San Diego vs Philadelphia — MLS 2026
San Diego: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Philadelphia: 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards
Pre-match analysis, published Sep 13, 2026, 7:41 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the MLS page.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 13, 2026
The table gap is negligible: San Diego sit 17th and Philadelphia 18th, both on 30 points. The real contrast is venue form, with San Diego's 1.62 points per home game far clear of Philadelphia's 0.92 away.
San Diego
PhiladelphiaScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 13, 2026
Attack
San Diego are far more dangerous at home, scoring 2.5 goals per home match, while Philadelphia manage 1.8 away. San Diego's home rate is well above their 1.8 overall, whereas Philadelphia's away output is only slightly above their 1.7 season average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
San Diego concede 1.5 goals per home match, the same as their overall rate, while Philadelphia concede 2.3 away, well above their 1.6 season figure. San Diego are the more solid of the two in their relevant venue.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 13, 2026
San Diego are most dangerous just after half time, with 21% of their goals in the 46-60 minute band, while Philadelphia peak later at 24% in the 61-75 minute window. Philadelphia's late push could meet a San Diego side that concedes 24% of goals in the 31-45 minute band.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 13, 2026
Both sides see 62.5% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, but the venue splits diverge sharply: 84.62% of San Diego home matches clear that line against 75% of Philadelphia away games. San Diego's home matches average 3.92 combined goals, slightly below Philadelphia's 4.17 away.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the over 65%; the bookmaker gives it 48%.
Our model puts the over 3.25 goals at 64.6%, while the market prices it at 48%. That leaves our read about 16.6 percentage points above the market's, the largest gap in this fixture.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Philadelphia seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, San Diego conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while Philadelphia conceded on average 0.3 goals per match.
In their last 3 MLS matches, San Diego have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 6.6 corners.
Philadelphia conceded 4 less goals than San Diego in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Diego have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 2.6 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Diego have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 1 card.
Chances are good to see a goal from Philadelphia within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
Pre-match · Sep 13, 2026
The table gap is negligible: San Diego sit 17th and Philadelphia 18th, both on 30 points. The real contrast is venue form, with San Diego's 1.62 points per home game far clear of Philadelphia's 0.92 away.
San DiegoPhiladelphiaScoring Profile
Pre-match · Sep 13, 2026
Attack
San Diego are far more dangerous at home, scoring 2.5 goals per home match, while Philadelphia manage 1.8 away. San Diego's home rate is well above their 1.8 overall, whereas Philadelphia's away output is only slightly above their 1.7 season average.
Goals Scored · Season
Failed to Score · Season
Attacking Share · Season
Goals Scored · Last 5
Failed to Score · Last 5
Defence
San Diego concede 1.5 goals per home match, the same as their overall rate, while Philadelphia concede 2.3 away, well above their 1.6 season figure. San Diego are the more solid of the two in their relevant venue.
Goals Conceded · Season
Clean Sheets · Season
Goals Conceded · Last 5
Goals & Timing
Pre-match · Sep 13, 2026
San Diego are most dangerous just after half time, with 21% of their goals in the 46-60 minute band, while Philadelphia peak later at 24% in the 61-75 minute window. Philadelphia's late push could meet a San Diego side that concedes 24% of goals in the 31-45 minute band.
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Pre-match · Sep 13, 2026
Both sides see 62.5% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, but the venue splits diverge sharply: 84.62% of San Diego home matches clear that line against 75% of Philadelphia away games. San Diego's home matches average 3.92 combined goals, slightly below Philadelphia's 4.17 away.
Betting Angles
Our Forecast · Total goals 3.25
We give the over 65%; the bookmaker gives it 48%.
Our model puts the over 3.25 goals at 64.6%, while the market prices it at 48%. That leaves our read about 16.6 percentage points above the market's, the largest gap in this fixture.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker figure implied from its odds · statistical insight only · not advice
Statistical insight only · not advice
Match Trends · Data-provider insights
Philadelphia seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
In the last 3 matches of the MLS, San Diego conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while Philadelphia conceded on average 0.3 goals per match.
In their last 3 MLS matches, San Diego have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 6.6 corners.
Philadelphia conceded 4 less goals than San Diego in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Diego have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 2.6 cards.
In their last 5 MLS matches, San Diego have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 1 card.
Chances are good to see a goal from Philadelphia within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
About The Match
Philadelphia arrive as the form side and the market's narrow favourite, but San Diego's home scoring makes this a genuinely open contest. Philadelphia have taken 14 points from their last six while San Diego have managed 9, yet San Diego score 2.5 goals per home match against Philadelphia's 1.8 away. The key uncertainty is whether Philadelphia's second-half surge can overcome a San Diego side that has won four of its last five at home.