San Diego vs Philadelphia — MLS 2026
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
The table gap is negligible: San Diego sit 17th and Philadelphia 18th, both on 30 points. The real contrast is venue form, with San Diego's 1.62 points per home game far clear of Philadelphia's 0.92 away.
San Diego17th
Philadelphia18thPhiladelphia are the league's form side, unbeaten in six with 14 points from their last six, while San Diego have taken 9 and lost their last two. That gap is the clearest signal in this fixture, though San Diego's home form has been stronger than their overall record.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSD play at home, PHI away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
San Diego are far more dangerous at home, scoring 2.5 goals per home match, while Philadelphia manage 1.8 away. San Diego's home rate is well above their 1.8 overall, whereas Philadelphia's away output is only slightly above their 1.7 season average.
Defense
San Diego concede 1.5 goals per home match, the same as their overall rate, while Philadelphia concede 2.3 away, well above their 1.6 season figure. San Diego are the more solid of the two in their relevant venue.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — SD 5 of 5, PHI 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — SD 3 of 5, PHI 4 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPPhiladelphia work the goalkeeper harder, averaging 5.08 shots on target per game to San Diego's 4.5, but they also see more shots blocked at 3.21 per game against 2.21. The edge in shots on target is modest and partly offset by San Diego's cleaner shooting lanes.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSan Diego are most dangerous just after half time, with 21% of their goals in the 46-60 minute band, while Philadelphia peak later at 24% in the 61-75 minute window. Philadelphia's late push could meet a San Diego side that concedes 24% of goals in the 31-45 minute band.
San Diego's own 1st goal avg 30′ · Philadelphia's own 1st goal avg 46′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Both sides see 62.5% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, but the venue splits diverge sharply: 84.62% of San Diego home matches clear that line against 75% of Philadelphia away games. San Diego's home matches average 3.92 combined goals, slightly below Philadelphia's 4.17 away.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
SD 24 GP · PHI 24 GP
League average 3.20 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
Total Goals
(3.25)
First Team To Score
Match Forecast · Over/Under 3.25
Based on San Diego's 13 home games and Philadelphia's 12 away games this season
Our model puts the over 3.25 goals at 64.6%, while the market prices it at 48%. That leaves our read about 16.6 percentage points above the market's, the largest gap in this fixture.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Philadelphia seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
- 02In the last 3 matches of the MLS, San Diego conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while Philadelphia conceded on average 0.3 goals per match.
- 03In their last 3 MLS matches, San Diego have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 6.6 corners.
- 04Philadelphia conceded 4 less goals than San Diego in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
- 05In their last 5 MLS matches, San Diego have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 2.6 cards.
- 06In their last 5 MLS matches, San Diego have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 1 card.
- 07Chances are good to see a goal from Philadelphia within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
Standings & Form · MLS 2026
The table gap is negligible: San Diego sit 17th and Philadelphia 18th, both on 30 points. The real contrast is venue form, with San Diego's 1.62 points per home game far clear of Philadelphia's 0.92 away.
San Diego17thPhiladelphia18thPhiladelphia are the league's form side, unbeaten in six with 14 points from their last six, while San Diego have taken 9 and lost their last two. That gap is the clearest signal in this fixture, though San Diego's home form has been stronger than their overall record.
Scoring Profile
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSD play at home, PHI away — the “Home/Away” rows use that split.
Attack
San Diego are far more dangerous at home, scoring 2.5 goals per home match, while Philadelphia manage 1.8 away. San Diego's home rate is well above their 1.8 overall, whereas Philadelphia's away output is only slightly above their 1.7 season average.
Defense
San Diego concede 1.5 goals per home match, the same as their overall rate, while Philadelphia concede 2.3 away, well above their 1.6 season figure. San Diego are the more solid of the two in their relevant venue.
Recent rows count each side's last matches in any competition — MLS matches by sample: Last 5 — SD 5 of 5, PHI 5 of 5; Last 5, Home/Away — SD 3 of 5, PHI 4 of 5.
Performance Metrics
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPPhiladelphia work the goalkeeper harder, averaging 5.08 shots on target per game to San Diego's 4.5, but they also see more shots blocked at 3.21 per game against 2.21. The edge in shots on target is modest and partly offset by San Diego's cleaner shooting lanes.
Goals & Timing
SEASON 2026 · 24 GPSan Diego are most dangerous just after half time, with 21% of their goals in the 46-60 minute band, while Philadelphia peak later at 24% in the 61-75 minute window. Philadelphia's late push could meet a San Diego side that concedes 24% of goals in the 31-45 minute band.
San Diego's own 1st goal avg 30′ · Philadelphia's own 1st goal avg 46′
Goal Lines · Season 2026
Both sides see 62.5% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, but the venue splits diverge sharply: 84.62% of San Diego home matches clear that line against 75% of Philadelphia away games. San Diego's home matches average 3.92 combined goals, slightly below Philadelphia's 4.17 away.
Match Totals · Both Teams' Goals
SD 24 GP · PHI 24 GP
League average 3.20 goals per match
Team Record
Share of all goals in a team's matches that it scored — 50 means it scores as much as it concedes.
Match Odds · Bookmaker-implied %
Match Result
DRAW 25% · 3.9
Total Goals
(3.25)
First Team To Score
NO GOAL 4% · 23.32
Match Forecast · Over/Under 3.25
Based on San Diego's 13 home games and Philadelphia's 12 away games this season
Our model puts the over 3.25 goals at 64.6%, while the market prices it at 48%. That leaves our read about 16.6 percentage points above the market's, the largest gap in this fixture.
The Match Trends below are sampled over a different time window than the Match Forecast above — read them side by side, not as matching figures.
Match Trends
- 01Philadelphia seem to be in a good form. They won 3 out of the last 3 matches of the MLS.
- 02In the last 3 matches of the MLS, San Diego conceded on average 1.6 goals per match while Philadelphia conceded on average 0.3 goals per match.
- 03In their last 3 MLS matches, San Diego have been awarded an average of 4 corners per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 6.6 corners.
- 04Philadelphia conceded 4 less goals than San Diego in the last 5 matches of the MLS this season.
- 05In their last 5 MLS matches, San Diego have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 2.6 cards.
- 06In their last 5 MLS matches, San Diego have received an average of 1 card in the first half per match, while Philadelphia have averaged 1 card.
- 07Chances are good to see a goal from Philadelphia within the first half. They have averaged 0.5 goals before halftime in the MLS this season.
Model price from season goal record · bookmaker price is market-implied · statistical insight only · not advice
Prematch insights · their own sample windows · not prices, not comparable with 10xSharp figures
About The Match
Philadelphia arrive as the form side and the market's narrow favourite, but San Diego's home scoring makes this a genuinely open contest. Philadelphia have taken 14 points from their last six while San Diego have managed 9, yet San Diego score 2.5 goals per home match against Philadelphia's 1.8 away. The key uncertainty is whether Philadelphia's second-half surge can overcome a San Diego side that has won four of its last five at home.