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Marseille vs PSG — Ligue 1 26/27

SUN, SEP 20CEPAC Velodrome
1 – 2Half-time 0 – 0Full time
Marseille: A. Gomes
72'
66'
PSG: F. Torres
74'
PSG: Marquinhos

Marseille: 3 yellow cards, 1 red card

PSG: 1 yellow card, 0 red cards

Pre-match analysis, published Sep 17, 2026, 11:03 PM UTC before kickoff and not revised after the result. Live standings and season stats are on the Ligue 1 page.

Standings & Form · Ligue 1 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

PSG sit 7th with 5 points, but their away record of 1 win and 2 draws from 3 games is far stronger than Marseille's home split of 1 win and 1 loss from 2, where all 6 of Marseille's goals have come at home. The table gap is modest, but the venue-specific picture flatters Marseille, who have 0 points away from home.

Marseille
Last 6 · all comps
PSG
OLM25%Win Rate25%PSG
OLM75%Loss Rate25%PSG

Head-to-Head · LAST 10 MEETINGS

8
PSG wins
0
draws
2
OLM wins

PSG have dominated this fixture, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings with Marseille winning just 2, and the most recent meeting was a 5-0 PSG win in February. At this venue, PSG have won 3 of the last 5 meetings, so the away side's edge holds up even in Marseille.

Scoring Profile

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Attack

Marseille's home attack is the more dangerous on paper, scoring 3.0 goals per home match against PSG's 1.7 away, but that home figure is built on just two matches and Marseille have failed to score in half their games overall. PSG's away scoring is more modest but steadier, with 5 goals in 3 away matches.

All venues
Home/AwayOLM home · PSG away

Goals Scored · Season

OLM1.51.5PSG
OLM3.01.7PSG

Failed to Score · Season

OLM50%0%PSG
OLM0%0%PSG

Attacking Share · Season

OLM50%50%PSG
OLM67%56%PSG

Goals Scored · Last 5

OLM1.42.4PSG
OLM2.41.0PSG

Failed to Score · Last 5

OLM40%0%PSG
OLM0%40%PSG

Goals & Timing

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

Both teams are second-half scorers, with Marseille's peak scoring band shared between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes at 33% each, while PSG's peak is the final 15 minutes at 50%. PSG's conceding is spread evenly across all six bands, so there is no obvious window to target them.

MarseillePSG
17%
0%
0%
33%
17%
33%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
17%
0%
17%
0%
17%
50%
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576-90
OLM0%1st Half Lead %50%PSG
OLM50%2nd Half Lead %50%PSG

Goal Lines · Season 26/27

Pre-match · Sep 17, 2026

OLM ■PSG ■· Share of each team's matches over the line

Marseille's home matches have been high-scoring, with 100% of their home games going over 2.5 goals and an average of 4.5 combined goals, while PSG's away matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.67% of cases. Marseille have failed to score in half their matches overall, but never at home, which keeps the home goal environment lively.

OLM100%Over 0.5100%PSG
OLM75%Over 1.575%PSG
OLM50%Over 2.575%PSG
OLM50%Over 3.550%PSG
OLM25%Over 4.50%PSG
OLM0%Over 5.50%PSG
3.00Combined Goals / G · FT · Season3.00

Betting Angles

Match Trends · Data-provider insights

  1. Marseille have been struggling lately. They lost 3 of their last 3 matches of the Ligue 1.

  2. In the last 3 matches of the Ligue 1, Marseille scored 2 goals (average 0.6) while PSG scored 4 (average 1.3).

  3. The chances of seeing a goal from Marseille in the first half are slim. They have only averaged 0.2 goals before halftime in the Ligue 1 matches this season.

  4. In the last 3 matches of the Ligue 1, Marseille conceded on average 2 goals per match while PSG conceded on average 1.3 goals per match.

  5. In their last 5 matches, Marseille have received an average of 0.4 cards in the first half per match, while PSG have averaged 0.2 cards.

  6. In their last 5 matches, Marseille have received an average of 1.6 cards per match, while PSG have averaged 1.2 cards.

  7. In their last 3 Ligue 1 matches, Marseille have been awarded an average of 5.6 corners per match, while PSG have averaged 4.3 corners.

  8. PSG scored at least one goal per match in the Ligue 1 this season.

About The Match

This is a lopsided rivalry on recent evidence, with PSG carrying both the market's confidence and the head-to-head record into the Velodrome. The market prices PSG at 69% to win, while Marseille's own home form is the one genuine counterweight, with 3.0 goals scored per home match against PSG's 1.7 away. The key uncertainty is whether Marseille's home scoring can hold up against a PSG side that has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including a 5-0 rout in February.