Seattle vs Salt Lake — MLS 2026
Seattle: 4 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Salt Lake: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 23, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 23, 2026
Salt Lake sit one place above Seattle in the table, but the gap is a single point and flatters the visitors. Seattle's home form is far stronger than Salt Lake's away form, with 1.36 points per home game against 0.5 per away game, making the home side the more reliable of the two at their respective venues.
Seattle
Salt LakeScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 23, 2026
Attack
Seattle's home attack is the more reliable of the two, averaging 1.5 goals per home match against Salt Lake's 1.1 away. Salt Lake's away scoring is a real weakness, and they have failed to score in 40% of their last five away games, which is a significant edge for the home side.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Seattle's home defence is the more solid, conceding 1.6 goals per home match against Salt Lake's 1.8 away. Salt Lake have kept no clean sheets away from home this season, while Seattle have managed two in their last six home games, giving the home side a clear defensive edge.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 23, 2026
Seattle are most dangerous late, scoring 36% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Salt Lake's peak is earlier, with 24% of their goals coming between minutes 16 and 30. Both teams are also most vulnerable late, with Seattle conceding 36% and Salt Lake 21% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, so the closing stages could be decisive.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 23, 2026
Salt Lake's matches are far more likely to go over 2.5 goals, with 68% of their games this season hitting that mark, compared to Seattle's 42%. At home, Seattle's over-2.5 rate rises to 55%, while Salt Lake's away rate is 67%, so the visitors' games consistently produce more goals.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 53%; the bookmaker gives it 49%.
Our model puts the chance of over 3 goals at 47%, while the market prices it at 51%. That leaves our read about 4 percentage points below the market's, a marginal difference that suggests the market is slightly more optimistic about a high-scoring game than our season-based estimate.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Seattle lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Seattle have received an average of 1 card per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 2.6 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Seattle have received an average of 0.2 cards in the first half per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 0.6 cards.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Seattle have been awarded an average of 3 corners per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 6.6 corners.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Seattle conceded on average 1.3 goals per match while Salt Lake conceded on average 2.3 goals per match.
The chances of seeing a goal from Seattle in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Salt Lake within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 23, 2026
Salt Lake sit one place above Seattle in the table, but the gap is a single point and flatters the visitors. Seattle's home form is far stronger than Salt Lake's away form, with 1.36 points per home game against 0.5 per away game, making the home side the more reliable of the two at their respective venues.
SeattleSalt LakeHead-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS
Salt Lake have dominated this fixture recently, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings to Seattle's 2, with 2 draws. The most recent meeting, in March, went Salt Lake's way 2-1, and the visitors have won 3 of the last 5, so history clearly favours the away side.
Scoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 23, 2026
Attack
Seattle's home attack is the more reliable of the two, averaging 1.5 goals per home match against Salt Lake's 1.1 away. Salt Lake's away scoring is a real weakness, and they have failed to score in 40% of their last five away games, which is a significant edge for the home side.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
Seattle's home defence is the more solid, conceding 1.6 goals per home match against Salt Lake's 1.8 away. Salt Lake have kept no clean sheets away from home this season, while Seattle have managed two in their last six home games, giving the home side a clear defensive edge.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 23, 2026
Seattle are most dangerous late, scoring 36% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window, while Salt Lake's peak is earlier, with 24% of their goals coming between minutes 16 and 30. Both teams are also most vulnerable late, with Seattle conceding 36% and Salt Lake 21% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, so the closing stages could be decisive.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 23, 2026
Salt Lake's matches are far more likely to go over 2.5 goals, with 68% of their games this season hitting that mark, compared to Seattle's 42%. At home, Seattle's over-2.5 rate rises to 55%, while Salt Lake's away rate is 67%, so the visitors' games consistently produce more goals.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.0
We give the under 53%; the bookmaker gives it 49%.
Our model puts the chance of over 3 goals at 47%, while the market prices it at 51%. That leaves our read about 4 percentage points below the market's, a marginal difference that suggests the market is slightly more optimistic about a high-scoring game than our season-based estimate.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Draw seems to be a common result for Seattle lately. They have drawn 3 out of their last 3 MLS matches.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Seattle have received an average of 1 card per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 2.6 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, Seattle have received an average of 0.2 cards in the first half per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 0.6 cards.
In their last 3 MLS matches, Seattle have been awarded an average of 3 corners per match, while Salt Lake have averaged 6.6 corners.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, Seattle conceded on average 1.3 goals per match while Salt Lake conceded on average 2.3 goals per match.
The chances of seeing a goal from Seattle in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.4 goals before halftime in the MLS matches this season.
Chances are good to see a goal from Salt Lake within the first half. They have averaged 0.8 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Seattle and Salt Lake meet as two of the league's most out-of-form sides, but the home team's draws at least show resistance while the visitors are losing outright. Seattle have taken 5 points from their last six league games, all draws, while Salt Lake have managed just 1 point in the same window. The key uncertainty is whether Salt Lake's away fragility, four straight defeats on the road, outweighs Seattle's inability to turn home draws into wins.