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Santander vs Valencia — LaLiga 26/27

SUN, OCT 11El Sardinero
2 – 2Half-time 1 – 1Full time
Santander: Y. Zabiri
32'
Santander: I. Martin
47'
2'
Valencia: D. Raba
65'
Valencia: D. Otorbi

Pre-match analysis, published Oct 11, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the LaLiga page · Read the match report.

Standings & Form · LaLiga 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Santander sit three places above Valencia, 16th to 19th, with 7 points to Valencia's 4, and the gap is built almost entirely on home form. Santander have taken 7 points from 3 home matches with a +2 home goal difference, while Valencia have managed 1 away win and a -2 away goal difference from 3 away matches.

Santander
Last 6 · all comps
Valencia
Last 6 · all comps
RAC29%Win Rate14%VCF
RAC57%Loss Rate71%VCF

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

5
VCF wins
4
draws
1
RAC wins

Valencia have been the better side across the 10 meetings since 2008, winning 4 to Santander's 1 with 5 draws, and that history is old: the most recent meeting was in 2012. At this ground, in the 5 meetings played here, Valencia won 2 and drew 3, with Santander failing to win any of them.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Attack

Santander hold a large attacking edge, scoring 2.3 goals per home match across 3 home matches against Valencia's 0.7 per away match across 3 away matches. Santander's home rate is clearly better than the league's home-side average of 1.7, while Valencia's away rate is clearly worse than the league's away-side average of 1.3.

All venues
Home/AwayRAC home · VCF away

Goals Scored · Season

RAC1.60.6VCF
RAC2.30.7VCF

Failed to Score · Season

RAC29%57%VCF
RAC0%33%VCF

Attacking Share · Season

RAC34%24%VCF
RAC58%33%VCF

Goals Scored · Last 5

RAC1.80.8VCF
RAC2.41.0VCF

Failed to Score · Last 5

RAC20%40%VCF
RAC0%20%VCF

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

Santander are most dangerous between minutes 16 and 30, scoring 36% of their goals there, while Valencia's peak scoring window is the final 15 minutes, where they have scored 50% of their goals. Valencia are also most vulnerable late, conceding 38% of their goals in the 76-90 minute band, and Santander concede 33% of their goals in that same window, tied with the 31-45 minute band.

SantanderValencia
18%
36%
27%
9%
9%
0%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
0%
25%
0%
25%
0%
50%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
RAC14%1st Half Lead %0%VCF
RAC29%2nd Half Lead %29%VCF

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Oct 11, 2026

RAC ■VCF ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Santander's matches are far more likely to go over 2.5 goals, with 85.71% of their matches this season clearing that line against Valencia's 42.86%. At this venue, 100% of Santander's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, while only 33.33% of Valencia's away matches have.

RAC100%Over 0.586%VCF
RAC86%Over 1.543%VCF
RAC86%Over 2.543%VCF
RAC71%Over 3.543%VCF
RAC57%Over 4.529%VCF
RAC14%Over 5.50%VCF
4.57Combined Goals / G · FT · Season2.43

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Santander have conceded a total of 21 goals, which is the most in the LaLiga this season.

  2. In the last 3 matches of the LaLiga, Santander conceded on average 4.3 goals per match while Valencia conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.

  3. In their last 3 LaLiga matches, Santander have been awarded an average of 2.3 corners per match, while Valencia have averaged 5.3 corners.

  4. Chances are good to see a goal from Santander within the first half. They have averaged 1.2 goals before halftime in the LaLiga this season.

  5. The chances of seeing a goal from Valencia in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.1 goals before halftime in the LaLiga matches this season.

  6. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Santander have received an average of 1.2 cards in the first half per match, while Valencia have averaged 1 card.

  7. Valencia struggle with scoring lately. They have averaged less than one goal per match in the last 5 LaLiga matches.

  8. In the last 5 matches of the LaLiga, Santander scored 9 goals (average 1.8) while Valencia scored 4 (average 0.8).

  9. In their last 5 LaLiga matches, Santander have received an average of 2.8 cards per match, while Valencia have averaged 1.8 cards.

About The Match

Santander's home form is the one clear positive in a fixture between two sides near the foot of the table, while Valencia's away defence has been the more reliable unit. The hosts average 2.3 goals per home match across 3 home matches, well above the league's home-side norm, but they have conceded 1.7 per match at home and have not kept a clean sheet all season. Valencia score just 0.7 goals per away match across 3 away matches, and their season-long failure to score in 57% of matches is the biggest brake on this match. The market prices Santander as the match-winner favourite at 43%, but the thin venue samples and Valencia's better defensive edge make this a low-confidence read.