14 goals (average 2.3) while Genoa scored 5 (average 0.8).

  5. Chances are good to see a goal from Roma within the first half. They have averaged 1.1 goals before halftime in the Serie A this season.

  6. In the last 6 matches of the Serie A, Roma conceded on average 0.5 goals per match while Genoa conceded on average 1.8 goals per match.

  7. Roma shine in defence lately. They conceded less than one goal per match on average in the last 5 matches of the Serie A.

  8. In their last 5 Serie A matches, Roma have received an average of 0.2 cards in the first half per match, while Genoa have averaged 1 card.

  9. In their last 3 Serie A matches, Roma have been awarded an average of 4.3 corners per match, while Genoa have averaged 5.3 corners.

About The Match

Roma arrive as the market's clear favourite and the table's far stronger side, but the sharpest signal is how much more dangerous they are at home than Genoa are on the road. Roma score 2.7 goals per home match while Genoa manage just 0.5 away, a gap that dwarfs every other edge in this fixture. The key uncertainty is whether Roma's thin home sample and a recent wobble, winless in their last three matches, let Genoa keep this tighter than the standings suggest.